The Seer's 2011 NCAAF & NFL thread

[Lazyboy311]

Thurs night:

Akron +14 -105
BC +14.5

C FL -1.5 2 units

GL with your plays

Love the UCF play...BOL always bud and thanks for the insight!

[Joe Sharp]

Damn. Shitty start.

[jjgold]

Seer in trouble tonight

FUK

[The Seer]

Love the UCF play...BOL always bud and thanks for the insight!

me too

Damn. Shitty start.

no doubt

Seer in trouble tonight

FUK

i knew i shouldn't have forced those other 2, at least they were only a unit each


adding:

2nd half C Fl -1/2 -105 1 unit

[The Seer]

tonight: 0-4 for -5.40 units last 2 days kinda sucked, looking forward to this weekend

[Louisvillekid1]

mid week games will kill ya, playing just too have action... you'll bounce back...

[blackbeSSt]

yeah these weekday games are good tease material. no worries seer the real games start tomorrow

[House]

Good morning Seer,Im looking for some opinions .. what do you think

Hit my 3 team 12pt teaser again last night,thats 4 straight 3 team 12 point teasers to win $500 each .....tonight I like USC to smash on Colorado , so -8 sounds good....I like Central Florida (the better team +13 to cover).....here's were I'm kinda stuck ..I do like over 31 in the CF/Kent game...or do I go under 53?...or is there a better route as far as the #3 goes ...Im locked in on the other two.....come you guys....what do you think...I play these to win $500 ...anyone? Any help or opinions would be very much appreciated ....GL tonight either way guys....get that money !!!

[jjgold]

Good morning Seer,Im looking for some opinions .. what do you think

Hit my 3 team 12pt teaser again last night,thats 4 straight 3 team 12 point teasers to win $500 each .....tonight I like USC to smash on Colorado , so -8 sounds good....I like Central Florida (the better team +13 to cover).....here's were I'm kinda stuck ..I do like over 31 in the CF/Kent game...or do I go under 53?...or is there a better route as far as the #3 goes ...Im locked in on the other two.....come you guys....what do you think...I play these to win $500 ...anyone? Any help or opinions would be very much appreciated ....GL tonight either way guys....get that money !!!

nice work there..seems teasers are the only type of bets you can get lucky runs on

[The Seer]

House, I would have put Colorado in the teaser.


Tonight's game:

This is the classic letdown situation. Coming off an emotional overtime game in which USC beat themselves with a deciding fumble into the endzone, they now go on the road as a 3 TD favorite against Colorado. USC could have made their season with the win and came away with disappointment. Not even kiffin's head seems to be in this game as he has been talking about the timeout he claimed he called at the end of regulation for a fg attempt. No way these 18-22 yr old kids can be focused for this short week's game vs Colorado. Colorado has been bad this season but this is their one chance to do something worth a shit. I think they can win this straight up.

3 units
Football - College Lines (Game) Point Spread
(314) Colorado +21½ (-110)*Fri@7:00p

Also adding
Colorado ML +850 1 unit

[testertips]

Also adding
Colorado ML +850 1 unit

hmmm... thinking about dropping minimum on this play.

[freeVICK]

wow 3 units, gotta tail you on this

gl

[The Seer]

U guys might have to wait before kickoff to get that number now. I wouldn't play it unless I got at least 21. Also, be careful, I've lost units the last couple of nights. I could have a totally wrong read here but having A good cushion unit wise is allowing it. GL

[freeVICK]

i got 21, and no worries bro. we tail at our own risk

[towncar02]

Ok vanderbuilt +14?????????????

[The Seer]

Ok vanderbuilt +14?????????????

I would be leery of Vandy after the way they lost last week when they easily had it won.

[sjm5122]

Seer, any thoughs/picks on the CMU/Kent St. game?

