Mariners +1.5 +115 7pm est

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  • ApricotSinner32
    Restricted User
    • 11-28-10
    • 10648

    #1
    Mariners +1.5 +115 7pm est
    Do it
  • GemSportsPicks
    SBR MVP
    • 10-15-10
    • 2513

    #2
    Love Love Love this play... I will have the moneyline as well... Told myself I'd never take mariners again, but in the impossible to win spot, is the exact spot where they will win.
    Comment
    • wantitall4moi
      SBR MVP
      • 04-17-10
      • 3063

      #3
      Said it before and will say it again +1.5 runs in baseball is the worst bet ever, it basically only makes a difference in a single solitary instance, when the team loses by exactly one run. Other than that it doesnt matter. So odds are never ever premium enough to make it worth it.

      Only time you ever take a +1.5 is if there is some weird arbitrage possibility somewhere, which even in the hay day wasnt all that often.

      Because seriously if they lose by exactly one run most degenerates are going to be sweating every at bat or pitch even. If they win outright you lost 50% or more on the ML, and if they get blown out it doesnt really matter or you should have been smart and laid the 1.5 with the fave for 40-50 more cents. and cashed.

      IMO +1.5 runlines are and always have been a psychological tool for books, if a guy wins one or two they think theyre geniuses because they did get that one outcome where it mattered so the bettor thinks he is smarter than he is, and he bets more or 'badly' with this new found confidence and ends up losing it all back anyway. Well if he bets +1.5 runlines in bases he will llose it all eventually, but maybe not as fast if he doesnt hit a few here and there.
      Comment
      • ApricotSinner32
        Restricted User
        • 11-28-10
        • 10648

        #4
        Originally posted by wantitall4moi
        Said it before and will say it again +1.5 runs in baseball is the worst bet ever, it basically only makes a difference in a single solitary instance, when the team loses by exactly one run. Other than that it doesnt matter. So odds are never ever premium enough to make it worth it.

        Only time you ever take a +1.5 is if there is some weird arbitrage possibility somewhere, which even in the hay day wasnt all that often.

        Because seriously if they lose by exactly one run most degenerates are going to be sweating every at bat or pitch even. If they win outright you lost 50% or more on the ML, and if they get blown out it doesnt really matter or you should have been smart and laid the 1.5 with the fave for 40-50 more cents. and cashed.

        IMO +1.5 runlines are and always have been a psychological tool for books, if a guy wins one or two they think theyre geniuses because they did get that one outcome where it mattered so the bettor thinks he is smarter than he is, and he bets more or 'badly' with this new found confidence and ends up losing it all back anyway. Well if he bets +1.5 runlines in bases he will llose it all eventually, but maybe not as fast if he doesnt hit a few here and there.
        Comment
        • iifold
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 04-25-10
          • 11111

          #5
          Patty you fukk...

          What are you thinking here?

          Why not just take the over in the Team Total (3 or 3.5) if you think they will score some runs...

          You dont plan on this Beavan fukk to shut down the Redsox in Boston, do you?

          Lets hear it...
          Comment
          • Cannon
            Restricted User
            • 01-03-08
            • 3329

            #6
            Boston wins by 3
            Comment
            • Doc JS
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-15-06
              • 6885

              #7
              Originally posted by Cannon
              Boston wins by 3
              Hope so!
              Comment
              • donkdown
                Restricted User
                • 07-09-09
                • 4423

                #8
                This is just another bs pick here.. I agree with King, if u really think this the safer bet is the team total.. This will be another pick that falls to page 4 by 8 30 est!! Just like the Pirates pick yesterday!!
                Comment
                • goblue12
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-08-09
                  • 1316

                  #9
                  Would need much higher than +1.5 (+115) for me to consider playing this.

