My NFL Plays For 11/20/11

[brahmabull117]

6-1 my last 7 NFL plays, let's see if we can get the clean sweep here this week...




Chicago - 4. Looks like the books are underrating the bears again like they did for the majority of last year. Bears defense will dominate this game



New York Giants - 5.5. Eagles continue to be ridiculously overrated by Vegas. This would be a 10 point line with any other team in the league with a similar record to Philly



13 point teaser

New England
Green Bay
Chicago
New York


6.5 point teaser
Jacksonville
Detroit

[neverstoppers23]

Good luck sir. I have not really looked at any NFL games, after my great Saturday. I still have not even made my picks for beat the prick.

The only pick I love is -1 Oak. Been a big Oak backer all year.

The philly game does scare me, because Reid can coach. He is one of the most under-rated coaches in the league, and I really don't understand all this hate for the guy. So he can coach up Young, and he can have a great game. They still have McCoy and Deshawun Jackson, and their defense is healthy so you never know if they are going to break out.

They may want to prove something that they aint dead and won't give up. Seems like the perfect trap game for gamblers.

[gauchojake]

i won't be playing the nyg/phi game but here is my mindset on games like this... no maclin, no vick...all signs point giants...take the eagles.

[brahmabull117]

i won't be playing the nyg/phi game but here is my mindset on games like this... no maclin, no vick...all signs point giants...take the eagles.

I don't buy it


maybe if the eagles were getting 10+ points in this game - like any other 3-6 team starting their backup qb would be getting...

[t-wizzle]

Thought you were done posting in PT?

[lakerboy]

bears are 3.5 everywhere but you take -4

[brahmabull117]

bears are 3.5 everywhere but you take -4

I locked that line in early in the week cause I thought it would go way up



I can't believe people still believe in phillip rivers

[gauchojake]

I don't buy it


maybe if the eagles were getting 10+ points in this game - like any other 3-6 team starting their backup qb would be getting...

The Eagles would never get 10 points in any NFL game. 10 point spreads are reserved for the shittiest of shitty teams and even they cover.

[brahmabull117]

The Eagles would never get 10 points in any NFL game. 10 point spreads are reserved for the shittiest of shitty teams and even they cover.

the eagles just lost to Arizona at home dude


they are one of the worst teams in the league - if not THEE worst


People need to stop looking at the name on the back of their jerseys and look at how they're playing - mediocre QB play, mediocre OL play, can't stop the run, can't stop the pass. This is one of the worst teams in the league right now with all things being considered

[t-wizzle]

the eagles just lost to Arizona at home dude


they are one of the worst teams in the league - if not THEE worst


People need to stop looking at the name on the back of their jerseys and look at how they're playing - mediocre QB play, mediocre OL play, can't stop the run, can't stop the pass. This is one of the worst teams in the league right now with all things being considered

Why is the line only 5.5?

[brahmabull117]

Why is the line only 5.5?

Cause Vegas inexplicably has a hardon for Philly - it's the same thing as minnesota last year (who kept getting way too much love from Vegas on reputation alone and ended up finishing 6-10 ATS)



why are the eagles 3-6 ATS so far this year?? same answer

[zsr]

For once i agree. The eagles are beyond atrocious at this point, vince young probably gives them a better chance to win because they'll run the ball, but vegas and this forum continue to overvalue the shit out of the eagles. I guess there 3-6 start and losing outright to the cardinals didnt prove enough.

[zsr]

Why is the line only 5.5?

Same reason Kansas state was plus 8 to texas. Vegas overvalues and undervalues teams all year, people thing vegas always gets it right and a bad line means trap, thats not the case.

[brahmabull117]

Same reason Kansas state was plus 8 to texas. Vegas overvalues and undervalues teams all year, people thing vegas always gets it right and a bad line means trap, thats not the case.

hey bro didn't you know Vegas is a 100% efficient market???


they know every game, every sport, every team to a 100% tee and they NEVER make any mistakes

[Sunde91]

Chicago is one of the easiest fades of the year

brahmbitch go post in your thread where your official record is 1-3 -7.2 units

[brahmabull117]

Chicago is one of the easiest fades of the year

Look at all these clowns who continue to doubt the bears


a 24 point thrashing of Detroit wasn't enough?? hell you realize they have won 3 of their 5 home games this year by 17+ points???

