Lock of the Century: Uncle Mo Aqueduct Race 10

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  • Roxxyfish
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 06-26-09
    • 12066

    #1
    Lock of the Century: Uncle Mo Aqueduct Race 10
    this is the upcoming Kentucky Derby winner,i have to go big with him

    The Wood Memorial at Aqueduct takes place this Saturday, April 9th at 5:48pm with ten horses entered into the race to compete for the $1,000,000 purse and entrance into the Kentucky Derby. It has been a long time since I have taken notice of this many headlines for a Kentucky Derby Prep race.
    The headlines started back on March 17th when the race had the purse amount increased to $1 Million and the race was renamed the Resorts World New York Casino Wood Memorial thanks to a presenting sponsorship from Resorts World New York Casino. More recently, dominating the headlines is the outcome of the race and everyone on the planet selecting Uncle Mo to win the Wood Memorial and how he will likely be the first horse to enter the Kentucky Derby at less than a 2/1 favorite. Finally we get into the category of unique articles which I personally enjoy, each presenting a different view of the Wood Memorial with a little more substance than “I pick Uncle Mo to win”, you know what I mean. If you enjoy these articles as much as I do, be sure to read Brock Sheridan’s Uncle Mo and the Wood Memorial Course on The Brock Talk.
    With the Wood Memorial being renamed the Resorts World New York Casino Wood Memorial it is clear that Resorts World New York Casino was first betting that Uncle Mo would make his way to Aqueduct to run in the Wood Memorial and secondly, betting that Uncle Mo would in fact win the Wood Memorial with hopes of winning the Kentucky Derby. Let’s face it, if it all plays out like this the sponsorship is money well spent.
    Uncle Mo is already a 2/1 or 3/1 favorite depending on where you look and I do see him running away with Wood Memorial which will position him as a sub 2/1 favorite for the Kentucky Derby which will be the first time we have seen a favorite for the Derby on the morning line below 2/1 in over a decade. If you were going to bet Uncle Mo I would have told you back in November when he destroyed the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile field to bet him in the futures at 6/1, obviously it’s too late for that but if you are still looking to bet Uncle Mo as a future wager to lock in a price on him, I would do it before the Wood Memorial on Saturday because I don’t think you will see even 2/1 again once the race is over!
    Finally there is the Wood Memorial Curse. I am superstitious and I believe in curses, bad mojo, a jinx and everything else! I also know that both good luck and especially bad luck eventually come to an end and often when you least expect it. Trainer Mike Repole is on a winning streak with Uncle Mo and I tend to favor betting the winning streaks and hot hands until the streak ends, just like I bet against losing streaks until a team, player, horse or whatever I am betting on proves it can win.
    Mike Repole has been dedicated to fulfilling his childhood dream of winning the Wood Memorial and training Uncle Mo to make a bid a winning the Triple Crown. Repole stated his intentions to have Uncle Mo search for Triple Crown glory publicly after the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile so this should be no surprise to anyone.
    The Curse of the Wood Memorial was over the last decade, it’s been over a decade since we have had a sub 2/1 Kentucky Derby favorite. Numbers don’t lie! If/when Uncle Mo goes below 2/1, you will know who I am betting for the Kentucky Derby and hopefully a couple more races too.
    Wood Memorial Race Information & Post Positions:
    Saturday, Race 10
    Grade I Resorts World New York Casino Wood Memorial
    Aqueduct
    Purse: $1,000,000
    Distance: 1 1/8 Mile
    Surface: Dirt
    Post Time: 5:48 ET

    Post Horse ML Jockey Wt S M Trainer 1 Starship Caesar (FL) 50-1 C. Velasquez 123 C L B. Parboo 2 Toby’s Corner (FL) 8-1 E. Castro 123 C L G. Motion 3 Full of Scoundrels (NY) 50-1 C. C. Lopez 123 C L N. Chatterpaul 4 Arthur’s Tale (KY) 12-1 R. Dominguez 123 C L T. Albertrani 5 Uncle Mo (KY) 1-5 J. Velazquez 123 C L T. Pletcher 6 Preachintothedevil (NY) 20-1 J. Alvarado 123 C L G. Contessa 7 Duca (KY) 20-1 J. Court 123 C L D. W. Lukas 8 Norman Asbjornson (PA) 15-1 J. Pimentel 123 C L C. Grove 9 Isn’t He Perfect (KY) 50-1 C. Hill 123 C L D. Shivmangal 10 Son of Posse (KY) 99-1 F. Maysonett 123 G L R. Vitiello Owners: 1 – Parbhoo, Sherry; 2 – Cotter, Dianne, D.; 3 – Chatterpaul, Naipaul, Chatterpaul, Terikchand; 4 – Darley Stable; 5 – Repole Stable; 6 – Crossed Sabres Farm; 7 – Baker, Robert, C., Mack, William, L.; 8 – McClay, Thomas, G., Nye, Harry; 9 – Kharag Stables; 10 – Karma Stables
    Breeders: 1 – Starship Stables & Laurence Leavy; 2 – Dianne D. Cotter; 3 – Tracy Egan; 4 – Stone Farm; 5 – D. Michael Cavey DVM; 6 – Jeffrey Tucker; 7 – Briland Farm, Robert Mitchell &Stacy Mitchell; 8 – Thomas G. McClay, Harry C. Nye III &Horseshoe Valley Equine; 9 – Diamond A Racing Corp.; 10 – Robert W. Sanford
  • Roxxyfish
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 06-26-09
    • 12066

