Andrew Luck +650 to win Heisman..

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  • PorkChop
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-18-08
    • 8193

    #1
    Andrew Luck +650 to win Heisman..
    Wow. Very surprised at how high this number is, I do think Griffin is the very small favorite, especially with the media hype he's getting this week, but how can you not put a small number down on Luke here? Griffin is by no means a clear cut guarantee to win it Saturday. Would you guys actually be surprised if Luck gets it.

    Putting 100 on it. Just cause I'd be sick if I didnt and Luck won it..
  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #2
    Given the swing in the odds for RG III -- from +300 to -700 -- I think "clear cut guarantee" might be exactly what he is.

    This isn't like betting on a game where an upset could happen. Someone has some sort of inside information for the line to move so violently like this.
    Comment
    • Powderguy
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 09-18-09
      • 6939

      #3
      RG III already won it with odds like that, waste of 100 bucks most likely
      Comment
      • letsgo
        SBR MVP
        • 03-27-10
        • 2204

        #4
        This may be the worst bet ever, ESPN has already released their Heisman voters votes, and RGIII won those. I would be shocked if Luck got it at this point, especially since RGIII had the stage last Saturday and was impressive.
        Comment
        • Night-Tripper
          SBR MVP
          • 12-14-09
          • 3205

          #5
          Originally posted by No coincidences
          Given the swing in the odds for RG III -- from +300 to -700 -- I think "clear cut guarantee" might be exactly what he is.

          This isn't like betting on a game where an upset could happen. Someone has some sort of inside information for the line to move so violently like this.
          ESPN released their poll results yesterday and RGIII will win... and it ain't gonna be close.

          Andrew Luck was a distant second.
          Comment
          • BettingWizard
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 11-28-09
            • 6522

            #6
            This is one of those times where it is justified to go "all-in" on something

            The votes have already pretty much been made public
            Comment
            • smoke a bowl
              SBR MVP
              • 02-09-09
              • 2776

              #7
              I wouldn't take +2000.
              Comment
              • seaborneq
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 09-08-06
                • 22556

                #8
                I have futures on luck and richardson, and neither is going to win the heisman? Give me a break.
                Comment
                • Boscoe
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-08-10
                  • 2811

                  #9
                  books have finally realized sites like stiffarmtrophy and heismanpundit exist. rg3 has won.
                  Comment
                  • thebestthereis
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-01-09
                    • 11459

                    #10
                    RG III cannot suck for luck like colts, make sure you are aware of that
                    Comment
                    • milkncereal
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 12-01-11
                      • 538

                      #11
                      i believe 100% in stiffarmtrophy.com, but i am always afraid that someone with big bucks could buy voters at the end and make a killing.
                      Comment
                      • seaborneq
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 09-08-06
                        • 22556

                        #12
                        I will hold out hope. Maybe rg3 comes in second.
                        Comment
                        • moses millsap
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 08-25-05
                          • 8289

                          #13
                          Nobody is making a killing with the limits for Heisman betting, but RGIII has got this in the bag. Trent 2nd, Andrew 3rd.
                          Comment
                          • Lock Of The Aeon
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 10-16-11
                            • 184

                            #14
                            Amazing. This guy was a dark horse all season, and now all of a sudden he's a lock to win it? The voters only remember the last thing they saw. Andrew Luck and Trent Richardson are being punished because they didn't play last week.
                            Comment
                            • TO9
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 09-24-10
                              • 363

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Lock Of The Aeon
                              Amazing. This guy was a dark horse all season, and now all of a sudden he's a lock to win it? The voters only remember the last thing they saw. Andrew Luck and Trent Richardson are being punished because they didn't play last week.
                              haha that's foolish... go compare their stats

                              RG3 should win and will win

                              Mathieu could have won if it wasn't for the mary j suspension
                              Comment
                              • Lock Of The Aeon
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 10-16-11
                                • 184

                                #16
                                Originally posted by TO9
                                haha that's foolish... go compare their stats

                                RG3 should win and will win

                                Mathieu could have won if it wasn't for the mary j suspension
                                Based on his numbers, I agree, he should win. I just think it's funny that Andrew Luck was the favorite all season, and now everyone is on Robert Griffin III's nuts. I think the voting would be a lot closer if Andrew Luck and Trent Richardson played last week, and played well.
                                Comment
                                • moses millsap
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 08-25-05
                                  • 8289

                                  #17
                                  Montee Ball deserves it more than Richardson, seriously, look at Bama's schedule, they played a ton of BS teams.
                                  Comment
                                  • BettingWizard
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 11-28-09
                                    • 6522

                                    #18
                                    People talking about him saying that Baylor would have its first heisman winner pretty much clinched it.
                                    Comment
                                    • Big Bear
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 11-01-11
                                      • 43253