[gauchojake]

the eagles just lost to Arizona at home dude


they are one of the worst teams in the league - if not THEE worst


People need to stop looking at the name on the back of their jerseys and look at how they're playing - mediocre QB play, mediocre OL play, can't stop the run, can't stop the pass. This is one of the worst teams in the league right now with all things being considered

I don't disagree that they are a bad team. I see a line like that with a ton of injuries and I ask why. Why wouldn't the line be 9.5 or 7.5 ... something where I could get a real read on the mindset of the bookmaker? That's the problem with this game. When I see a game that looks easy like that, I typically bet against what common sense would stipulate.

[warriorfan707]

Thinking Bears too

[brahmabull117]

I don't disagree that they are a bad team. I see a line like that with a ton of injuries and I ask why. Why wouldn't the line be 9.5 or 7.5 ... something where I could get a real read on the mindset of the bookmaker? That's the problem with this game. When I see a game that looks easy like that, I typically bet against what common sense would stipulate.

there's nothing hard to read about this game. You got a team that is supposed to be a powerhouse NFL contender and they keep getting extremely inflated lines because the bookies have them so high in their power rankings


The dallas cowboys and minnesota vikings went 12-20 ATS last year for that same reason



People need to stop thinking that Vegas is right about everything and any badline is a "trap"

[moses millsap]

I locked that line in early in the week cause I thought it would go way up



I can't believe people still believe in phillip rivers

Like your honesty. Good luck on the plays.

[NYSportsGuy210]

Bears (-3.5) is a good play as well as Bills +2.

[gauchojake]

there's nothing hard to read about this game. You got a team that is supposed to be a powerhouse NFL contender and they keep getting extremely inflated lines because the bookies have them so high in their power rankings


The dallas cowboys and minnesota vikings went 12-20 ATS last year for that same reason



People need to stop thinking that Vegas is right about everything and any badline is a "trap"

Look- The reason I am not touching the game is the same reason you are all over the game. It seems easy.

[brahmabull117]

Look- The reason I am not touching the game is the same reason you are all over the game. It seems easy.

Well at least you're not actually playing the eagles


Anybody backing philly at this point of the season deserves to go broke

[the_situation]

public layin pts with Eagles every week
now as a dog, everyone on Giants
Eagles gonna fukk everyone again and win SU
your teaser is toast, Det and Jax are both losing
SD has a decent shot to win also

your "6-1" streak is comin to an end

[gryfyn1]

i won't be playing the nyg/phi game but here is my mindset on games like this... no maclin, no vick...all signs point giants...take the eagles.

with no Vick or macllin, reid may finally run the correct offense for this team and give the ball to the best player on the team 30 times .

[crustyme]

chargers just became a big play for me.

thanx kerry!

[brahmabull117]

public layin pts with Eagles every week
now as a dog, everyone on Giants
Eagles gonna fukk everyone again and win SU
your teaser is toast, Det and Jax are both losing
SD has a decent shot to win also

your "6-1" streak is comin to an end

And this is all why?? Because you said so??


and the jags can lose and still cover my teaser - you realize they're 1 point dogs in the matchup right??

[No coincidences]

with no Vick or macllin, reid may finally run the correct offense for this team and give the ball to the best player on the team 30 times .

Once again, gryfyn is the voice of reason.

[brahmabull117]

Once again, gryfyn is the voice of reason.

Do me a favor and look up Lasean Mccoy's numbers when Vick is not in the lineup



dude is a career 4 YPC player (basically average). Half his game is run plays where there is a 6 foot hole up the middle because all the DEs are rushing up the field to get after Vick as soon as possible. Furthermore, you really think the Giants will allow Philly to win by just pounding the rock every play?? Not a chance



Unless the giants self - destruct here, they will win comfortably. Their defensive scheme with their dominant front four is designed to stop teams like the eagles and Eli should have no problem going up and down on Philly's defense either

[brahmabull117]

1-0 start to the day with the first leg of the 4 teamer covering as well

[brahmabull117]

2-0, first 2 legs of the 4 teamer covered as well

[dontbuythehook]

Thank god for this thread. 2k on PHI tonight

[ShogunRua]

Nice start to the day brah...you needed a good day to get back some of what you lost in college this week

[falconticket]

I took philly since Vick is not able to fuk this one up

[brahmabull117]

Nice start to the day brah...you needed a good day to get back some of what you lost in college this week

I didn't lose anything dumb fukk, I went 3-1 yesterday



you really think I would do 1 unit each play after being down 7 units for the week??? I did between 3-4 units for each and pretty much evened out for the week