Then I'm taking it pre-tip. If it doesnt hit +2 then I'm taking the ML at the first sniffle of a line move.
Comment
Tsoprano
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-14-08
26374
#5
I got it at -1.
Comment
fearless
Restricted User
08-14-06
4950
#6
Originally posted by Shark79
Waiting on that +2 as welll BOT !!!
Lets get that fvker!
Vegasinsider is reporting -2 at Wynn, Leroys, Stations
MGM Grand is at -1.5 -120
This is a twilight zone line or Pierce and Perkins are in bad shape!
Comment
SBR Lou
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
08-02-07
37863
#7
I don't think people realize that Perkins has a high ankle sprain...And he's not the most athletic big man to begin with.
Same thing Brady had in the Super Bowl AND he had two weeks to rest..
Comment
frostno98
SBR Hall of Famer
09-11-07
9769
#8
This about as tough as it gets. I don't see the lakers making just 3 three pointers again today, so this game going to be a coin flip.
Comment
BigOrangeTitans
SBR MVP
11-23-07
4504
#9
Originally posted by crazyl
I don't think people realize that Perkins has a high ankle sprain...And he's not the most athletic big man to begin with.
Same thing Brady had in the Super Bowl AND he had two weeks to rest..
Perkins is overrated. They have the deepest bench. I will take a platoon of PJ brown/Powe/Davis and their different skill sets they bring in over Perkins most times anyways. They went on a good run without him last game. Garnett on Pau will neutralize the Gas man.
Cortizone shots will keep pierce in ok shape as long he keeps the crowd in it.
Comment
ryanXL977
SBR Posting Legend
02-24-08
20615
#10
i dont think lakers lose a game this big to them
if they are what they think they are, they win a tough one tonite. they cant play any worse than the last 4th qrtr vs bos
but gl to all
im on la-1
Comment
fearless
Restricted User
08-14-06
4950
#11
I was waiting for Dark Horse's write up concerning the refs, he hasn't posted it yet. The consensus on the net is that tonight's refs will help the Lakers. Quoting Wheel:
"D. Crawford, Delaney, Mauer. This signals the leagues intentions of tying up the series. The line has taken this information into account but making the lakers favorites is now clearly correct. Also, the under benefits slightly."
Anyone have an opinion on these refs? Where's Dark Horse?
Comment
Panic
SBR Posting Legend
01-06-08
10367
#12
Originally posted by BigOrangeTitans
Perkins is overrated. They have the deepest bench. I will take a platoon of PJ brown/Powe/Davis and their different skill sets they bring in over Perkins most times anyways. They went on a good run without him last game. Garnett on Pau will neutralize the Gas man.
Cortizone shots will keep pierce in ok shape as long he keeps the crowd in it.
Agree with the part about using Powe/Davis/Brown. It would be better to have them in there at 100% than Perkins at 60%.
Comment
SBR Lou
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
08-02-07
37863
#13
Originally posted by Panic
Agree with the part about using Powe/Davis/Brown. It would be better to have them in there at 100% than Perkins at 60%.
That's true, but who knows if Doc Rivers will realize that and make the adjustment too late. He's simply not very reliable with things like this, Perkins is going to want to start and he will let him, but if he stinks it up and LA gets their feet wet and start rolling, that mid range jumpshot of PJ Brown may not be enough to compensate for the loss of Perkins D. And Baby Davis is not a good scorer IMO.
Comment
Panic
SBR Posting Legend
01-06-08
10367
#14
Yep. Kinda the lesser of two evils here. Perkins may do more harm than good in his condition. I would still say take your chances with your healthy players. If it was someone like Garnett, than, yeah you roll him out there and hope for the best, but Perkins can be compensated for easier.
Comment
j$
SBR MVP
03-07-08
3831
#15
Im all over Lakers
Comment
Panic
SBR Posting Legend
01-06-08
10367
#16
Originally posted by j$
Im all over Lakers
Boston will be too, in about 3 hours.
Comment
Bill Dozer
www.twitter.com/BillDozer
07-12-05
10894
#17
5Dimes is the closest I see right now at +1.5 -105. Too expensive to buy the half however. It looks like Pinny and matchbook are on the move.