    #2
    only a few hours left guys , this horse wont lose
    Comment
    • robmpink
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-09-07
      • 13205

      #3
      Better off betting him to show in this spot. Show pools will def be between 500,000 and 1 mil, I say.
      Comment
      • stevenash
        Moderator
        • 01-17-11
        • 65568

        #4
        Toby's Corner could give him a race.
        Comment
        • BuckeyeT
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 03-14-11
          • 591

          #5
          He should win this race for fun.

          This is what i like to call a "public workout" i just hope Johnny V doesnt use him up to much.

          Then its on the Churchill for the biggy.

          I dont think im gonna bet on this race since you will probably only get .10 back on your dollar.
          Comment
          • robmpink
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-09-07
            • 13205

            #6
            Originally posted by robmpink
            Better off betting him to show in this spot. Show pools will def be between 500,000 and 1 mil, I say.
            When show pools are like this i like to bet the 2nd or 3rd choice to show.
            Comment
            • blg123
              SBR High Roller
              • 09-18-08
              • 182

              #7
              going out on limb huh? really like the 2.10 payout? I mean comon don't post this crap. You do realize ANYTHING can happen in race... Do I think the horse loses? No b/c he is a freak

              BBBBBuuuuuut on Derby Day ANYTHING can happen in 20 horse field and they is NO way in sam hell I would take 2-1 6-5 or whatever he will be come derby day. No chance! and that is SUCH a bad bet in futures price wise
              Comment
              • joeyp1222
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-01-09
                • 5186

                #8
                Originally posted by stevenash
                Toby's Corner could give him a race.

                NO MONEY IN THIS RACE AT ALL

                I would put a $100 show on tobys corner to show and if anything happens in that race that uncle moe doesnt finish, might get big balloons on show bet

                im figuring uncle moe is returning $2.10 win today so you cant bet him
                Comment
                • TonyP
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 09-20-09
                  • 8478

                  #9
                  why wager on the 1/5 chalk
                  Comment
                  • unusialsusp5
                    SBR MVP
                    • 04-18-10
                    • 4198

                    #10
                    by all means bet 3 or 4 other horses to show...throw that stiff uncle mo out....the bridge jumpers will be out in full force...you should never bet the favortite in a horse race... you want to win the money that people lose betting on favorites...first rule of horse race betting...
                    Comment
                    • Dirty Sanchez
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 03-01-10
                      • 16031

                      #11
                      1/5 might be kind....1/9 is probably more like it...no way to make a money unless you knockdown the Tri with a couple of bombers
                      Comment
                      • Ace_of_Spades
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-14-09
                        • 13518

                        #12
                        Horse racing sucks.
                        Comment
                        • cadillac pete
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-15-06
                          • 1675

                          #13
                          Bridge jumper special.....as perviously mentioned the Show pool, will have a ton of $.
                          Comment
                          • jjgold
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 07-20-05
                            • 388179

                            #14
                            Roxy your all over the board, your quickly moving up the sbr ladder as the number 1 compulsive gambler on the site

                            It is not where you want to be
                            Comment
                            • Richkas
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 02-03-08
                              • 19396

                              #15
                              Originally posted by robmpink
                              When show pools are like this i like to bet the 2nd or 3rd choice to show.
                              Comment
                              • Richkas
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 02-03-08
                                • 19396

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Dirty Sanchez
                                1/5 might be kind....1/9 is probably more like it...no way to make a money unless you knockdown the Tri with a couple of bombers
                                and it still wont pay much
                                Comment
                                • Richkas
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 02-03-08
                                  • 19396

                                  #17
                                  They will get more in the breeding shed if they were to pull this horse up and say somethings wrong with him and skip the derby. Watch out.


                                  If he wins today and doesnt win the Derby they get less in the breeding shed.

                                  All I'm saying is watch out. I like robmpinks idea the best.
                                  Comment
                                  • Mr. Jones
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 09-02-05
                                    • 942

                                    #18
                                    He'll in all likelihood win the Wood Memorial, but the Ky Derby unlikely. For one thing, he may very well suffer some kind of injury before he even gets to it. He is afterall, an Indian Charlie. Won the Santa Anita at a 1 1/8 and then weakened at the end of the Derby to finish third. Then the injury. 5 races and done for him.

                                    Indian Charlie's sire, In Excess, is prone to getting fast but fragile miler types. Those ae the genes Indian Charlie passes on. 6 of Indian Charlie's stakes winning progeny have won at 1 1/8, but only one, Fleet Indian, could win at 1 1/4.

