Shoulder I hedge this teaser??? Advice please...

[priskilla22]

<table class="Grid" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr class="NonAlt "><td class="NoWrap">91663539-1</td><td>10/8/11 6:42pm</td><td class="MiddleRight Currency">$650.00</td><td class="MiddleRight Currency">$500.00</td><td class="MiddleRight Currency GradedOnly AmountPaidColumn Hidden">
</td><td>Pending</td><td>4 Team Teaser (ties push) Teaser tp 13fb & 10bk</td></tr><tr class="NonAlt "><td>
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</td><td>Win</td><td>10/8/11 7:00pm College Football 354 Tennessee U +15½ * <small>vs</small> Georgia </td></tr><tr class="NonAlt "><td>
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</td><td>Win</td><td>10/8/11 7:00pm College Football 376 Baylor -3 * <small>vs</small> Iowa State </td></tr><tr class="NonAlt "><td>
</td><td>10/8/11 9:14pm</td><td>
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</td><td>Pending</td><td>10/8/11 10:30pm College Football 396 San Diego State +17½ * <small>vs</small> TCU </td></tr><tr class="NonAlt "><td>
</td><td>10/8/11 9:16pm</td><td>
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</td><td>Pending</td><td>10/8/11 10:15pm College Football 340 BYU -1½ * <small>vs</small> San Jose State </td></tr></tbody></table>
BYU is up big... but San Diego State has cost themselves like 17 points in the first half and is down 17-0.

The 2nd half line is TCU -1/2.

[davidchong]

650 for 500... NO!

[Naz18]

No.

[priskilla22]

No because I'd have no chance of winning both? Or no because you think TCU will at least cover the 17.5?

[SportsMushroom]

tcu 2nd half line looks like a trap

Id say ride it out, its -EV to hedge parlays in the long run

but its your money so do what your gut says

[priskilla22]

Ahhhhh I wish SDSU didn't choke away so many points so I didn't have to make this decision.

[priskilla22]

tcu 2nd half line looks like a trap

Id say ride it out, its -EV to hedge parlays in the long run

but its your money so do what your gut says

TCU's secondary is dreadful... so with SDSU passing and TCU probably in prevent in the 4th, I guess I like their chances to at least only lose by 17.

[Ricki Roma]

Calm urself down and believe sandiego is gonna sit pretty and,cover ur teaser. They will rebound in 2nd half bro

[priskilla22]

alright alright.

Come on SDSU.

[SportsMushroom]

well, if you cant live with the fact that you might be down 650, hedge, either hedge to get equal profit either way, or put 500 on tcu, and you either break even or go up 450

if you can take the loss stick with your original bet


*Edit* disregard, my mathematics skills are worse than I thought

[priskilla22]

well, if you cant live with the fact that you might be down 650, hedge, either hedge to get equal profit either way, or put 500 on tcu, and you either break even or go up 450

if you can take the loss stick with your original bet

I could bet TCU ML 2nd half... -140...

That way, if it is a 17 point game at the end, I'd tie my ML hedge and win the original teaser.

I'm up 1000 today.... I don't WANT to lose... I don't know if that means whether I can take it or not, LOL

[VegasInsider]

Ride it out.

[priskilla22]

alright guys, decided to ride it out.

Hope SDSU has some pride on their home field.

[Ricki Roma]

[JT OZ]

alright guys, decided to ride it out. Hope SDSU has some pride on their home field.

Always a tough decision to make but I hope it turns out well for you. I typically play dogs in teasers and have had a decent amount of luck lately with a late score to fall within the number.

[SportsMushroom]

alright guys, decided to ride it out. Hope SDSU has some pride on their home field.

good, cause I just realized what a moron I am, I couldnt do basic arithmetics, it would be impossible for you to hedge without wiping out most of your profit

[priskilla22]

good, cause I just realized what a moron I am, I couldnt do basic arithmetics, it would be impossible for you to hedge without wiping out most of your profit

The hedge would have guaranteed a loss of around $100-150 by my math.

[priskilla22]

I hate west coast teams. They're all garbage besides Stanford.

[Dkid]

just have faith man. its only the 3rd. lets see what happens.

[priskilla22]

just have faith man. its only the 3rd. lets see what happens.

I can't have faith for a team who fumbled a field goal attempt and then fumbled at the 2 into the back of the end zone or on a team that has 0 points at home against a defense who has been lit up all year.

[priskilla22]

And now the stupid fa\*\*ot for SDSU throws an INT deep into SDSU territory.

Should have hedged. This SDSU team has no business in D1 football.

[Ricki Roma]

San diego in teh RED..

[SportsMushroom]

that was an awesome recovery

have faith

[Ricki Roma]

20-7 5 left in the 3rd

[SportsMushroom]

its amazing how suddenly momentum shifts in sports

[Ricki Roma]

I bet hes calmed down

[SportsMushroom]

I bet hes calmed down

nah probably turned the tv off after that interception in san diegos territory when it was still 17-0

[Ricki Roma]

not good..

[SportsMushroom]

not good..

if they can keep them to a field goal here, the bet is safe

[priskilla22]

WOW, it holds on...

But a big **** YOU to TCU for trying to score when they were up by 13 with 1:40 left.

[SportsMushroom]

WOW, it holds on... But a big **** YOU to TCU for trying to score when they were up by 13 with 1:40 left.

yes they were 5 yards away from screwing you

[priskilla22]

yes they were 5 yards away from screwing you

I was shocked... I was only following on my phone, so maybe they just ran up the middle and SDSU didn't tackle well, but if they did some kind of misdirection or off center run to get that big run, that is pretty classless since the game was pretty much milked if they just run 3 times up the gut.

Thank god for the fumble though.

Thanks for the advice in this thread, I was close to hedging before everyone said no.

[Ricki Roma]

You owe us a drink if we ever meet you bro

[priskilla22]

You owe us a drink if we ever meet you bro

I'm moving to Chi-town in a few months. Look for the guy with the Cubs hat.

[Ricki Roma]

I'm moving to Chi-town in a few months. Look for the guy with the Cubs hat.

thats half the population