The Seer's 2011 NCAAF & NFL thread

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  • Joe Sharp
    SBR MVP
    • 06-01-09
    • 3011

    #246
    Comment
    • SCRAGGS
      SBR MVP
      • 05-21-09
      • 1969

      #247
      shit load of dogs last two days seer.
      Comment
      • The Seer
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-29-07
        • 10641

        #248
        Originally posted by SCRAGGS
        shit load of dogs last two days seer.
        I always have alot of dogs scraggs. Apparently, they don't cover much in NCAAF anymore. I'm hoping the books will adjust next week. They've been doing well in the NFL though.
        Comment
        • The Seer
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-29-07
          • 10641

          #249
          Originally posted by The Seer
          Kansas City +1.5 Buffalo +3 -105 Carolina +7 -115 Oakland +5
          Originally posted by The Seer
          teaser Minny +3 & Carolina +13
          Originally posted by The Seer
          Philly/Buffalo over 52.5
          Originally posted by The Seer
          Car/N.O. under 52
          looks to go 6-1 early if things hold up

          Late games:
          Denver +4
          SD/Den under 47.5
          NYJ +8
          teaser Denver +10 & Atl +12
          Comment
          • SCRAGGS
            SBR MVP
            • 05-21-09
            • 1969

            #250
            you are a nfl badass, nice work seer
            Comment
            • The Seer
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-29-07
              • 10641

              #251
              thanks scraggs


              the only 2nd half bet:

              NYJ/NE over 23 2nd half
              Comment
              • Lazyboy311
                SBR Sharp
                • 05-04-10
                • 409

                #252
                seeing Pats -4 2h.....over pretty solid as well.

                Go Dawgs??
                Comment
                • The Seer
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-29-07
                  • 10641

                  #253
                  Originally posted by Lazyboy311
                  seeing Pats -4 2h.....over pretty solid as well. Go Dawgs??
                  ha ha lazyboy, good job yesterday. I'm on the Jets for the game and am staying with that. Mangold back at center is huge. Jets can move the ball without Sanchez having to do too much.
                  Comment
                  • Lazyboy311
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 05-04-10
                    • 409

                    #254
                    Originally posted by The Seer
                    ha ha lazyboy, good job yesterday. I'm on the Jets for the game and am staying with that. Mangold back at center is huge. Jets can move the ball without Sanchez having to do too much.
                    Yeah good times last night...you've more than made up for it today. Thoughts on GB covering or any other late night play?
                    Comment
                    • The Seer
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 10-29-07
                      • 10641

                      #255
                      Originally posted by Lazyboy311
                      Yeah good times last night...you've more than made up for it today. Thoughts on GB covering or any other late night play?
                      Gonna get on Atlanta +7
                      Comment
                      • Lazyboy311
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 05-04-10
                        • 409

                        #256
                        Originally posted by The Seer
                        Gonna get on Atlanta +7
                        Gotta go against you here man....GB def is no joke and ATL O doesn't have the same pop as usual across the board. GL regardless. Any dumb props you like? I'm feeling frisky....
                        Comment
                        • ZBOIZ
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 06-22-08
                          • 21464

                          #257
                          Seer can you please explain to me what you see in Atlanta ? Maybe I'm missing something but Atlanta is not a good football team. Everything starts up front and Atlanta struggles severly to protect Ryan. Yes, I know GB is 31st against the pass but if your OLINE can't protect it negates all of that. I'm feeling GB minus everything up to 9 and the OVER!
                          Comment
                          • The Seer
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 10-29-07
                            • 10641

                            #258
                            zboiz, because a TD to give Atlanta at home is too many. This should be a fg game either way and I would take a TD in this situation every time. I think the total is too high as well.

                            7-4 so far today with a pending teaser on Atlanta +12
                            adding:
                            Atlanta +7-115
                            under 54.5 -105
                            Comment
                            • gummo
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 09-04-06
                              • 6297

                              #259
                              Don't doubt the Seer on his NFL picks.
                              Comment
                              • The Seer
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 10-29-07
                                • 10641

                                #260
                                9-5 so far this week in the NFL
                                Detroit was the beneficiary of two colossal chokes the past 2 weeks. Minny held them to 20 yds rushing and 1 yd per carry and let up and let big plays kill them in the end. Detroit still had trouble scoring TDs in the 2nd half. Hanson came through with 5 fgs. In Dallas, Romo gave up 2 pick 6s and a 3rd pick in what was basically a blowout happening. Detroit is a good team but not as good as they are given credit for. The other 2 teams had a case of getting ahead easily and then coasting. I'm not sold that Detroit is 7 points better than Chicago. Chicago has already played New Orleans and Green Bay. Detroit hasn't. This should be two 2-2 teams playing each other. Chicago is used to playing in prime time games and Detroit is not. I think there is too much distraction for them and expect maybe a win but won't cover similar to Tampa Bay.
                                5.5 was a no play for me but when it moved to 7 it was time to take the points here.

