HR Derby discussion

[WvGambler]

Alright boys,

Who's the good bet? I believe it comes down to Cano or Fielder. Cano at +600 seems damn solid. Thoughts?

[big joe 1212]

Cano not built for the long haul needed to win this.

and this is not Yankee Stadium with the 300 ft porch!

[BRAVES1985]

i think im going with price but still looking

[doublej95]

Fielder would be where i put my money

[WvGambler]

Fielder would be where i put my money

You putting a little on him? I know it's a degenerate thing to do, but I will probably put a little something on it, to make it a little more worth my time.

[doublej95]

You putting a little on him? I know it's a degenerate thing to do, but I will probably put a little something on it, to make it a little more worth my time.

honestly i hope not, i want to make it through the break and not bet on anything. got banged up in bases about a month ago and slowly making my way back.

[InTheDrink]

Cano?

Adrian or Kemp

[WvGambler]

Kemp? based on the +1000 price alone?

[InTheDrink]

Kid you picked a singles hitter. GLTA

[doublej95]

how about just betting on the winner coming from the American League -155.

[WvGambler]

Kid you picked a singles hitter. GLTA

Kemps 162 game avg: 25 Hr's a year
Cano's: 22

Wow....some serious disparity there.....son

[thirtytwo]

Gonzalez is the popular value choice.
Loshak has a good video on HR derby pinned at baseball forum.
Also, heres a good article on it.
Definitely going to put something on Adrian on Monday.

[RITZ]

Big Boys Ortiz or Fielder will win it. I do agree above that Cano cano drive it too and worth a small play at nice odds.

[san2c]

Was on Ortiz last year, and will be again. Like going with the bigger dudes

[doublej95]

I'm blaming this on you Wv.


Date placed:
Jul 10, 2011 10:14p Single #218008779 (Placed by Web)
Baseball - MLB Player Props (Prop) Moneyline
2011 State Farm Home Run Derby - Where will the winner come from?
All wagers have action.
(9935) American League -155 Mon@8:00p
Competitor: (9936) National League
Risk US$ 77.00 to win US$ 49.68

[WvGambler]

I'm blaming this on you Wv. Date placed: Jul 10, 2011 10:14p Single #218008779 (Placed by Web) Baseball - MLB Player Props (Prop) Moneyline 2011 State Farm Home Run Derby - Where will the winner come from? All wagers have action. (9935) American League -155 Mon@8:00p Competitor: (9936) National League Risk US$ 77.00 to win US$ 49.68

damnit

[ebbearsfb1]

some straight matchups are good bets for the home run derby

[BRAVES1985]

lol i was looking at NL to win +120

[Mike Huntertz]

AL team looks good.

[InTheDrink]

Kemps 162 game avg: 25 Hr's a year
Cano's: 22

Wow....some serious disparity there.....son

Son? Angry much?

He's also got 30% more homers than Cano who is doing nothing more than hitting what he should be.

There really isn't any reason to pick Cano other than to reach. If that's what you're doing then so be it. I'd pick him to get zero before I pick him to win.

[WvGambler]

The Son response was after you called me kid.....angry? No, not angry. Just busting balls back with you....but I guess you can't do that with some guys.

Sure, Matt Kemp has 7 more Hr's than Cano this year. I was simply bringing up that Cano is far from a singles hitter, when compared to Kemp.

GL to you and and your wagers.

[doublej95]

Don't be wishing any NL players luck Wv.

[InTheDrink]

10 points on cano vs kemp junior?

If they reach the same round whoever gets more for that round wins, regardless of what happens before. Kemp only needs to hit one

[ebbearsfb1]

Son? Angry much? He's also got 30% more homers than Cano who is doing nothing more than hitting what he should be. There really isn't any reason to pick Cano other than to reach. If that's what you're doing then so be it. I'd pick him to get zero before I pick him to win.

so dont pick him then, its not like wv is making you pick cano

[WvGambler]

10 points on cano vs kemp junior? If they reach the same round whoever gets more for that round wins, regardless of what happens before. Kemp only needs to hit one

10 points it is. GL, I'll pay you in this thread, if Cano decides to not get off the plane.

[InTheDrink]

10 points it is. GL, I'll pay you in this thread, if Cano decides to not get off the plane.

Where's Bart Scott?

CANT WAIT!

[MarlinsFan2212]

I took Bautista.

[skyscrapers]

How about Bautista beats Cano in Round 1. That's a pretty good bet I think.

[Dukebluejms]

Ortiz is my winner, but gonna through some on Weeks at that price. That little dude can mash.

[ttwarrior1]

ortiz repeat, he can hit slow pitches

[BigDeem5]

Holiday at +355 is pretty nice

[face]

i remember last year corey hart was hitting a bunch, and he doesn't hit home runs much. nelson cruz was hitting a lot. but ortiz won.
maybe gonzalez will win it. gotta be someone who doesn't foul balls off much, but has great rate of connecting with the ball.
i would have not picked oritiz though, and he won. i already put a little on cano. i have no idea.

[asjulian]

honestly to me they all have the same chance more or less. its kinda like the 3 point competition in basketball where 3 Point percentage during the year correlates very little to the actual even.

[Rich Boy]

Fatigue plays a big role in these things.

Bigger guys that dont have to put as much effort into the swing to launch a HR usually do better.

Take Fielder or Papi, also look at the dimensions of chase field and see if you can find spray charts for each hitter.

Chase field is 330 feet to left, 376 to left center, 407 to center, 376 to right center, and 335 to right. The height of the wall is equal on both sides of the park.

[CTOWNsCAPPIN]

Weeks for me!......