Are the D-Backs a no-brainer or a sucker bet Thursday?

[t-wizzle]

7 wins in a row for Kennedy and he's a +135 dog against Vance Worley? Worley has been excellent but he's starting to leak some oil his last couple starts. Phils were shutout and only managed 3 hits back in May against Kennedy so they certainly don't have confidence against him. Finally, and maybe most importantly, the Phillies have a bad habit of putting forth some offensive dud performances after a breakout game the night before (looks like they are on their way to scoring around 10 runs tonight).

[No coincidences]

f\*\*k Vance Worley.

That ************ will give up 10 runs and the Phils will rally to win 11-10.

[t-wizzle]

f\*\*k Vance Worley. That ************ will give up 10 runs and the Phils will rally to win 11-10.

No coin, the Phils are notorious for not being able to score after a breakout game. Add on to that the fact that they're facing Kennedy and I think it adds up to a D-backs win. RRL might be a really good play.

[blumpkin]

Vance Worley has begun his trip back down to earth his last outing.

[No coincidences]

No coin, the Phils are notorious for not being able to score after a breakout game. Add on to that the fact that they're facing Kennedy and I think it adds up to a D-backs win. RRL might be a really good play.

If I fade this f\*\*k, the Phils will still find a way to win.

[lakerboy]

This is a complete no play.,

[rm18]

Phillies are now 106-2 with Schnieder behind the plate be careful

[t-wizzle]

If I fade this f\*\*k, the Phils will still find a way to win.

The series is on the line but they lost the series to san fran at home too.

The only problem is that at some point Kennedy has to lose a game.

[letsgo]

Phillies are now 106-2 with Schnieder behind the plate be careful

I think Ruiz will catch tomorrow, he was available tonight.

[DANO74]

I would not bet this game.

[KC]

Kennedy 7 straight wins but the Phils left handed bats should end that run

[laclippers504]

This is a complete no play.,

Exactly

[LT Profits]

D-Backs or pass. Can't bet Phillies as a decided favorite given this pitching matchup.

[Naz18]

Ian Kennedy has good numbers against the Phillies.

[diop]

i really dont think arizona will win this series in the decider tmw.. kennedy is pitching real welll, but wat did u expect the line to be? any game at home by the phils is always going to be -160 or more pretty much

[LovetoSpooge]

I can't find any angle on this I actually like. No play for me.

[Pluthero]

Small play on Arizona for me. Kennedy's been too hot to pass up as a dog.

[J-Ro11]

I'm taking the over tonight.


P.S. Ef the Dbacks

[LockPickMaster]

Go with the Phillies. Worley will bounce back with the advice from the best pitching staff in MLB and their bats are hot. You can thank me later

[LT Profits]

I can't find any angle on this I actually like. No play for me.

How about Kennedy's two starts vs. the Phillies?

This year: Complete Game 3-hit shutout with 10 strikeouts
Last year: Allowed two runs and only four hits in 8 innings

Besides, Worley is not that good and his last start probably began his regression to his proper mediocre level.

[LT Profits]

i really dont think arizona will win this series in the decider tmw.. kennedy is pitching real welll, but wat did u expect the line to be? any game at home by the phils is always going to be -160 or more pretty much

Gambler's Fallacy, fact that Zona is going for a series win means nothing. You have to handicap every game on its own merit, and the D-Backs have a huge pitching edge in this game (at least with the starter). Even their bullpen has been on pace with Philly's lately.

[wikkidinsane]

This is sucha good freaking value I think im stealing one. I might lose but itis the right pick by far

[Boxer300]

I think you have to go Dbacks here or no play. Still looking at the total.

[Tech N9ne]

Worley is a beast

Phils win easy

[LT Profits]

Worley is a beast

Phils win easy

If you think Worley is a beast, what does that make Kennedy?

In actuality, both pitchers have fluky records, but Kennedy is more legit.

[LT Profits]

Dang I was home alone with the kids most of the morning until a few minutes ago and hadn't put in any MLB plays yet. By the time I was "free" (lol), the best I could find on Zona was +129. I am passing at that price.

[Sambooka]

the public is on Arizona

[obamaismyuncle]

I see 58% on the Phils

[philswin]

Looks like some value on Arizona, but over 8 looks like a good play. Carlos Ruiz missed yesterdays game with a testiculur contusion after getting hit in the groin area with a Roy Halladay pitch OUCH

[CHAZ]

Most likely a no play for me. I think Philly takes care of business and put down ARI tonight. Worley settled down after the first inning in his last start but all in all the diamondbacks have the better pitcher on the mound so I'd rather just pass here at this price.

"Shane Victorino is hitless in eight career at-bats against Ian Kennedy, with three of the at-bats ending in a strikeout."

"Kennedy is 1-0 with a 1.06 ERA in two career starts against Philadelphia including his only career shutout -- a 3-hitter with 10 strikeouts April 25 at home. Polanco had two of the hits off Kennedy in that matchup but is currently on the disabled list due to a sports hernia."


Maybe the UNDER?

[guil0000]

Arizona for me. Don't overthink this, we are getting a good price on a 50/50 game at best.

[t-wizzle]

odds on Zona dropped. Kennedy should be able to shut down the Phils but I'm not sure why the Phils TT Over 4 is juiced at -111.

[philswin]

Victorino out tonight 2 day suspension

[brahmabull117]

this game is a total coin flip

[philswin]

No Ryan Howard or Carlos Ruiz either