**wrong team favored take CHARGERS +2 1/2

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  • milwaukee mike
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 08-22-07
    • 27271

    #1
    **wrong team favored take CHARGERS +2 1/2
    the chargers have won their last 3 games by at least 20 points each, looking dominant.
    the lions have won their last 2, but both were squeakers that came down to the last possession.

    detroit's defense has been awful the last 6 games, giving up an average of 31 pts/game. on the flip side the chargers defense keeps getting better, holding the last 4 opponents to 16, 14, 10, and 14.

    so this is one of those matchups where one team looks tired heading into a possible playoff spot while the other team looks awesome.
  • BIGDAY
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 02-17-10
    • 48247

    #2
    Completely agree. 32-24 Chargers. GL Mike
    Comment
    • k13
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 07-16-10
      • 18130

      #3
      Lions are the play, don't waste too much money on this Mike.
      Comment
      • tanner40
        SBR MVP
        • 03-24-10
        • 2129

        #4
        Chargers are the play. Lions will fold.
        Comment
        • unluckysob
          SBR MVP
          • 05-21-08
          • 1527

          #5
          damn chargers do same thing every year---wait till very end to turn it on----cost me a future parlay bet.
          Comment
          • hanco21
            SBR MVP
            • 01-19-06
            • 3405

            #6
            Good luck Mike, I think the Chargers are running into a buzzsaw this week.
            Comment
            • hanco21
              SBR MVP
              • 01-19-06
              • 3405

              #7
              The Chargers are terrible on the road, They got lucky and got Jacksonville under a coaching change so they werent well prepared. The Chargers will lose by 14+ points. Dont buy into the Chargers hype even though they played there best game of the season last week.
              Comment
              • RyanLeafOfBets
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-03-10
                • 8164

                #8
                I agree with that too... I kinda wanna just bet the ML
                Comment
                • Casey71
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 12-20-11
                  • 19

                  #9
                  San Diego due for a letdown.
                  Comment
                  • EastSideLV
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 09-11-11
                    • 106

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Casey71
                    San Diego due for a letdown.
                    most of the season has been a let down for the Chargers?? I think Rivers continues to roll and torches the Lions garbage secondary. Chargers by 7+
                    Comment
                    • Big Bear
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 11-01-11
                      • 43253

                      #11
                      now if we can just get Trace to agree with this play and Landers to stay the fukk away from it
                      Comment
                      • DrStale
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 12-07-08
                        • 9692

                        #12
                        I don't get this line either...Chargers by 10.
                        Originally posted by Dark Horse
                        If with religion you mean belief system, your belief system is your religion. Again, it matters not what it is. You believe in it, you are loyal to it, would defend it, and yet have no proof of it, other than that, at one point or another, you chose to believe in it. Self-hypnosis. What if there were a snapping of fingers that broke the hypnosis?
                        Comment
                        • TheLock
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 04-06-08
                          • 14427

                          #13
                          It's a TARP boys

                          Find another spot
                          Comment
                          • p19101
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-17-11
                            • 1419

                            #14
                            Chargers ML is the play for sure...
                            Comment
                            • frostno98
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 09-11-07
                              • 9769

                              #15
                              Chargers get three big wins and everyone expecting them to dominate the Lions. The Chargers passing D is still terrible, I'm still trying to figure out how they will stop Calvin from dropping 200 yards on them.
                              Comment
                              • kfranz31
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-09-10
                                • 1186

                                #16
                                Detroit is in a tailspin.... Before last week they were counting them down mow all of a sudden the are ready to rule the division.... Chargers have finally got it going as will be norv turner
                                Comment
                                • milwaukee mike
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 08-22-07
                                  • 27271

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by TheLock
                                  It's a TARP boys

                                  Find another spot
                                  i think you meant "trap"?

                                  seems like i will need a tarp after the game because it will be raining money on my head!
                                  Comment
                                  • k13
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 07-16-10
                                    • 18130

                                    #18
                                    The line is spot on, not sure why all the confusion about it.

                                    You have a 35% chance to win betting on the Chargers.
                                    Comment
                                    • milwaukee mike
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 08-22-07
                                      • 27271

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by k13
                                      The line is spot on, not sure why all the confusion about it.

                                      You have a 35% chance to win betting on the Chargers.


                                      then give me +180 on the chargers money line, -180 is only 64.29%
                                      Comment
                                      • milwaukee mike
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 08-22-07
                                        • 27271

                                        #20
                                        the line is "spot on" based on total year sagarin ratings (det 23.46 sd 22.26 home field advantage 2.04).

                                        but if you go by the last 4 games the chargers are a 7 point better team than the lions.

                                        i think i'll go with the team playing their best football at the end of the year that hasn't allowed more than 16 pts the last 4 games.
                                        vs the team that looks tired defensively and has given up AT LEAST 27 points in each of their last 6 games.
                                        Comment
                                        • k13
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 07-16-10
                                          • 18130

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by milwaukee mike


                                          then give me +180 on the chargers money line, -180 is only 64.29%
                                          I'll give you +150 if chargers stay a dog, if it closes +3 at pinnacle/greek then I'll even give you +200.
                                          Comment
                                          • Sunde91
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 11-26-09
                                            • 8325

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by k13
                                            Lions are the play, don't waste too much money on this Mike.
                                            and if public were on Lions Chargers would be the play

                                            iifold made a thread to post your 60% winners. enough talk now
                                            Comment
                                            • dredmahawkus
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-26-09
                                              • 1803

                                              #23
                                              This line is one of those that are way too good to be true! so good the second after I made a max bet I started regretting it because it will probably lose.