                  I want at least +1.5 (+130).
                  Comment
                  • CanuckG
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 12-23-10
                    • 21978

                    #10
                    Originally posted by donkdown
                    This is just another bs pick here.. I agree with King, if u really think this the safer bet is the team total.. This will be another pick that falls to page 4 by 8 30 est!! Just like the Pirates pick yesterday!!
                    yeah what about the brewers? heard they won
                    Comment
                    • donkdown
                      Restricted User
                      • 07-09-09
                      • 4423

                      #11
                      Listen I like Sinner but I sometimes think he puts picks up just for the shock value!! I had Brewers with him. My point here is this is the best pick u can come up with tonight?? Or is this a pick that will make u look smarter than u really are if it happens to win??
                      Comment
                      • Rod1010
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 09-01-10
                        • 6208

                        #12
                        Originally posted by donkdown
                        This is just another bs pick here.. I agree with King, if u really think this the safer bet is the team total.. This will be another pick that falls to page 4 by 8 30 est!! Just like the Pirates pick yesterday!!

                        So the new Donkdown is a troll huh ?


                        Thought you were a better poster
                        Comment
                        • donkdown
                          Restricted User
                          • 07-09-09
                          • 4423

                          #13
                          No troll man!! I just think Sinner can come up with a better pick than this is all!! I hope it hits I have no horse in this race..
                          Comment
                          • jeffdane
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 09-20-09
                            • 5165

                            #14
                            Originally posted by wantitall4moi
                            Said it before and will say it again +1.5 runs in baseball is the worst bet ever, it basically only makes a difference in a single solitary instance, when the team loses by exactly one run. Other than that it doesnt matter. So odds are never ever premium enough to make it worth it.

                            Only time you ever take a +1.5 is if there is some weird arbitrage possibility somewhere, which even in the hay day wasnt all that often.

                            Because seriously if they lose by exactly one run most degenerates are going to be sweating every at bat or pitch even. If they win outright you lost 50% or more on the ML, and if they get blown out it doesnt really matter or you should have been smart and laid the 1.5 with the fave for 40-50 more cents. and cashed.

                            IMO +1.5 runlines are and always have been a psychological tool for books, if a guy wins one or two they think theyre geniuses because they did get that one outcome where it mattered so the bettor thinks he is smarter than he is, and he bets more or 'badly' with this new found confidence and ends up losing it all back anyway. Well if he bets +1.5 runlines in bases he will llose it all eventually, but maybe not as fast if he doesnt hit a few here and there.
                            ???



                            show me some stats to back this statement up.


                            just a quick check, shows me the that seattle has lost 18 (1 run games).
                            they are 43-56. take off 18 losses and add then to the wins and the mariners are
                            61-38 (+1.5 rl)

                            i dont like the mariners today, just saying that +1.5 rl is an undervalued play, most are scared to play, because its usually juicy.

                            the nationals are 49-50 su
                            they have lost 21 (1 run games)
                            70-29 (+1.5 rl)
                            Comment
                            • donkdown
                              Restricted User
                              • 07-09-09
                              • 4423

                              #15
                              good stuff there daner
                              Comment
                              • Giant Rebels
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 10-09-10
                                • 289

                                #16
                                Load up on Boston, they will win 12 out of next 15.
                                Comment
                                • nyed1010
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 12-05-10
                                  • 1569

                                  #17
                                  sinner, what are you smoking pal?
                                  Comment
                                  • WolfpackChuck
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 07-21-11
                                    • 191

                                    #18
                                    Boston by a touchdown
                                    Comment
                                    • iifold
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 04-25-10
                                      • 11111

                                      #19
                                      Mariners TT Over (3) -120
                                      Comment
                                      • JMon
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 12-11-09
                                        • 9800

                                        #20
                                        Could be, yet Beckett is 14-0 as 200+ fav and 10-3 on the RL since April 18, 2009. Going to ride with the odds here..

                                        But gl too you!!! One of us will be HAPPY!
                                        Comment
                                        • Rich Boy
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 02-01-09
                                          • 9714

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by wantitall4moi
                                          Said it before and will say it again +1.5 runs in baseball is the worst bet ever, it basically only makes a difference in a single solitary instance, when the team loses by exactly one run. Other than that it doesnt matter. So odds are never ever premium enough to make it worth it.

