Thursday Night Football: Packers vs. Saints

[Cougar Bait]

Line sitting between 4 and 4.5 as last years Super Bowl Champions are favored. Total between 47 and 48 but opened at a conservative 46.

Let's discuss this game and figure out the right side. These nightly football threads have been very productive in the early season. Usually lots of good info, thanks for that guys

Early lean is Packers and the over but I am just guessing that is square city. Haven't looked at the betting percentages yet. Anyone who has the current breakdown please post it.

[Cougar Bait]

At work, need some numbers....

Thoughts on teasing it over and Saints to 10.5?

[k13]

ML seems high for the spread, no?

Should be closer to -200 than -220 to -245..........

[SBRPicks]

The SBRtv Experts' Roundtable take on the game:

<iframe width="640" height="390" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/EXJl669dNbY" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

[notsosharp]

the under is the play.

[King Mayan]

Under 48 is the play.

[Brock Landers]

thinking New Orleans +4

Game is very likely to be decided by a FG either way

[jjgold]

Tough game

still undecided

Cougar ( Trey) good luck tonight

[bringdownthehous]

tease up to 10.5 looks pretty good to me...already locked that in with the pats to -1

[k13]

now -250, ok. I guess someone listened to me.

[Cougar Bait]

Tough game

still undecided

Cougar ( Trey) good luck tonight

WTF???

Thinking teaser is the way I am going.

[ProfaneReality]

Over

[VegasInsider]

NOR ML for me

[Cougar Bait]

JJ has Packers 1st half -3

Brock is on Saints

[firedawg]

i think teasing saints too the over is the right play cougar

[Djstucky]

JJ has Packers 1st half -3

Brock is on Saints

When this is the case...one must punt...

[Cougar Bait]

Official play: Green Bay TT OVER 26 (1 unit)

It's hard to predict what to expect from the Saints offense since they won't be at home and they are playing a very talented Green Bay defense in a really tough environment. The Saints D is not exceptional and Rodgers should be able to get a TD per quarter. I still can't get any numbers on the public percentages so if you have them, please post them.

[Housemoney]

Nice CB, that is my only play on the game too. Playing Okl St. 1st hal and the game too.

[Tech N9ne]

Spread: Saints 42% Packers 58%

Total: Over 74% Under 26%

[Cougar Bait]

Spread: Saints 42% Packers 58%

Total: Over 74% Under 26%

What site T9?

[No coincidences]

Spread: Saints 42% Packers 58%

Total: Over 74% Under 26%

Where are you getting this? I don't have the Saints anywhere near 42%.

[BIGDAY]

I hit up some props. IMO some of the best way to get +EV.

Passing TD's for Packers OVER 2 +130
Passing TD's for Saints OVER 2 +130

I think one of these QB's will get 3 or more. Just don't know which one. Looking to profit easily though... GL Cougar

[wantitall4moi]

teasing that number is a very bad idea.

as for the game dog ML is along term winner at anything over +200. whether it cashes tonight or not is the question.

[No coincidences]

teasing that number is a very bad idea.

as for the game dog ML is along term winner at anything over +200. whether it cashes tonight or not is the question.

Teasing 4.5 to 10.5?

[wantitall4moi]

Teasing 4.5 to 10.5?

no its not good. not nearly as good as people think anyway.

Numbers dont usually matter to some people but on spreads from 3.5 to 5 (will use a range rather thana specific number) 6 point teasers are 69%

Looking specifically at 4.5 teasers are 66%

I knw the teaser guys have a teaser slide rule, I dont pay to much attention but I doubt anything under 74% would be a 'value' bet.

[Going4Broke]

Saints +4.5 for 3* and Under 48 for 1*.

7-point teaser: 5*

Saints +11.5
Arizona -1

[Tech N9ne]

Spread: Saints 42% Packers 58% Total: Over 74% Under 26%

What site T9?

Where are you getting this? I don't have the Saints anywhere near 42%.

Sportsbookspy

Thanks for the points cougar

GL tonight men

[Fab floyd]

packers and over

I like the packers to win by a touchdown . The saints kicker has been replaced by Kasey and anything outside 43 yards will be a question mark!

[HOT WINGS]

At first I liked Saints and Over, but after looking into it more I think Packers -4 is the play I like best. Superbowl favorite has won season opening game 14 out of last 15. Only loss was Bronco's in 1999 but that was the year after Elway retired and Griese was his replacement. I don't have ATS numbers but they all won by 3 or more. I hate buying points so probably just buy the hook and play at -4. I think Packers come out with some energy and get it done. As for total I lean more to under now as well especially if the number keeps climbing. GL

[Cougar Bait]

Swami has Packers 27, Saints 21

Brock just text me he has Packers ML

[Footballtime]

I got a 31-27 or 31-28 game here boys. OVER all night, if this wasnt the 1st game of year the total would be 53, Im a little worried cause Saints are missing Hartley (K) so i hope the new kicker doesnt mess up my total play! GL Boys FBT

[beerman2619]

Like the under especially with the new kickoff rule. 80 to 90 percent of time teams will be starting at the 20 long field kids.

[ShogunRua]

thinking New Orleans +4

Game is very likely to be decided by a FG either way

Stopped reading after this. I'm on GB. Good luck all.

[Cougar Bait]

Brock has Green Bay ML

But I think tonight he wins

[shade3599]

the latest has Green Bay getting 58% at -4.5 and over 48 is at 73%. I think I am staying away and taking Oklahoma St. tonight. Good luck everyone.