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flyingillini · 06-30-11, 03:55 PM

Thanks Ese Dax!

secretstash · 06-30-11, 06:11 PM

wtf went from -500 down to -150? is it gonna be rigged?

-stash

borednaz · 06-30-11, 06:36 PM

That's a very good question. I wonder if they decided to "sub" a player with SbrJohn err John Morrison in on one of the other teams. Because I know they don't feel bad that we won't be getting the 5k free points the winning team gets per player.

HeeeHAWWWW · 06-30-11, 06:48 PM

I stuck 100pts on canada and world at +400 and +450 :-) Even if the US does have the best players, the format won't allow it to show that much.

Get several thousands if Europe does well of course, but just a little insurance....

borednaz · 06-30-11, 06:53 PM

if I wasn't a broke Degen I would of wagered some at those prices too.

SBR_John · 06-30-11, 07:01 PM

SBR is gonna get killed if Euro or The World wins unless the US at -150 attracts some action.

HeeeHAWWWW · 06-30-11, 08:06 PM

Guess that's why the max of 100pts, hard one to price up.

AzNDooM · 06-30-11, 11:02 PM

I think Team Canada is good value at +235. Cant see how the Americans are that heavily favourite.

beerman2619 · 07-01-11, 12:43 AM

yeah was wondering why the us dropped from -500 to -150 also

csmkr18 · 07-01-11, 04:14 AM

Originally posted by beerman2619

yeah was wondering why the us dropped from -500 to -150 also

beacause nobody backed USA at that prize.

yisman · 07-01-11, 08:40 AM

Yeah, -500 was crazy to lay.

Of course, now I think USA is the only bet because the other options dropped so much. Getting +250 or more is worth betting a side, but with the non-US sides prices from +120 to +145...

Glitch · 07-01-11, 09:18 AM

factored in a very important variable that may have accounted for the USA's success-rate eh? the fact that they had thousands of more players playing than anyone else and the probability in a 100% luck game would have rendered similar results? nice work.

ThaddeusB · 07-01-11, 09:46 AM

Originally posted by yisman

Yeah, -500 was crazy to lay.

Of course, now I think USA is the only bet because the other options dropped so much. Getting +250 or more is worth betting a side, but with the non-US sides prices from +120 to +145...

Keep in mind that every team would be +300 if all priced the same in a non-juice market...

no1here · 07-01-11, 10:34 AM

+400 down to +150 shows how wrong you were to begin with. It's a no bet for me but liking Canada, current odds one must take USA

Dax · 07-01-11, 11:33 AM

GUYS for the next HOUR GET USA EVEN MONEY! Don't Miss out on this Special. It's Starts NOW!

pavyracer · 07-01-11, 11:57 AM

All I'm saying is remember where the software originates from before you make any bets on who will win this.

goldstein077 · 07-01-11, 12:53 PM

USA looks pretty good now at -150

Dax · 07-01-11, 12:54 PM

Leaving it up for another Hour fellas... don't miss out on the EVEN ACTION!!!

chemicalbrother · 07-01-11, 01:03 PM

i can buy a little US (+400/450 for canada/world was ridiculous in this format) so that i just breakeven with them and leaving only europe that can hurt me, but i can't pull the trigger because if i end up behind 3 of these teams, the 4th is OBVIOUSLY your winner.

Dax · 07-01-11, 01:18 PM

40 mins left guys... LOCK THOSE BETS IN!

HeeeHAWWWW · 07-01-11, 01:21 PM

Thanks, might as well. 100pts on US at evens, 100 on Canada at +400, 100 on World at +450.

Don't need to bet on Europe when that's +5555pts :-)

Dax · 07-01-11, 02:09 PM

Time's up guys... lines back to normal... LOTS OF ACTION on the EVEN...

SBR_John · 07-01-11, 03:29 PM

Great...middled on our own poker tourney.

yisman · 07-01-11, 03:59 PM

Originally posted by ThaddeusB

Keep in mind that every team would be +300 if all priced the same in a non-juice market...

Of course. The vig is astronomical. I just meant that at the original lines, I didn't think any of the underdogs were priced high enough to bet on, and laying 1/5 on a side in poker is folly.

With the drop in odds, it clearly is not worth considering betting on a non-US side, but depending on how you feel about the US team, you might consider the US at -150 (or of course at even, which unfortunately I missed out on).

Originally posted by Glitch

factored in a very important variable that may have accounted for the USA's success-rate eh? the fact that they had thousands of more players playing than anyone else and the probability in a 100% luck game would have rendered similar results? nice work.

Well, I think the US is the best team. Of course that's because the Americans have a much larger pool of poker players to draw from, but just looking at the satellites, there seem to be more American players doing consistently well than Europe, Canada, or the countries that comprise the World team.

Percentage wise, the number of Americans on this site who are good at poker may very well be lower than elsewhere, but we're just looking at the top performers from each group.

John Morrison · 07-01-11, 06:48 PM

STRAIGHT BETJul 04TNT TEAM TO WIN 2011 SBR WORLD POKER CUP
[3] TEAM CANADA +155

Jrod124 · 07-01-11, 07:28 PM

anyone laying -500 in a poker game is on crack I wonder if anyone paid this?

ThaddeusB · 07-01-11, 11:14 PM

Originally posted by SBR_John

Great...middled on our own poker tourney.

Haha, more likely close to freerolling on Europe. Booking "even" amounts at +400, +450 and +100 would be only -13% in a 3-way market, so a small amount bet on Europe would put you at break-even for those 3 and plus huge if Europe takes it.

Robber · 07-07-11, 02:33 PM

reeled everyone in then made sure they wouldn't win