                                          Only time you ever take a +1.5 is if there is some weird arbitrage possibility somewhere, which even in the hay day wasnt all that often.

                                          Because seriously if they lose by exactly one run most degenerates are going to be sweating every at bat or pitch even. If they win outright you lost 50% or more on the ML, and if they get blown out it doesnt really matter or you should have been smart and laid the 1.5 with the fave for 40-50 more cents. and cashed.

                                          IMO +1.5 runlines are and always have been a psychological tool for books, if a guy wins one or two they think theyre geniuses because they did get that one outcome where it mattered so the bettor thinks he is smarter than he is, and he bets more or 'badly' with this new found confidence and ends up losing it all back anyway. Well if he bets +1.5 runlines in bases he will llose it all eventually, but maybe not as fast if he doesnt hit a few here and there.
                                          Wow, this guy is fkn sharp
                                          Comment
                                          • mart59a
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 01-21-10
                                            • 936

                                            #22
                                            Only choice here is Boston -1.5...
                                            Comment
                                            • CanuckG
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-23-10
                                              • 21978

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by mart59a
                                              Only choice here is Boston -1.5...
                                              you should go all in on it then
                                              Comment
                                              • Ra77er
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 06-20-11
                                                • 10969

                                                #24
                                                Oh hell just man up and take Seattle -1.5
                                                Comment
                                                • BernardMadoff
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 12-12-09
                                                  • 6679

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by wantitall4moi
                                                  Said it before and will say it again +1.5 runs in baseball is the worst bet ever, it basically only makes a difference in a single solitary instance, when the team loses by exactly one run. Other than that it doesnt matter. So odds are never ever premium enough to make it worth it.

                                                  Only time you ever take a +1.5 is if there is some weird arbitrage possibility somewhere, which even in the hay day wasnt all that often.

                                                  Because seriously if they lose by exactly one run most degenerates are going to be sweating every at bat or pitch even. If they win outright you lost 50% or more on the ML, and if they get blown out it doesnt really matter or you should have been smart and laid the 1.5 with the fave for 40-50 more cents. and cashed.

                                                  IMO +1.5 runlines are and always have been a psychological tool for books, if a guy wins one or two they think theyre geniuses because they did get that one outcome where it mattered so the bettor thinks he is smarter than he is, and he bets more or 'badly' with this new found confidence and ends up losing it all back anyway. Well if he bets +1.5 runlines in bases he will llose it all eventually, but maybe not as fast if he doesnt hit a few here and there.
                                                  If it wins you lose 50% for not betting moneyline? Makes no sense its positive EV anyway, you can say you techically lose every bet that wins that you don't play.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ji03
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 06-27-09
                                                    • 1144

                                                    #26
                                                    I like the Mariners moneyline.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ZetaPsi808
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 09-18-08
                                                      • 12119

                                                      #27
                                                      patty +1.5 +125 is available now at bodog now. i hope you waited to place your wager
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ApricotSinner32
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 11-28-10
                                                        • 10648

                                                        #28
                                                        Comment
                                                        • fenexusa
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 02-15-11
                                                          • 115

                                                          #29
                                                          I like this
                                                          Originally posted by Cannon
                                                          Boston wins by 3
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ZetaPsi808
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 09-18-08
                                                            • 12119

                                                            #30
                                                            patty we got +130 on the runline betmania dot com
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ZetaPsi808
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 09-18-08
                                                              • 12119

                                                              #31
                                                              1-0 seattle.

                                                              mike carp hugh
                                                              Comment
                                                              • CanuckG
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 12-23-10
                                                                • 21978

                                                                #32
                                                                1-0 mariners

                                                                boo ya
                                                                Comment
                                                                • MYFOOTBALLGAME
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 06-09-07
                                                                  • 298

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Seat up 1-0
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • MYFOOTBALLGAME
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 06-09-07
                                                                    • 298

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Lets go Mariners
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • MYFOOTBALLGAME
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 06-09-07
                                                                      • 298

                                                                      #35
                                                                      This gonna be a big win hopefully
                                                                      Comment
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