Colts +7 is probably one of the easiest 1pm plays

[ttrace35]

I'm not playing this game. Good luck LB.

[robinhood]

Indy, just like the dolphins, need to lose for the draft. Fade.

[rockhardfister]

ATL Defense has turned the corner the last 2x games. Shut down Seattle and Detroit. Corey Peters is nasty now in the middle with Babineaux beside him healthy. Additionally, John Abraham is Healthy. Secondary looks much better now too. Long day for COLTS I believe. Oh yeah Julio Jones is back too.

[GoBlue77]

a team that has yet to win a game is the "easiest bet" huh fakerboy?!

i swear this kid thinks he's a sharp by picking dogs only and bad dogs at that

[kcDdegenerate]

Falcons or no play is the only way to go on this game

[hitman09]

Colts ??? Not today, this week, might be another week Boy. ATL win the game.

[Holtgetsback]

With all the trends this game looks great on paper. But this Colts team has to go out there for 60 minutes and execute.

I would like your take on how this plays out.

[wrongturn]

Took 1H under 23. Expect hard defense from colts from beginning.

[slacker00]

ATL Defense has turned the corner the last 2x games. Shut down Seattle and Detroit. Corey Peters is nasty now in the middle with Babineaux beside him healthy. Additionally, John Abraham is Healthy. Secondary looks much better now too. Long day for COLTS I believe. Oh yeah Julio Jones is back too.

They didn't exactly shut down Seattle. They were favored by 6 @ Seattle and squeaked it out 30-28 and didn't cover.

[mission]

I'm with you on sd. Trust me rivers will not have another bad game like last week. He does learn to fix his mistakes and him being back at home against gb will put him to the test. Gb has a horrid pass def and rivers should light up that pathetic gb secondary.

Packers lead the league in INTs and teams pass on them nonstop because they are always down. Calling them pathetic is a bit ignorant. It's not all about 'yards'.

[kmarinouofm]

I know its +6.5 now but i took it a +7 and i even got some in on the ML at +281. Terrible spot for the road inept Falcons. The fact the spread opened at +7 tells you all you need to know. There are tons of trends ( something i dont normally believe in) that favor the colts. The Falcons are in for a tough afternoon.

I should cash on this one and then i might hammer the Pats at 4pm. ( Might). Already have lots at stake in the NFL (especially on SD).

wait why would you hammer the pats? you are on SD ?

[hels]

This line says the books know something we don't. I would have expected the line to be -11.5 but only -6.5 with RLM will make even the worst handicapper think that something is up. Atlanta seems like the easy play and guaranteed money...... that's why they are the wrong play here. Either you take Indy or should stay away. I'm staying away.

[thelegend67]

my figs say atl by 15. this line is way off, take indy+ to the bank.

[stevenash]

LB I love you like my brother, but you realize you are backing a team that tanked every game they played, and do not even hide the fact they are tanking every game.

The O line does not give a shit about Painter, which is why he is just about dead last in passing, Colts can not pass, the Colts can not run the rock, they can not stop the run, they can not stop the pass, most importantly the Colts can not score, and they will not start today.

Ryan to White all day.
Turner busts into Colts secondary all day.


Falcons get their jollies today.
Sorry LB, that is just the way I see it.

[MichaelWaters]

Seen this movie before, I think the last showing was Boston College +14 and ML on Thursday

[Ras1112]

There are too many reasons why Colts will lose but at the end of the day this is NFL and at some point even they can win
"Any given Sunday", I won't pretend that I love this pick on the other hand desperado dog, at home against not very impressive opponent why not?
GL!

[ShawNee922]

I would rather bet my money on winless Miami than Colts, I love a lot of dogs this week (cleveland, Tampa, Miami), but not much in Colts
GL with your play LB

I'm leaning towards Miami as well ... I can't imagine enough action coming in on Miami to make the books drop this line ... and that is exactly what is happening.


<TABLE class=data cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%"><TBODY><TR class="team even"><TD class=name style="TEXT-TRANSFORM: uppercase">414 KANSAS CITY CHIEFS</TD><TD class=line>-5 -04</TD><TD class=line>-4.5 / -4 / -4 -05</TD><TD class="currentline " id=ajaxUpdating-64286-414-Current>-4</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>



As for the Colts? They lack two things that make it impossible for me to bet on them.
A QB and a Coach ...

[tokio]

I say the final score is 14-27. Ryan looked pretty good against the lions.

[canepole]

sd and indi

[Madison]

I know its +6.5 now but i took it a +7 and i even got some in on the ML at +281. Terrible spot for the road inept Falcons. The fact the spread opened at +7 tells you all you need to know. There are tons of trends ( something i dont normally believe in) that favor the colts. The Falcons are in for a tough afternoon. I should cash on this one and then i might hammer the Pats at 4pm. ( Might). Already have lots at stake in the NFL (especially on SD).

First thing I noticed Monday morning and said to self WTF is wrong here.

