What pct needed to win if...

[LVBOUND]

If every game i bet had a line of -170. What pct of my bets would I need to win to make a profit?

I know for -110 its 55%

So at -170 is it 85%?

That doesn't seem right.
Thanks

Matt

[Sunde91]

[RudyRuetigger]

lv, i will answer you seriously since i know noone is going to.. half will think its a joke question and the other half will pretend its a joke question even though they dont know the answer.

-110 odds is 52.38%
-170 is 62.96%

those are break even percentages

[ApricotSinner32]

My god lvbound you are a fuking numbskull.

"I know for -110 it's 55%"

[ApricotSinner32]

Never seems to amaze people bet on picks where they have no idea of what percentage they need to hit to breakeven. Bookmakers will never go away as people like lvbound have yet to evolve in to a semi non retarded human being.

[ApricotSinner32]

[LVBOUND]

I knew it was close to 55% 52.5% thanks?

Rudy do you happen to know the formula?

[WvGambler]

Hitting 63% on -170 seems downright impossible.

[RudyRuetigger]

I knew it was close to 55% 52.5% thanks?

Rudy do you happen to know the formula?

winrate = 1/ decimal odds (so convert the american odds to decimal)

or just go here:

http://www.sbrforum.com/betting-tools/odds-converter/

[ApricotSinner32]

I knew it was close to 55% 52.5% thanks?

Rudy do you happen to know the formula?

That's like saying 2+2 = 5

Oh it's 4? Atleast I was close.

Unfukingreal.

[opie1988]

Through my powers of deduction, I calculate that on EV odds.....you only need to win 50% to reach break even.

I imagine you & Rudy are extremely impressed by this display of overall sharpness!

Awww Yeeaahhh....

[jjgold]

LVBound you need to stop gambling as soon as possible

Your a fukkin disaster

God Bless

[Joe Sharp]

[rm18]

unreal quit gambling yesterday pal

[soxwin]

-300 = 75% win rate
-250 = 71.4%
-225 = 69.23%
-200 = 66.67%
-190 = 65.52%
-180 = 64.28%
-170 = 62.96%
-160 = 61.53%
-150 = 60%
-140 = 58.33%
-130 = 56.52%
-120 = 54.54%
-110 = 52.38%
+100 = 50%
+110 = 47.61%
+120 = 45.45%
+130 = 43.48%
+140 = 41.67%
+150 = 40%
+160 = 38.47%
+170 = 37.04%
+180 = 35.72%
+190 = 34.48%
+200 = 33.33%
+225 = 30.77%
+250 = 29.6%
+300 = 25%

[LVBOUND]

Ok now is my next question is as follows.

If I parlay two teams at -384 right

that turns out to be a -170 line to win the parlay.

I figure this math by betting 1 dollar brings back .59

That is the same as betting a -170 line.


Ok so now that we know betting a parlay of two -384 teams is a -170 line
We know to be profitable we need to hit at a rate of greater than 62.96%

who does not think that is possible?

If you bet the home team no matter the opponent at +2.5 this is what would happen. Mind you -170 is an average to high line.
I know that if you took the top and bottom team in order from the MLB scores website and only took the home teams your record would be.
Ill list the Home team names for the first two days so if you are following along you can get the idea. Then just follow along at MLB.com
Thursday March 31
Nats and Yanks (Win)
Reds and Royals (Win)
Cards and Dodgers (Win)
3-0 record
Friday April 1
Phils and Cubs (Loss)
Indians and Rangers (Loss)
Rockies and Blue Jays (Win)
Rays and Marlins (Win)
Royals and A’s (Loss)
2-3 record
Total record 5-3
Sat April 2
Nats and Indians (Loss)
Cubs and Jays (Win)
Royals and Yanks (Win)
Cards and Dodgers (Loss)
Phillies and Rays (Win)
Reds and Marlins (Win)
Rangers and Rockies (Win)
5-2
Total record 10-5
Sun April 3
Indians and Yanks (Loss)
Jays and Reds (Win)
Marlins and Nats (Loss)
Phillies and Rays (Loss)
Rangers and Royals (Win)
Cards and Cubs (Win)
A’s and Dodgers (Win)
4-3
Total record 14-8
I WILL NOW JUST POST RECORDS
Mon April 4
3-0
Total record 17-8
Tue April 5
6-1
Total record 23-9
Wed April 6
4-4
Total record 27-13
Thu April 7
4-1
Total record 31-14
Fri April 8
4-3
Total record 35-17
Sat April 9
5-2
Total record 40-19
Sun April 10
3-4
Total record 43-23
Mon April 11
2-3
Total record 45-26
Tue April 12
6-0
Total record 51-26 (66.2 PCT)

Remember this is with no handicapping and taking an average to above average line as the break even point.

If you ruled out guys on the end of rotations, this pct would be in the high 70's.

[Salmon Steak]

Put it in your SBR spreadsheet so everyone can see how it goes the rest of the season.

[LVBOUND]

I am tracking it in baseball handicapping, but I am doing it different I am just picking two series.

[OmgUrMom]

i can't read all that its too long, but i'll save ya the time and will promise you its not a winning forumula.

Playing -170 two team parlays is not gonna work out long term.

If your doing some sort of chase system, you may be in the green for quite awhile but should inevitably crash.

[Br0nxer]

[LVBOUND]

Love you bronxer..even though your mom doesn't.

[flyingillini]

No mames guey!

[Br0nxer]

If every game i bet had a line of -170. What pct of my bets would I need to win to make a profit?

I know for -110 its 55%

So at -170 is it 85%?

That doesn't seem right.
Thanks

Matt

just give it up.

you dont have a clue

[rfr3sh]

[Naz18]

Thats pretty funny, but don't feel like your the only one, lot of dumbfks here.

[Cap dat 4ss]

All other answers are incorrect.

[Albert Pujols]

Are you really this clueless? I guess being a cop was a good choice.

[Br0nxer]

Are you really this clueless? I guess being a cop was a good choice.

this is nothing

ever seen the guy spell

[Albert Pujols]

this is nothing

ever seen the guy spell

I'd pay to read one of his police reports.

[LVBOUND]

You guys must not understand what I was asking in this post?

[illfuuptn]

The formula is:
if it's a favorite: line/(line+100)
underdog:
100/(line+100)

why am I the only one who knows this? It amazes me how dumb most of you are.

[Br0nxer]

I'd pay to read one of his police reports.

[Albert Pujols]

You guys must not understand what I was asking in this post?

It's algebra 1 bro.

[rfr3sh]

I know for -110 its 55%

So at -170 is it 85%?

[LVBOUND]

what is so funny?

What is the pct 63%???