People Who Think Betting Big Favorites is Stupid

[brahmabull117]

When are you people gonna understand that there's nothing wrong with playing big favorites in baseball as long as it's a smart play???? (not taking a pitcher who traditionally struggles against a bad team, etc...)



If you had bet 3,000 dollars blindly on every single Phillies game moneyline this year, you would have made nearly $60,000 dollars gambling. If you bet 3,000 dollars blindly against every single Houston Astros game this year, you would have made over $90,000 dollars gambling



I want everybody on this site to think about that the next time they bash somebody for taking a big favorite and calling them a "square"

[emoney]

I don't know how these sportsbooks stay in business with guys like you running around.

[SportsMushroom]

you tell em guy

[ShogunRua]

why do you make stupid threads all the time?

[Extra Innings]

Why didn't you make this thread when Arizona was down 7-1

[brahmabull117]

Why didn't you make this thread when Arizona was down 7-1

I took Texas today and Red sox on their series, I didn't take arizona



8th winning day out of 11 days of gamblings in baseball, Ive turned a 300 dollar bankroll into nearly 2000 dollars in a little more than a week

[ebbearsfb1]

lol how'd arizona work out for you yesterday?

[ebbearsfb1]

of course you didnt

[FishFace5]

^^
I have 3 comments cha-chi.
#1- You've created WAY too many threads discussing this exact topic or something very similar. We dont need a new one every day.
#2- How did you come up with these calculations???? You pulled every Philly\Astro's game (115+ games a piece) with ML's and tallied wins and losses and this is what you came up with??? (would bet 10 to 1 there is no way this is what you did.)
#3- You used an average bet size of 3,000 a game. This is a HUGE play even for a professional level baseball capper.
....This thread is a huge fail imo. I'll try to remember not to open your threads in the future.

[brahmabull117]

#2- How did you come up with these calculations???? .

http://www.sbrforum.com/mlb-baseball/matchups/20110810-951/

look at the phillies money on the season - nearly 2000 dollars


that means if you bet 100 dollars on each one of their games, you would have made 2000 dollars



increase that bet to, let's say, 1500 per game and you're looking at around 30,000 dollars

[FishFace5]

I took Texas today and Red sox on their series, I didn't take arizona 8th winning day out of 11 days of gamblings in baseball, Ive turned a 300 dollar bankroll into nearly 2000 dollars in a little more than a week

......So is it just a giant coincidence that every time you post any thoughts or plays they crash and burn.... or....
Is it possible you're one of the many teenagers who frequent this site and enjoy story telling?
(i would lean toward the later)

[lakerboy]

Brahma go and do a few lines. U really must be getting paid by sbr.

[Djstucky]

I don't know how these sportsbooks stay in business with guys like you running around.

I don't care who you are this shit is funny...

[brahmabull117]

......So is it just a giant coincidence that every time you post any thoughts or plays they crash and burn.... or.... Is it possible you're one of the many teenagers who frequent this site and enjoy story telling? (i would lean toward the later)

everything I said is legit, I have posted pictures of my account going from 300 - 1500


I'll post pictures of it being 2500+ by end of this week




for some reason, I have had absolutely horrible luck on my posted plays on this site in baseball, but my posted plays are no more than maybe 35% of the plays I actually make

[Tech N9ne]

your mom must of dropped you on your head when you were a baby. she shoulda just aborted you

[Masu485]

Having looked at the stats of teams, since 1997 there are only 3 or 4 teams out of 30 that are + money, and it's some miniscule amount. The majority of teams are like -100 units etc...

I do agree with you that betting heavy favorites shouldn't be looked down upon, it's smart sometimes, but I do disagree that repeatedly betting on one team is beneficial. I see it working short term (ie up to one season), but nothing long term, as the stats show.