[Canesfan11]

laker everytime you say "Team x is such an easy play" or something like that, it loses

[Serbone]

I know its +6.5 now but i took it a +7 and i even got some in on the ML at +281. Terrible spot for the road inept Falcons. The fact the spread opened at +7 tells you all you need to know. There are tons of trends ( something i dont normally believe in) that favor the colts. The Falcons are in for a tough afternoon.

I should cash on this one and then i might hammer the Pats at 4pm. ( Might). Already have lots at stake in the NFL (especially on SD).

Tell me where I am wrong:
Atlanta is coming off a bye, is healthy; Indy dinged all over the place, weary physically and mentally.
Atlanta is 4-3, lost some tough ones early @ Chicago, @ TB, and to GB but is in contention for the playoffs, needs a win. Focused.
Atlanta (2) has played stronger schedule than Indy (10).
Its on artificial turf so no home field turf advantage, and Indy fans are hardly pumped for this at 0-7. Has Indy given up? Is coach on the ropes? Indy scored 10 pts last week, 7 the week before.
Atlanta has superior QB.
Atlanta has better "O", RB & WR's.
Atlanta has better "D".
Atlanta has strong running game, Indy is poor vs. run (31st).
Atlanta is indoors so no winds or cold to keep it close.
Atlanta -6.5.

[Madison]

This line says the books know something we don't. I would have expected the line to be -11.5 but only -6.5 with RLM will make even the worst handicapper think that something is up. Atlanta seems like the easy play and guaranteed money...... that's why they are the wrong play here. Either you take Indy or should stay away. I'm staying away.

Agreed

[chopperocker]

Road Favs of -6.5 to -7 previous 5 seasons Overall
28-13 SU
29-33 ATS

......... and vs. Non-Conference opponent
4-3 SU
1-6 ATS

......... and current season Overall
2-1 SU
1-2 ATS

the line suggests value is on the dog. good luck with your ticket.

[caseyman011]

Most of the public is on Atlanta than on San Francisco.

The conditions of the Falcons traveling to the Colts is similar to them traveling to the Lions. Indoor turf stadium. The outcome of this game should prove or disprove this.

Except Detroit>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>>Indy

[bandit bettor]

atlanta puts up 30 plus in this game unless you have painter and the colts putting up 30 as well id stay away i think the sharps using trends to much on this game when in retrospect this is probally the worst team in football they cant stop a highschool offense ryan should have a field day..

[ngates815]

only 200 on the easiest play on the board? Weird that you bet more on other games though, that aren't such a lock as this one.

hmmm.

[DHK]

Why does this moron still post...fade and u will win he is actually terrible

[jimmy007oc]

Tell me where I am wrong:
Atlanta is coming off a bye, is healthy; Indy dinged all over the place, weary physically and mentally.
Atlanta is 4-3, lost some tough ones early @ Chicago, @ TB, and to GB but is in contention for the playoffs, needs a win. Focused.
Atlanta (2) has played stronger schedule than Indy (10).
Its on artificial turf so no home field turf advantage, and Indy fans are hardly pumped for this at 0-7. Has Indy given up? Is coach on the ropes? Indy scored 10 pts last week, 7 the week before.
Atlanta has superior QB.
Atlanta has better "O", RB & WR's.
Atlanta has better "D".
Atlanta has strong running game, Indy is poor vs. run (31st).
Atlanta is indoors so no winds or cold to keep it close.
Atlanta -6.5.

With all those factors you listed above, You tell me why the line is only at -6.5. Is it look like an easy win for Falcon ???

[Monitor-Tan]

Whoever said ATL has better WR, you better check that again..

Reggie Wayne and Garcon is MUCH more favorable then Roddy White and Julio Jones


Reggie Wayne and Garcon combined:

Receptions: 72
TD: 5
Yards:1056


White and Jones combined:

Receptions: 64
TD: 3
Yards: 783


So no... ATL does not have better WR check your facts..

You can argue about Jones being Injured but sorry injury is part of the game and you can make the same arguement about having Painter as QB and they still put up good #.

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

LB are you for real with Colts ML??

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

Whoever said ATL has better WR, you better check that again..

Reggie Wayne and Garcon is MUCH more favorable then Roddy White and Julio Jones

But with Painter throwing to Wayne and Garcon, that makes the both of them useless

[Serbone]

With all those factors you listed above, You tell me why the line is only at -6.5. Is it look like an easy win for Falcon ???

Bad logic to use in this hobby: "then why isn't the line different", it will get you in trouble.
(SO why is SF only 4.5???)
Reason is because bettors like home dogs; 6.5 is a LOT for a home dog
And after last week, a lot of big dogs came in, fresh in publics minds.
Home dog SL got 13.5 from NO last week and won outright, but that was a huge letdown spot for NO, they are in control, Atlanta is NOT, two weeks to focus, needs this win badly.
And Atl is only 4-3 (again, but losses were respectable, @ Chic, @ TB, home vs GB).

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

Falcons need no explanation other than Matt Ryan in a dome.

[lakerboy]

LB are you for real with Colts ML??

D3 you asked me the same question a few weeks ago when i took seahawks ml in new york. I am more concerned with the cover but the ml has a small shot. Surprised to see you are on the bengals. Books still offering up cincy at +115. Doubt they win there.