How the fukk do you handicap week 1 in the NFL?

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  • DwightShrute
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-17-09
    • 103406

    #1
    How the fukk do you handicap week 1 in the NFL?
    to me it s more of a guessing game than any other week during the season. So many new players, coaches and systems in place. Forget using the pre-season as some kind of measuring stick as to how the teams will be in the regular season. Or should we?

    Are the Lions really better?
    Will the NFC West produce an above .500 team?
    Are the Rams really better?
    Will the Chargers suck early on again and then look unbeatable until the play-off come around?
    Will the Pats roll throughout the season only to lose again at home in the play-offs?
    Are the Ravens ready to take the next step or will the Steelers again ruin the party?
    Do the Browns have a chance in that division?
    Is Garrett what the Cowboys needed?
    Are the Eagles really gonna be that good?
    Are the Bears gonna win the NFC North again?
    What about the Giants? no one is really talking about them.
    Jets? They seem to win ugly but win they do.
    Will Miami surprise the Pats and the Jets? Upset the Pats Monday?

    So many questions will eventually be answered but what a bout week one betting? I am gonna go with some totals, 1H totals. Just as in last nights game in GB, I am gonna bet things to over in a few games.

    TOTAL o18-105 (1H PITTSBURGH vrs 1H BALTIMORE)
    TOTAL o20½-110 (1H DETROIT vrs 1H TAMPA BAY)
    TOTAL o18-105 (1H CINCINNATI vrs 1H CLEVELAND)
    TOTAL o20½-105 (1H ATLANTA vrs 1H CHICAGO)

    Any thoughts?
  • k13
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-16-10
    • 18104

    #2
    Originally posted by DwightShrute
    Are the Lions really better? NO
    Will the NFC West produce an above .500 team? YES
    Are the Rams really better? NO
    Will the Chargers suck early on again and then look unbeatable until the play-off come around? NO
    Will the Pats roll throughout the season only to lose again at home in the play-offs? NO
    Are the Ravens ready to take the next step or will the Steelers again ruin the party? no
    Do the Browns have a chance in that division? NO
    Is Garrett what the Cowboys needed? NO
    Are the Eagles really gonna be that good? NO
    Are the Bears gonna win the NFC North again? NO
    What about the Giants? no one is really talking about them. Giants will be Giants
    Jets? They seem to win ugly but win they do. Continue ugly.
    Will Miami surprise the Pats and the Jets? Upset the Pats Monday? NO. Possible but unlikely.
    There you go.
    Comment
    • DwightShrute
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-17-09
      • 103406

      #3
      Originally posted by k13
      There you go.
      Comment
      • neverstoppers23
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 11-26-09
        • 6302

        #4
        Obviously there are some games that you shouldn't touch but there are about 3 to 4 games that are clear as day to me.
        Comment
        • DwightShrute
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-17-09
          • 103406

          #5
          Originally posted by neverstoppers23
          there are about 3 to 4 games that are clear as day to me.
          like?
          Comment
          • LolsMcwinsey
            SBR MVP
            • 06-08-10
            • 2660

            #6
            yea, there are about 3-4 free money games
            Comment
            • DwightShrute
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-17-09
              • 103406

              #7
              Originally posted by LolsMcwinsey
              yea, there are about 3-4 free money games
              which do u like?
              Comment
              • Tech N9ne
                Restricted User
                • 06-24-11
                • 5366

                #8
                Lions are free money

                You would be damn fool not to bet them
                Comment
                • DwightShrute
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-17-09
                  • 103406

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Tech N9ne
                  Lions are free money

                  You would be damn fool not to bet them
                  what do u like more. the over or the lions +1½-110 or ML +105?
                  Comment
                  • INVEGA MAN
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 01-30-08
                    • 6800

                    #10
                    Always let the dog bark when u don't know what to do
                    Comment
                    • slacker00
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 10-06-05
                      • 12262

                      #11
                      Originally posted by DwightShrute
                      what do u like more. the over or the lions +1½-110 or ML +105?
                      All of the above and tease them too. A good strategy is often to hedge across a lot of different types of bets.
                      Comment
                      • Bogart45
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 11-21-08
                        • 379

                        #12
                        hard work and experience is how you cap week 1.
                        Comment
                        • Blutarski
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 08-20-09
                          • 191

                          #13
                          Rams under
                          Comment
                          • seaborneq
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 09-08-06
                            • 22556

                            #14
                            Just like you do anyone week........gut feeling
                            Comment
                            • CanuckG
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 12-23-10
                              • 21978

                              #15
                              good luck guy
                              Comment
                              • rkelly110
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 10-05-09
                                • 39691

                                #16
                                Do you have stats on 1st 1/2 totals?

                                Going by last years stats on o/u's, NE 13-3 o, NYJ 12-4 o, Ind 10-5-1 o, Jak 12-4 o, Hou 11-5 o,
                                Oak 10-6 o, Den 11-5 o, Phil 10-6 o, Dal 13-3 o, Det 10-5-1 o, Sea 11-4-1 o, & Ariz 10-6 o.

                                These are game totals. Stats from Covers.

                                From what I see there are very few unders.
                                Comment
                                • Jmayor
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 11-24-10
                                  • 780

                                  #17
                                  Just find one or two games that seem profitable. I would only touch established teams if you ask me. Once week 2 or 3 come you'll know then
                                  Comment
                                  • DwightShrute
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-17-09
                                    • 103406

                                    #18
                                    cant wait for Sunday! I hope I can get some sleep Saturday
                                    Comment
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