[iceminers26]

another rook that already has it all figured out.... big things for you in the future, can see it already

[brahmabull117]

Having looked at the stats of teams, since 1997 there are only 3 or 4 teams out of 30 that are + money, and it's some miniscule amount. The majority of teams are like -100 units etc... I do agree with you that betting heavy favorites shouldn't be looked down upon, it's smart sometimes, but I do disagree that repeatedly betting on one team is beneficial. I see it working short term (ie up to one season), but nothing long term, as the stats show.

only a retard would play every single game of a team blindly


I was just making a point

[Djstucky]

I got an idea boy wonder why don't we just make things easier and only bet the team/play that's going to win. Start a thread and tell us how to do that. The hell with trying to figure out if and when we should bet a fav or a dog let's only bet the winners.

[neverstoppers23]

I guess people would say I bet on the favorites a lot, but I have made a killing this year. So they can continue on thinking whatever about me, and I will enjoy my success.

[paco]

I'm starting to think there are 3 different posters that use this handle cuz every other day it is a different tune/theory.

[ehp6737]

Settle down rookie. You've been betting baseball not even 2 weeks and you've got it all figured out? That just shows how immature you really are. You keep posting thesse dumb threads everyday based on a sample size of your first 12 days ever betting baseball. So now you know it all. Wait till you have a bad 2 or 3 day streak and go like 3-8 laying -210 per game. Then come back and do another one of these stupid fukkin threads about how you lost your bankroll in 2 days. Now go get your fukkin shinebox.

[brahmabull117]

Settle down rookie. You've been betting baseball not even 2 weeks and you've got it all figured out? That just shows how immature you really are. You keep posting thesse dumb threads everyday based on a sample size of your first 12 days ever betting baseball. So now you know it all. Wait till you have a bad 2 or 3 day streak and go like 3-8 laying -210 per game. Then come back and do another one of these stupid fukkin threads about how you lost your bankroll in 2 days. Now go get your fukkin shinebox.

I heard this same line of horseshit during the nba playoffs when I won nearly 70 percent of my bets ATS


When you're good, you're good. End of story

[sweethook]

the games are not much more than a coin flip my friend. there all pro's from what i hear , so why lay so much on a flip , gl/

[iceminers26]

you guys better start smelling what the Rock is cookin... guy has this MLB shit locked down after only 2 weeks

[brahmabull117]

you guys better start smelling what the Rock is cookin... guy has this MLB shit locked down after only 2 weeks

Really brah u think I have it locked down???






















IT DOESN'T MATTER WHAT U THINK!!!!!

[FishFace5]

I heard this same line of horseshit during the nba playoffs when I won nearly 70 percent of my bets ATS When you're good, you're good. End of story

Guy you cant post a winner to save your life and the gambling theories you post are right out of a gambling for idiots book
Slow down with the story telling

[brahmabull117]

Guy you cant post a winner to save your life and the gambling theories you post are right out of a gambling for idiots book Slow down with the story telling

orly???


my record since I started gambling



7/30/11 Brewers - 1.5 - WIN
7/31/11 Yankees - 1.5 - WIN
7/31/11 Brewers/Cards ML parlay - LOSS
8/1/11 Yankees - 185 - WIN
8/2/11 Red sox - 1.5 - LOSS
8/3/11 Yankees - 118 - WIN
8/3/11 Phillies - 1.5 - WIN
8/4/11 Yankees - 120 - WIN
8/5/11 Angels - 250 - WIN
8/6/11 CHI/CIN U 7.5 - LOSS
8/6/11 Twins + 105 for series - LOSS
8/6/11 Detroit - 189 - WIN
8/7/11 Padres - 124 - WIN
8/7/11 Red Sox - 167 - WIN
8/8/11 Arizona - 180 - LOSS
8/9/11 Rangers - 190 - WIN
8/9/11 Red sox for Series - 155 - WIN


That's a 12-5 record there, some decent size favorites there but that's still a terrific record with all things being considered (especially being my first 2 weeks of gambling in baseball ever)



oh and I can show screen caps of any of those bets if you want for proof, just let me know

[pimike]

Looks like the title of the thread is calling the kettle black.