                                      #19
                                      do you guys think Baylor will be jinxed by the heisman curse? i sure hope not
                                      Comment
                                      • seaborneq
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 09-08-06
                                        • 22556

                                        #20
                                        Bama backlash on Richardson, why won't luck win it?
                                        Comment
                                        • Br0nxer
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 03-25-11
                                          • 13665

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by TO9
                                          haha that's foolish... go compare their stats

                                          RG3 should win and will win

                                          Mathieu could have won if it wasn't for the mary j suspension
                                          Mathieu isn't even the best CB on his own team-Claiborne

                                          no way he should win it

                                          i think trent should win

                                          obviously rg3 is the clear winner from the odds movement
                                          Comment
                                          • alamo
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 02-21-09
                                            • 7131

                                            #22
                                            Trent Richardson should win. Kid is a beast.
                                            Comment
                                            • Lock Of The Aeon
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 10-16-11
                                              • 184

                                              #23
                                              I don't think a running back should ever win it. If you took Trent Richardson off of Alabama, they could still have the same number of wins. Where would Baylor be without Robert Griffin III? Nowhere.
                                              Comment
                                              • TexansFan
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 09-06-06
                                                • 3365

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by seaborneq
                                                I have futures on luck and richardson, and neither is going to win the heisman? Give me a break.
                                                1. RD3
                                                2. Luck
                                                3. Richardson
                                                Comment
                                                • EricZ116
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 10-09-10
                                                  • 493

                                                  #25
                                                  Took Ball +25000 for $5 just because I'm so amazed by his season (I know Russell Wilson helps a ton, but still) and those are solid odds... even if Griffin has it in the bag (if that makes any sense)
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MoneyLineDawg
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 01-01-09
                                                    • 13253

                                                    #26
                                                    RG3 absolutely deserves it.....He was clearly the most outstanding player if you watched him play this season.......Not to take away anything from all of the other guys, but RG3 was something else out there.

                                                    I think that Oklahoma game where he lasered the ball in there for the game winner was his signature Heisman moment....congrats to him

                                                    Comment
                                                    • Killer_Demo
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 06-15-08
                                                      • 8409

                                                      #27
                                                      I think trent richardson will get it...in my opinion
                                                      Comment
                                                      • PAYTON20
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 02-02-10
                                                        • 5217

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                        do you guys think Baylor will be jinxed by the heisman curse? i sure hope not
                                                        yes
                                                        Comment
                                                        • PAYTON20
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 02-02-10
                                                          • 5217

                                                          #29
                                                          I would laugh soooo hard if Honey Badger or Montee Ball won it. Epic jack move by the books
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Koldazzice
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-08-11
                                                            • 2392

                                                            #30
                                                            luck has a shot - i put 50 bucks at +800 and said who knows.

                                                            1. most people who vote are old and they know luck is going number 1 so may vote as such

                                                            2. RG3 may have put off some voters with his comments after last weeks game.

                                                            Bottom line its worth a shot i mean I think he has a better shot then some +800 dogs have

                                                            and hell if you can't see the value with tossing down 1/2 a unit seeing the pure value then don't

                                                            Comment
                                                            • andywend
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 05-20-07
                                                              • 4805

                                                              #31
                                                              The only value in betting the Heisman is betting on RG III at the best price you could find.

                                                              Amazingly, he was only -480 @ Betmaker while at 5 Dimes he is -1200 with the field takeback priced at +700.

                                                              When it comes to betting on events like the Heisman, you have to throw handicapping out the window when you make wagers this close to the announcement as the event has already been decided. The books offer betting on it because its incredibly difficult to lay -1200 on Griffin and the +800 on Luck/+2500 on Richardson gets people sucked in.

                                                              To repeat, there is no value whatsoever in betting any one other than Griffin III.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • seaborneq
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 09-08-06
                                                                • 22556

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Koldazzice
                                                                luck has a shot - i put 50 bucks at +800 and said who knows.

                                                                1. most people who vote are old and they know luck is going number 1 so may vote as such

                                                                2. RG3 may have put off some voters with his comments after last weeks game.

                                                                Bottom line its worth a shot i mean I think he has a better shot then some +800 dogs have

                                                                and hell if you can't see the value with tossing down 1/2 a unit seeing the pure value then don't

                                                                I hope you win for selfish reasons.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • seaborneq
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 09-08-06
                                                                  • 22556

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by MoneyLineDawg
                                                                  RG3 absolutely deserves it.....He was clearly the most outstanding player if you watched him play this season.......Not to take away anything from all of the other guys, but RG3 was something else out there.

                                                                  I think that Oklahoma game where he lasered the ball in there for the game winner was his signature Heisman moment....congrats to him

                                                                  Ok st made the sooners look rather average. If that laser is why he wins then it should be split with weedon. He lit them up too.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • stone cold locks
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 11-19-11
                                                                    • 181

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Luck +1450 at 5 dimes
                                                                    Comment
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