                                Chicago+7

                                GL fellas.
                                Comment
                                • Mully85
                                  SBR Hustler
                                  • 08-23-10
                                  • 56

                                  #261
                                  Is it just me or is that pick 2 days too late? Probably a good thing though.... Keep up the good work Seer! I enjoy your picks and how they include write-ups. Too many people on here just throw their picks around without giving any rhyme or reason as to why they're even picking.
                                  Comment
                                  • adrenalinerush
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 11-13-10
                                    • 140

                                    #262
                                    No, it is just you. Look at the time stamp. The pick was posted Monday at 7:39pm.
                                    Comment
                                    • jgray
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-06-09
                                      • 3599

                                      #263
                                      Originally posted by adrenalinerush
                                      No, it is just you. Look at the time stamp. The pick was posted Monday at 7:39pm.
                                      Yup. Just him. If not it would would have been a really bad pick given that it lost 2 days ago.
                                      Comment
                                      • jjgold
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 07-20-05
                                        • 388179

                                        #264
                                        Seer is hanging around
                                        College foots is slowing him down
                                        A lot of pressure on him knowing he is the 4th ranked college football handicapper in the nation
                                        Comment
                                        • The Seer
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-29-07
                                          • 10641

                                          #265
                                          I went 2-11 in NCAAF last week losing over 10 units, worst weekend ever. The NCAAF overall record is now 33-38 for -8.35 units. When you bet alot of dogs and all the favorites cover, shit happens. The books will adjust and it will turn around. I'm not too worried. NFL is still doing real well, 9-6 last week and picking up another +2.35 units for a total of 39-28 for +9.45 units in the NFL overall, still showing an overall profit for both sports.

                                          Thursday:

                                          San Diego St +7
                                          under 59
                                          SDSt is used to seeing option football. They play Air Force every year and have played Navy already this year. Normally, the spread is set at a fair number except for one huge thing. The Air Force defensive line has been hit hard with injuries. Service Academies aren't very deep at any position but in the trenches where size matters is even more magnified. AF will be undersized and under experienced there tonight again the Aztecs. Air Force is gonna do their share of rushing but SD ST will have plenty of success rushing the football as well which will force this game under the total. Overall, I expect another tight one like last year and SD St threatening to win outright. leaning SD ST ML as well. Here is some info http://www.sportsfanlive.com/web/art...ns&tid=twitter

                                          1st half CAL +1.5
                                          If Cal is gonna get USC again this is the year. In their last 2 games vs Oregon and Washington they were down by 1 at the half. They tend to fight hard in the first half and fade in the second which is why I can't take them for the entire game here.
                                          Comment
                                          • The Seer
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 10-29-07
                                            • 10641

                                            #266
                                            adding:
                                            USC/Cal under 58.5
                                            Comment
                                            • The Seer
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 10-29-07
                                              • 10641

                                              #267
                                              Friday:

                                              San Jose St +6.5

                                              GL
                                              Comment
                                              • Lazyboy311
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 05-04-10
                                                • 409

                                                #268
                                                Good call last night man...what's it looking like for the early games today? BOL
                                                Comment
                                                • The Seer
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 10-29-07
                                                  • 10641

                                                  #269
                                                  Sat:
                                                  Pitt -6
                                                  Tex AM -8 -105
                                                  Mich St -2.5
                                                  Louisville +14 -125
                                                  Comment
                                                  • sjm5122
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-22-08
                                                    • 4213

                                                    #270
                                                    glad to see you are on MSU and AM with me, Good luck today
                                                    Comment
                                                    • The Seer
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 10-29-07
                                                      • 10641

                                                      #271
                                                      add:
                                                      MS St +3 +105
                                                      Comment
                                                      • The Seer
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 10-29-07
                                                        • 10641

                                                        #272
                                                        adding:
                                                        Tennessee +18

                                                        Bodog still has that juicy line up. Les Miles will continue to burn money as a DD conference fav. Matt Sims played all of the tough games last year including coming up one play short of beating them last year. Even though there is some drop off of talent from Bray, it's not as much as the odds makers adjusted for. This should be -10 not -18. I expect low scoring ball control game.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • The Seer
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 10-29-07
                                                          • 10641

                                                          #273
                                                          thanks sjm, GL as well


                                                          adding:
                                                          Virginia +8

                                                          Georgia Tech has beaten non conference opponents by 42, 28, & 42. However, they have only beaten conference opponents by 7, 5, & 10. Teams that are used to seeing option football (such as conference opponents) know their defensive assignments much better. This Virginia team is much improved from recent years as well. I wouldn't be surprised if they won outright at home.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • The Seer
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 10-29-07
                                                            • 10641

                                                            #274
                                                            adding:

                                                            UNLV +11
                                                            E. Mich +11
                                                            Comment
                                                            • The Seer
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 10-29-07
                                                              • 10641

                                                              #275
                                                              whoopin' ass early

                                                              other 2:30 games I'm on:

                                                              Ohio U -14 -115
                                                              Oreg St -3-115
                                                              Tulane -1.5 -105
                                                              N. ILL -1.5
                                                              Wash -17 -115
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Holtgetsback
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-04-10
                                                                • 4655

                                                                #276
                                                                i played michigan state and a&m after you confirmed my leans



                                                                I like oklahoma state -7 against texas
                                                                Comment
                                                                • The Seer
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 10-29-07
                                                                  • 10641

                                                                  #277
                                                                  Originally posted by Holtgetsback
                                                                  i played michigan state and a&m after you confirmed my leans I like oklahoma state -7 against texas
                                                                  the number makes me lean tex but gonna stay away
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ZBOIZ
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 06-22-08
                                                                    • 21464

                                                                    #278
                                                                    Seer I respect your opinion but I see LSU tearing Tennessee into pieces!
                                                                    LSU 31
                                                                    Tennessee 6
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • The Seer
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 10-29-07
                                                                      • 10641

                                                                      #279
                                                                      adding:
                                                                      in play line (bodog) Texas +7.5 -105
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • The Seer
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 10-29-07
                                                                        • 10641

                                                                        #280
                                                                        adding:

                                                                        Virginia Tech -6.5
                                                                        Comment
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