Who gets AFC's last PLAYOFF Spot?

[k13]

Lot of interesting scenarios here. Titans all but forgotten can sneak in here thanks to all the chaos.

Jets blew their chance now need lots of help.
Cincy obviously controls their destiny.

Houston has nothing to play for, makes Tennessee's job that much easier.
All they need is a Bengals and Raiders loss. Decent chance of that happening.

AFC South or West will most likely get two playoff teams, two of the worst divisions in football.

Jets have a habit of miracles on last day to make playoffs, tie-breakers are killing them.

Who do you think makes it?

Is Baltimore really going to lose a bye to the Bengals? Line looks good for Cincy right now.

Does Houston want to play Tennessee in the playoffs or someone else? Lot of fishy things can happen here.

[ttwarrior1]

i think raiders and bengals both win, i think tenn wins also and jets win

[Mr KLC]

It took me a half hour to figure out everything going on. You have to love the scramble for a playoff spot in the final week.

[PAULYPOKER]

Bengals

[ttwarrior1]

don't jets go if they win and bengals lose

[Mr KLC]

don't jets go if they win and bengals lose

Would clinch the No. 6 seed with a win and a Bengals loss and Titans loss and either/both a Raiders loss and/or Broncos loss due to conference record (7-5 vs. the Bengals’ 6-6).

[milwaukee mike]

k13 you are well aware of who i think makes it


i did the math in another thread and it works out to about 55% chance of the bengals getting the wild card

[milwaukee mike]

here's the "true math" which i think is inherently flawed, but it shows bengals 65% to make playoffs, jets 13%, tennessee 7%, and the other 15% chance is denver/oakland both getting in

http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NFL/AFC.html

[k13]

k13 you are well aware of who i think makes it


i did the math in another thread and it works out to about 55% chance of the bengals getting the wild card

Bengals better not win.

Imagine Cincy at Houston, what a scrub of a playoff. Least watched game for sure.

I took Cincy 200-1 for a few points just so I can hedge out something If I lose the bet to you.

[k13]

don't jets go if they win and bengals lose

Not unless Tennessee AND Oakland lose.

Since both Houston and San Diego have nothing to play for...........

[luvtogamble]

raiders

[MoneyLineDawg]

Not unless Tennessee AND Oakland lose.

Since both Houston and San Diego have nothing to play for...........

Jets get in with a win @ Miami, Titans loss @ Houston, Bengals loss vs. Ravens, AND Oakland loss OR Broncos loss

I think Jets get in IF Tennessee loses basically

Bengals SHOULD lose to Ravens, and I don't think Raiders AND Broncos both win against division rivals......So it comes down to Jets winning and Tennessee losing

It is a tough scenario to really breakdown......Bengals are the only ones that control their own destiny, but they have the toughest game of the bunch

[Glitch]

chargers and bengals get it done.

[milwaukee mike]

Jets get in with a win @ Miami, Titans loss @ Houston, Bengals loss vs. Ravens, AND Oakland loss OR Broncos loss

I think Jets get in IF Tennessee loses basically

Bengals SHOULD lose to Ravens, and I don't think Raiders AND Broncos both win against division rivals......So it comes down to Jets winning and Tennessee losing

It is a tough scenario to really breakdown......Bengals are the only ones that control their own destiny, but they have the toughest game of the bunch

your thought process is flawed, the odds of both the raiders AND broncos winning is only slightly worse than the odds of the jets winning as a dog. bengals have a greater than 50% chance of getting in one way or another. you are giving WAY too much credit to both the jets on the road and ravens on the road.

jets are 2-5 on the road and ravens are 3-4 on the road and yet you're treating both those games like wins already.

the jets have about a 13% chance of getting in, no matter how you spin it.

