Question for all you trend players>Ind@N.O.

LT Profits · 10-20-11, 01:51 AM

First one seems relevant if true, second one is totally meaningless.

PAULYPOKER · 10-20-11, 09:05 AM

Thanks for the input LT.....

Anyone else???

loopydude11 · 10-20-11, 09:35 AM

The Saints were the laughing stock of the league for a long time, so I don't think that first one means a lot. Even though they lost vs Cleveland at home last year so anything could happen. But I don't think on Primetime football they let the Colts take them..

PAULYPOKER · 10-20-11, 09:37 AM

Thanks LD1.....

loopydude11 · 10-20-11, 09:41 AM

NOR: 2-8 ATS L10 double-digit favorites

interesting. when they're favored by a lot, the Saints don't seem to play as hard?

trytrytry · 10-20-11, 09:41 AM

quick answer maybe but you have to do some additional homework

go back to those games and see if the line moved from the opener on those games pointing to a possible sharper side in general.....if its a situation that occurs a reasonable number of times that leads to line movement against NO it might be worth a blind type play at the best price you can shop for..if its not its just one of many stats dug up out of thousands of numbers that seems like a money maker but in fact is just a stat...

Statsational · 10-20-11, 11:06 AM

I worry about trends like this that are team specific. I wouldnt put much weight into it unless I had more information. I really like trends over a lot of games that are related to a wide number of teams. That said Indy is a play for me this week.

PAULYPOKER · 10-20-11, 11:26 AM

Originally posted by trytrytry

quick answer maybe but you have to do some additional homework go back to those games and see if the line moved from the opener on those games pointing to a possible sharper side in general.....if its a situation that occurs a reasonable number of times that leads to line movement against NO it might be worth a blind type play at the best price you can shop for..if its not its just one of many stats dug up out of thousands of numbers that seems like a money maker but in fact is just a stat...

Originally posted by Statsational

I worry about trends like this that are team specific. I wouldnt put much weight into it unless I had more information. I really like trends over a lot of games that are related to a wide number of teams. That said Indy is a play for me this week.

THX guys

str · 10-20-11, 11:58 AM

Lt Profits has it right.

Always plenty of trends but some are not at all relevant.

thebestthereis · 10-20-11, 12:05 PM

one trend is a long term loser i am pretty sure. never bet double digit favorites in the nfl. that is my rule.

Statsational · 10-20-11, 01:13 PM

Originally posted by thebestthereis

one trend is a long term loser i am pretty sure. never bet double digit favorites in the nfl. that is my rule.

Since 2001 this has been a good trend. DD favs are 143-181 ATS in that stretch.