Comment
Wheell
SBR MVP
01-11-07
1380
#18
Hmm, if Perkins is hurt that explains some of the line movement. I thought it wasn't going to affect him in g2 but I could be wrong.
Comment
WonTooManyBets
SBR Wise Guy
04-02-08
586
#19
Lakers win this by 10+
Comment
pat venditto
SBR Posting Legend
05-07-07
14347
#20
i wouldnt bet this game either side u dont know pierce is gonna be physically pass please!
Comment
WonTooManyBets
SBR Wise Guy
04-02-08
586
#21
Originally posted by pat venditto
i wouldnt bet this game either side u dont know pierce is gonna be physically pass please!
It's the NBA Finals. These degenerates can't pass it up.
Comment
BadBeatBodog
SBR MVP
06-05-08
1006
#22
Originally posted by WonTooManyBets
It's the NBA Finals. These degenerates can't pass it up.
The trick is to bet all your money on other games so you have nothing left for this one.
Altho I dunno how that doesn't make me a degen....
"Things happen for a reason, they say, but I say there's a reason things happen"
"Not everybody talks, but everybody lies / Not everybody lives, but everybody dies"
Comment
fearless
Restricted User
08-14-06
4950
#23
Dark Horse's analysis:
Game #2
Tonight we have the pleasure of reacquainting ourselves with Ken Mauer, the zebra with the slickest hairdo (need we say Pat Riley?). Kenny is a contrarian. In this case that means he favors the road team. The home team still cashes at a 47-37 SU tune, but home team bettors may have pulled some of their hairs out under his 37-46-1 ATS supervision.
His partner in crime tonight is Dan Crawford. Crawford is 63-36 SU home/away, but is not paying off home bettors either at 47-50 ATS. Celtics bettors get no help from Crawford, but KG and the boys don't mind him out there.
The home team tonight is represented by Bob Delaney, coming in at 51-23 SU home/away, and 37-33 ATS.
This could be close. Delaney should be able to neutralize Crawford ATS, but that leaves Mauer wide open for the slam dunk.
I'd give it to Mauer and the Lakers ATS, but they've turned from dogs to favorites... May have to pass on this one.
Comment
ryanXL977
SBR Posting Legend
02-24-08
20615
#24
do you guys find that money can really be made by monitoring refs? i am serious. i guess it makes sense. but i never thought of it before
Comment
fearless
Restricted User
08-14-06
4950
#25
Originally posted by ryanXL977
do you guys find that money can really be made by monitoring refs? i am serious. i guess it makes sense. but i never thought of it before
It's one factor to be considered, especially in these big games. I'm starting to disagree with Dark Horse on this one a little, I think these refs favor the home team, clearly. You?
HOLYBET777 situs slot gacor hari ini dan agen judi slot online terpercaya penyedia game judi online 777 gampang menang.
Comment
Wheell
SBR MVP
01-11-07
1380
#26
Yes, NBA series go longer on average than simple math would suggest, ergo the refs have a thumb on the scales. We know.
Comment
Wheell
SBR MVP
01-11-07
1380
#27
WSEX is at 2, now things get interesting.
Comment
ryanXL977
SBR Posting Legend
02-24-08
20615
#28
i think the refs favor the home teams in every nba game i see
the refs are god awful
Comment
Wheell
SBR MVP
01-11-07
1380
#29
And that lasted about 15 seconds.
Comment
jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#30
Sharp money still might be on Boston
Comment
fearless
Restricted User
08-14-06
4950
#31
I'm taking Boston now. 44-7 at home and solid underdogs? Please!
Comment
ryanXL977
SBR Posting Legend
02-24-08
20615
#32
i aint touching this game
Comment
seaborneq
SBR Posting Legend
09-08-06
22556
#33
I am on it, Celtics -1, and I don't know why. I don't believe I will win. I have drank the Kool Aid.
Comment
BigOrangeTitans
SBR MVP
11-23-07
4504
#34
Took the ML at +110Good luck boys.Also lean with under
Comment
SexyMit
SBR Hall of Famer
10-12-06
6139
#35
Big line movement, one team started out being favored now the other team is favored. Have watched this movement and made lots of money on the line that way. I am taking Boston +2 and or the ML
If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!
I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!