[Big Bear]

Bengals

[MoneyLineDawg]

your thought process is flawed, the odds of both the raiders AND broncos winning is only slightly worse than the odds of the jets winning as a dog. bengals have a greater than 50% chance of getting in one way or another. you are giving WAY too much credit to both the jets on the road and ravens on the road.

jets are 2-5 on the road and ravens are 3-4 on the road and yet you're treating both those games like wins already.

the jets have about a 13% chance of getting in, no matter how you spin it.

I just think the Ravens will win because they are the better team, and the difference between them winning and losing is a first round bye and playing in the first round on the road, so they will be just as fired up

Believe me, I do not think the Jets are getting in just because too many things must break their way

If I were to break down each game, here is what I come up with:

Jets Win
Bengals Lose
Titans Lose
Raiders Win
Broncos Win

I guess that means Broncos and Raiders both get in......It should be an interesting week 17 no matter what

[milwaukee mike]

I just think the Ravens will win because they are the better team, and the difference between them winning and losing is a first round bye and playing in the first round on the road, so they will be just as fired up

Believe me, I do not think the Jets are getting in just because too many things must break their way

If I were to break down each game, here is what I come up with:

Jets Win
Bengals Lose
Titans Lose
Raiders Win
Broncos Win

I guess that means Broncos and Raiders both get in......It should be an interesting week 17 no matter what

fair enough.
i just thought you were pretty much giving the jets and ravens wins even though neither of them has inspired much confidence on the road this season

[SBLAZE305]

Bengals

[lakerboy]

I just think the Ravens will win because they are the better team, and the difference between them winning and losing is a first round bye and playing in the first round on the road, so they will be just as fired up

Believe me, I do not think the Jets are getting in just because too many things must break their way

If I were to break down each game, here is what I come up with:

Jets Win
Bengals Lose
Titans Lose
Raiders Win
Broncos Win

I guess that means Broncos and Raiders both get in......It should be an interesting week 17 no matter what

better team theory eh?

[denn333]

Bengals win, even though the Ravens have a bye at stake they still have mental issues.

[MoneyLineDawg]

better team theory eh?

Not sure what you're getting at.....

Both teams have alot at stake, The Ravens already played the Bengals and are familiar with them being division rivals so it's not like them going into Seattle or somewhere random where weird things could happen.....And yes I simply believe they are the better team this year

Would it surprise me if the Bengals won? Not at all.....

Will I bet alot (if any) on the Ravens? No....

Simply put, gun to my head, Ravens win the game

[will2survive]

Would clinch the No. 6 seed with a win and a Bengals loss and Titans loss and either/both a Raiders loss and/or Broncos loss due to conference record (7-5 vs. the Bengals’ 6-6).

Jets blew it. I think the Bengals have the spot but anything is possible.

[Corleone]

Raiders get 4 seed, jets get 6 seed.

Raiders win
Denver loses
Cin loses
Jets win
Tenn loses.

[milwaukee mike]

Raiders get 4 seed, jets get 6 seed.

Raiders win
Denver loses
Cin loses
Jets win
Tenn loses.

big time money parlaying the moneylines on those 5 if you have that much confidence

[Bcatswin]

Hope its the Bengals

[rm18]

[MoneyLineDawg]

I'm going to parlay Jets ML, Ravens ML, and Texans ML.....Figure I give myself a fun sweat as I root for my joker Jets

Would also need Raiders or Broncos to lose, but if they both win, atleast I win my parlay

[frostno98]

Ravens are not going to give away the number 2 seed to a rookie QB. Not happening with Suggs, Lewis, and ED Reed on the watch. I think the Raiders can sneak in as a wild card, without winning the Division.

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

I want the Raiders to sneak in. McFadden is back in the lineup this week. WATCH OUT

[GenosPicks]

great conversation thread!!! .. gave you love in today's blog buddy.

http://www.sbrforum.com/college-football/free-picks/geno-s-friday-podcast-hangover-cure-a-22702/

[Scully]

I want the Raiders to sneak in. McFadden is back in the lineup this week. WATCH OUT

Hell yeah-'Just win Baby'!!!