[towncar02]

I know, i took vandy last week and was disappointed but caught my eye again this week

[towncar02]

On the road, embarassed from last week, and hungary I think they r a good play

[sweethook]

gl tonight guys

[YouHave2outs]

gl tonight seer. USC alum, gotta lay off that

[The Seer]

a couple of good ass kickings the last two nights losing 10 or so units , gotta get back at it though

Early games:

Louisville +13
E. Michigan -2.5
UConn -2
Michigan -4
Mich allowed opponents to score on just 15 of 25 trips to the red zone through 8 games. The 60% mark is the best in the country. 25 attempts in 8 games, thus they are allowing an average of 3.1 trips into the red zone per game.


might add another early game shortly

[Luv2Play2]

Coker looks like " franco"

[The Seer]

adding:

Vandy +13
I don't normally back teams going on the road after devastating losses but this is just too many points for Florida which is having trouble scoring. This Vandy defense is the real deal. Florida is in a little disarray and Rainey is really banged up. Florida will be let down as well coming off a tough Georgia loss.

[towncar02]

Vandy eh? I like

[The Seer]

adding:
New Mex St +34.5
Maryland +3 -105

[The Seer]

adding:
2nd half Michigan -4.5

Wyoming +19.5 2 units TCU gets caught looking ahead to Boise next week against a good Wyoming squad at home.
Duke +15.5

[The Seer]

I keep finding what looks like holes to me on this card:

Navy -7 -115 2 units
It's too hard for a sunbelt conference team to prepare for the Navy option when they haven't seen it. They do not have the athletes on their scout team to come close to simulating what they will see.

[shocktopme]

.

Nice my friend........I like it as well...Who ya on for tonights big game Seer???I'm gonna lay off it myself but LSU with 5 would be my choice.....If it was at LSU I'd flop that......Good luck today!!

[Lazyboy311]

Hey bud- I'm playing Purdue, Ole Miss in afternoon games. Way too many points to give PU and line movement is fishy at best. Ole Miss is playing a UK team that I've seen twice in person and just downright sucks. They almost lost to WKU in Nash earlier this year...which leads me to the homer play of the day: WKU ML +145. Go tops!!

[The Seer]

Nice my friend........I like it as well...Who ya on for tonights big game Seer???I'm gonna lay off it myself but LSU with 5 would be my choice.....If it was at LSU I'd flop that......Good luck today!!

yes, on LSU here
LSU +5. Bama's home field is not worth 5 points like some of these "experts" say. As a matter of fact home field in big SEC games is often over rated as these teams play at tough venues every other week unlike other conferences so they are used to it. The road team wins often in this series. The fact that Bama hdoesn't have the big play makers at WR will hurt them. LSU has better athletes at corner than any other team in the country. They will be able to play man to man and put 9 in the box. The O-line size advantage for Bama will be nullified by LSU's ability to rotate D-linemen. LSU just has more play makers and game changers all around than Bama. Much has been made about Saban in revenge but Miles is underrated and has shown he can get his team to play at peak levels even in letdown games and with major distractions. Winning the way they did at W V andvs Oregon is very impressive. I've met both of these guys and been to their practices. Miles has a confident cockiness to him that is reflected in his players. I think the pressure is on Bama here. McCarron has not started a game of this magnitude and Lee and Jefferson have. Miles will have tricks up his sleeve no doubt as well. I expect turnovers to be critical in this game. I'd much rather be getting 5 than giving it. I've got to pull for them anyway. The best player I ever coached will be starting on the LSU defense. No way I'd ever name him on a gambling forum though. Should be fun to watch.

Also
Oregon State +21 2 units I love Mike Riley in this spot. Stanford coming off the triple overtime game on the road with Oregon on deck.

[The Seer]

Hey bud- I'm playing Purdue, Ole Miss in afternoon games. Way too many points to give PU and line movement is fishy at best. Ole Miss is playing a UK team that I've seen twice in person and just downright sucks. They almost lost to WKU in Nash earlier this year...which leads me to the homer play of the day: WKU ML +145. Go tops!!

no play on Ole miss but I did add
Purdue +27 -105 too also
Tex Am +14 -105both for a unit

[The Seer]

added:
1st half San Jose St -4.5

[The Seer]

adding:
2nd half Kentucky +1.5 -120

[canepole]

thnks seer good write up on lsu