Handicapping the GOP Race? Keep an eye on search trends

[Bill Dozer]

Candidate popularity by search

Of course during certain events, positive and negative, there are spikes. This is a good capping tool to detect potential value before the mainstream media channels pick their guy/gal.

We are much more social media than we were in the last election. Internet ad buys are way up and television ads way down overall.

[Br0nxer]

pretty sure obama was like 100-1 at one point during the decision to pick democratic candidate. forget what thats called.

[Bill Dozer]

He was a big dog. I'd bet if you you pick the date range in this tool you can see his popularity outpace the others in the primary before the odds changed. Decisions will be made with even more internet info and less TV than the last primaries.

[Br0nxer]

i remember looking at bodog odds at one point and obama was the last guy listed and was at least 100-1. might of even been 125-1

[jjgold]

Good Advice Billy

People definitely will be looking for a change

Everyone tired of Obama other than the lazy that do not work

[Hoja Verdes]

Good Advice Billy

People definitely will be looking for a change

Everyone tired of Obama other than the lazy that do not work

Moron...you never miss a chance to turn a gambling thread into a political thread.

hey JJ, it's almost 6am and there's still some blow left on your coffee table, shut down the laptop and get back to doing what you do best.

[LarryF]

Too early to pick a front runner, there is still lots of time for all to step in it.

[topgame85]

Perry should be a shoe in. If Perry does not get the Nod Obama wins reelection with ease.

[asjulian]

perry is getting the nomination, going to get killled against Obama. American people will not elect another republican from Texas far a while

[RonPaul2008]

Ron Paul 2012!

[milwaukee mike]

Moron...you never miss a chance to turn a gambling thread into a political thread.

hey JJ, it's almost 6am and there's still some blow left on your coffee table, shut down the laptop and get back to doing what you do best.

yeah who would think a thread about betting on POLITICS would turn political


like in my thread about taking detroit today, i sure as hell nobody talks about baseball!

[tblues2005]

I think that is very true and people will be reminded of George Bush with another guy that looks just like him. Perry is supported also by the tea party people and if he gets to radical he will not win next year. I say the GOP is very unpopular right now and that is an asset to the Democrats. If Democrats are smart this time around and do it right they should win again. It still depends on the unemployment issue and gasoline prices next year.

[Carseller4]

Moron...you never miss a chance to turn a gambling thread into a political thread.

hey JJ, it's almost 6am and there's still some blow left on your coffee table, shut down the laptop and get back to doing what you do best.

Dude....this is a political thread.

Keep it up JJ!

[obamaismyuncle]

Good Advice Billy

People definitely will be looking for a change

Everyone tired of Obama other than the lazy that do not work

[Boscoe]

search trends are probably similar to those "positive intensity" polls. not a bad trend to keep an eye on.

[BigdaddyQH]

The problem with Rick Perry is this. While he got the expected spike in the polls today, he is now the front runner. He will now take the brunt of the attacks by the Obama Administration, as well as other Republicans. If Bachmann wins in Iowa and Romney wins in New Hampshire, Perry is in trouble. Assumig that he wins in South Carolina, he will be seen as a regional candidate, not a national candidate. He has to run against the Tea Party and the Evangelical Conservatives that back Bachmann, and at the same time, the Moderates who back Romney. That may be a very tough needle to thread. Frontrunners do not have a very good record of late. Just ask Hillary or Mike Huckabee. I certainly would not conceed the nomination to Perry just yet. He is going to have a very difficult time winning States outside the South. Now if Perry wins in Iowa, and does well in New Hampshire (a respectable 2nd), he could be home free, but right now, that is just not in the cards. Romney got a huge break this past weekend. Pawlenty, his moderate challenger dropped out, and Perry, who is a driect challenger to Bachmann, jumped in. So now it is two conservatives against one Moderate. Advantage to Romney.

[jw]

The problem with Rick Perry is this. While he got the expected spike in the polls today, he is now the front runner. He will now take the brunt of the attacks by the Obama Administration, as well as other Republicans. If Bachmann wins in Iowa and Romney wins in New Hampshire, Perry is in trouble. Assumig that he wins in South Carolina, he will be seen as a regional candidate, not a national candidate. He has to run against the Tea Party and the Evangelical Conservatives that back Bachmann, and at the same time, the Moderates who back Romney. That may be a very tough needle to thread. Frontrunners do not have a very good record of late. Just ask Hillary or Mike Huckabee. I certainly would not conceed the nomination to Perry just yet. He is going to have a very difficult time winning States outside the South. Now if Perry wins in Iowa, and does well in New Hampshire (a respectable 2nd), he could be home free, but right now, that is just not in the cards. Romney got a huge break this past weekend. Pawlenty, his moderate challenger dropped out, and Perry, who is a driect challenger to Bachmann, jumped in. So now it is two conservatives against one Moderate. Advantage to Romney.

I hate it when you post something I agree with ... it's the same feeling that I would imagine that you would get if you kissed a pretty girl only to find out later that she is really your cousin. ... its that ... (I really enjoyed what you did .. but know I shouldn't have) feeling.

[Flight]

Google Insight is partial to Ron Paul

#imjustsayin

[losturmarbles]

Perry should be a shoe in. If Perry does not get the Nod Obama wins reelection with ease.

Perry and Obama are the same candidate: Lap dogs for the scum global elite, the international banking fraudsters.
These criminals already decided Perry would be the GOP nominee at this year's Bilderburg meeting. They picked Obama in 2007 also.
They control both parties.

The only true outsider is Ron Paul, which is why the corporate media has done their best to ignore his win at Iowa and his rising popularity. His message has gained so much credibility, that other candidate are trying their best to mimic him. (e.g. Rick Perry) Truth is the bankers are scared by Paul since he's now a GOP frontrunner and gaining more supporters everyday. "Not electable" is just code for "Challenges the Powers-That-Be".

[losturmarbles]

Google Insight is partial to Ron Paul

#imjustsayin

#youdontknowwhatyourefuckingtalkingabout

[losturmarbles]

And to the OP:

Search trends mean nothing. Easily manipulated or censored.

[statnerds]

I like the angle. Will have to read more on this. but at the moment, I already have small positions at the Reps to win in 2012 at +145, +165 and +175...that value is long gone boys.

At some point between now and then, barry will be at -160 again and at some point he will be -110.

Just like sports teams, this election is about buying/selling at the best price, fukk the outcome.

[Flight]

#youdontknowwhatyourefuckingtalkingabout

?? Ron Paul is all over that insight page.

I chose the wrong word with "partial" - I just meant it had a lot of Ron Paul hits and thought it was really interesting.

Google Insight is not biased.

[Hoja Verdes]

Google Insight is partial to Ron Paul

#imjustsayin

It's the 'trainwreck' phenomenon. Can't stop staring.

[losturmarbles]

?? Ron Paul is all over that insight page.

I chose the wrong word with "partial" - I just meant it had a lot of Ron Paul hits and thought it was really interesting.

Google Insight is not biased.

Cheers. I took it you meant they had a bias toward Paul.

Of course Google is biased. Everyone is biased. Are they biased toward reporting the truth? Absolutely not. They regularly and unjustly censor and manipulate their search results. They regularly and unjustly censor and manipulate youtube videos. Why would they act any different with Insight?