Bye Week Teams: Denver, Tennessee, Kansas City, Arizona, San Diego, Seattle
All of them except one (SDG) have something in common: they are widely regarded as the dregs of the league, 'the suck' of the NFL so far this year. TN even has a 3-2 record and the vast majority of gamblers would happily say 'they blow, bad team."
I think this will be the week that the sportsbooks take a stack of money off the table as more than a few of the public darling teams fail to cover. In summary...lots of high scores and plenty of blowouts to start the year, with most 'easy money' games appearing to be just that, as public play after public play hits each week, and less than average league 'parity' so far for this point in the season. The public is due to get hammered, and given the 'shitty teams' on bye last week and well rested, this is a week i plan on playing a decent amount of 2-game ML parlays with various dogs. Remember, every time you think it gets 'easy' to pick nfl games ATS, parity creeps up on you and you realize it's very, very hard to do better than about 58-60% in the NFL in a given season, even with the relatively small sample size. I've seen quite a few threads on SBR lately featuring guys who are legitimately considering quitting their day jobs to gamble fulltime after the first 6 weeks of the season, and a similar phenomenon in NCAAF. Here comes variance, sneaking up behind them.
All of them except one (SDG) have something in common: they are widely regarded as the dregs of the league, 'the suck' of the NFL so far this year. TN even has a 3-2 record and the vast majority of gamblers would happily say 'they blow, bad team."
I think this will be the week that the sportsbooks take a stack of money off the table as more than a few of the public darling teams fail to cover. In summary...lots of high scores and plenty of blowouts to start the year, with most 'easy money' games appearing to be just that, as public play after public play hits each week, and less than average league 'parity' so far for this point in the season. The public is due to get hammered, and given the 'shitty teams' on bye last week and well rested, this is a week i plan on playing a decent amount of 2-game ML parlays with various dogs. Remember, every time you think it gets 'easy' to pick nfl games ATS, parity creeps up on you and you realize it's very, very hard to do better than about 58-60% in the NFL in a given season, even with the relatively small sample size. I've seen quite a few threads on SBR lately featuring guys who are legitimately considering quitting their day jobs to gamble fulltime after the first 6 weeks of the season, and a similar phenomenon in NCAAF. Here comes variance, sneaking up behind them.