                                              well I am on the chargers +3 .....Its just seems like way too good of a bet....if they lose it will be by a late drive and a last second fg. if you can still get +3 I think thats the safest bet on the board this week.
                                              Comment
                                              • Speedy88
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 03-19-11
                                                • 11717

                                                #24
                                                This game could go either way. Both have elite offenses, both have average defenses. I always give Detroit a slight edge just because how good their pass rush is. This game will come down to how well the SD O-line can hold up. Line seems about right since Detroit is at home. I'm sure if it were in SD, we'd probably see SD -2.5.
                                                Comment
                                                • Big Bear
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 11-01-11
                                                  • 43253

                                                  #25
                                                  chargers defense is legit
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Speedy88
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 03-19-11
                                                    • 11717

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                    chargers defense is legit
                                                    In my opinion they are a pretty average defense. Did you see how much they struggled to get off the field against Baltimore in the first half. I know they blew out Baltimore, but up until the game started to fall away from the Ravens, they Chargers defense couldn't get a stop on 3rd down.

                                                    Their defense will give up at least 27-35 points to Detroit.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Big Bear
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 11-01-11
                                                      • 43253

                                                      #27
                                                      Jammer vs Johnson should be a great matchup
                                                      Comment
                                                      • TheMoneyShot
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 02-14-07
                                                        • 28690

                                                        #28
                                                        Looks like a LIONS TRAP to me. -2.5 at Ford Field???

                                                        Wake up gentlemen... San Diego easily.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • milwaukee mike
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 08-22-07
                                                          • 27271

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by k13
                                                          I'll give you +150 if chargers stay a dog, if it closes +3 at pinnacle/greek then I'll even give you +200.
                                                          holy crap i'll take it

                                                          how many points?

                                                          how about 300 to win 450 or 300 to win 600 if it closes +3 or above?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • billysink
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 03-29-09
                                                            • 5172

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                            Jammer vs Johnson should be a great matchup
                                                            Quentin Jammer has absolutely no shot of covering Calvin Johnson 1 on 1. He gives up 5 inches and 40 pounds to CJ.

                                                            If Jammer gets no help from Eric Weddle he will be torched to ashes.

                                                            That is the problem for the Chargers. Everyone gets so gooey about the Chargers and there last five games and the usual December surge.

                                                            Cap the fukkin game. Games against a third string Jacksonville team, a Buffalo team that quit weeks ago and a good matchup in Baltimore have jack shit to do with this weekends game against Detroit.

                                                            The Chargers have faced two offenses that spread the field the way the Lions do and have been torched badly in both.

                                                            Handicap the matchup boys, not the hype you read in the papers.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Speedy88
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 03-19-11
                                                              • 11717

                                                              #31
                                                              Agreed, Jammer is no threat to take Megatron out of the game. Jammer has definitely lost a step over the past couple years. If the Chargers are smart, they'll shadow a safety over the top all game long on Megatron.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • tripp
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 09-21-09
                                                                • 376

                                                                #32
                                                                Really disagree here. Chargers are the "square" play after an impressive SNF beatdown of the Ravens. Lions still more well-rounded team and they take this game at home. SD being vastly overrated after one game.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • billysink
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 03-29-09
                                                                  • 5172

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Speedy88
                                                                  Agreed, Jammer is no threat to take Megatron out of the game. Jammer has definitely lost a step over the past couple years. If the Chargers are smart, they'll shadow a safety over the top all game long on Megatron.
                                                                  And if they do who is going to cover Pettigrew and Scheffler when the Lions are in a 3 wide two tight end set?

                                                                  They use that a lot.

                                                                  You see a bit of a problem here??
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Speedy88
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 03-19-11
                                                                    • 11717

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by billysink

                                                                    And if they do who is going to cover Pettigrew and Scheffler when the Lions are in a 3 wide two tight end set?

                                                                    They use that a lot.

                                                                    You see a bit of a problem here??
                                                                    You can say the same thing about the other side. Lets be honest, outside of the Lions D-line, their defense sucks. Chargers have just as many weapons as the Lions. Only difference is SD can run the ball, the Lions can't. I do agree that Megatron requires more attention than any other WR in the NFL, but the Lions are going to have their hands full with Vincent Jackson, Malcolm Floyd, Gates, and Mathews/Tolbert.

                                                                    The over is the real play here.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • milwaukee mike
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 08-22-07
                                                                      • 27271

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by billysink
                                                                      And if they do who is going to cover Pettigrew and Scheffler when the Lions are in a 3 wide two tight end set?

                                                                      They use that a lot.

                                                                      You see a bit of a problem here??
                                                                      yeah that unstoppable detroit offense has scored less than 20 points 5 times in the last 9 games, including less than 20 against gb/no

                                                                      chargers have held last 4 opponents to 2 tds or less, that continues here
                                                                      Comment
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