                                    Uncle Mo's female family, though adequate, really doesn't have an abundance of blacktype jumping out at you either.

                                    Look for Uncle to win the Wood, but stay off of him in the Derby if he even gets to it in one piece. And talk of a Triple Crown is pretty damn far fetched IMO. No way he goes the distance in the Belmont and very unlikely to stay in one piece for all 3 races.
                                    Comment
                                    • dark star
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-04-09
                                      • 3900

                                      #19
                                      There ain't a man alive bettin 1-5
                                      Comment
                                      • Mr. Jones
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 09-02-05
                                        • 942

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Richkas
                                        They will get more in the breeding shed if they were to pull this horse up and say somethings wrong with him and skip the derby. Watch out.


                                        If he wins today and doesnt win the Derby they get less in the breeding shed.

                                        All I'm saying is watch out. I like robmpinks idea the best.


                                        Breeing shed ain't in anyway what it used to be my friend. Not at all. Especially for a stallion line getting famous for breakdowns and injury prone runners.

                                        If he wins today but doesn't run in the Derby, he will start his breeding career at an advertised $5k, maybe $6k, stud fee which means they'll be lucky to get half of that from the ever diminishing number of breeders that are left. Breeding today is a bloodbath.
                                        Comment
                                        • Reload
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 03-23-08
                                          • 12249

                                          #21
                                          I have been looking forward to this race. I'll be going against Uncle Mo, looking for value - just a question of who I decide on.
                                          Comment
                                          • Dirty Sanchez
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 03-01-10
                                            • 16031

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Reload
                                            I have been looking forward to this race. I'll be going against Uncle Mo, looking for value - just a question of who I decide on.
                                            Reload..good call...I'm looking at Norman Asbjornson as my money horse
                                            Comment
                                            • str
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 01-12-09
                                              • 11768

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Mr. Jones
                                              He'll in all likelihood win the Wood Memorial, but the Ky Derby unlikely. For one thing, he may very well suffer some kind of injury before he even gets to it. He is afterall, an Indian Charlie. Won the Santa Anita at a 1 1/8 and then weakened at the end of the Derby to finish third. Then the injury. 5 races and done for him.

                                              Indian Charlie's sire, In Excess, is prone to getting fast but fragile miler types. Those ae the genes Indian Charlie passes on. 6 of Indian Charlie's stakes winning progeny have won at 1 1/8, but only one, Fleet Indian, could win at 1 1/4.

                                              Uncle Mo's female family, though adequate, really doesn't have an abundance of blacktype jumping out at you either.

                                              Look for Uncle to win the Wood, but stay off of him in the Derby if he even gets to it in one piece. And talk of a Triple Crown is pretty damn far fetched IMO. No way he goes the distance in the Belmont and very unlikely to stay in one piece for all 3 races.
                                              Solid Post.
                                              The female side is loaded with Maryland blood.I know these horses very well.There is nothing that suggests they can go classic distances.Some could barely get a mile.A great play against past 1 1/8 IMO.
                                              Comment
                                              • KC
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 04-12-07
                                                • 1613

                                                #24
                                                See if u can get a decent price on this horse to win the triple crown, Mo is a monster
                                                Comment
                                                • stevenash
                                                  Moderator
                                                  • 01-17-11
                                                  • 65568

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by dark star
                                                  There ain't a man alive bettin 1-5
                                                  If you got the five, why do you need the one?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Davydave
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 07-01-08
                                                    • 700

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Dirty Sanchez
                                                    1/5 might be kind....1/9 is probably more like it...no way to make a money unless you knockdown the Tri with a couple of bombers
                                                    That's what I was thinking, 1/9 by post time if it's already at 1/5.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Dirty Sanchez
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 03-01-10
                                                      • 16031

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by str
                                                      Solid Post.
                                                      The female side is loaded with Maryland blood.I know these horses very well.There is nothing that suggests they can go classic distances.Some could barely get a mile.A great play against past 1 1/8 IMO.
                                                      Totally agree...it will be interesting how hard Johnny V uses him and/or how quickly he's wrapped up
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Smoke
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 10-09-09
                                                        • 48111

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by jjgold
                                                        Roxy your all over the board, your quickly moving up the sbr ladder as the number 1 compulsive gambler on the site

                                                        It is not where you want to be
                                                        Comment
                                                        • triqy
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 11-19-09
                                                          • 800

                                                          #29
                                                          betting horses is fun...but boy is it risky. $2 bets for me
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Br0nxer
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 03-25-11
                                                            • 13665

                                                            #30
                                                            he is going to be 1-9

                                                            how are you going to make money on that
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Roxxyfish
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 06-26-09
                                                              • 12066

                                                              #31
                                                              you have definately to bet more than a tenner


                                                              Originally posted by Br0nxer
                                                              he is going to be 1-9 how are you going to make money on that
                                                              Comment
                                                              • dugbug15
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 04-13-10
                                                                • 533

                                                                #32
                                                                i will be betting uncle mo and two others in the horizontal wagers,pick-3's-4's &6's,and just the other two in doubles.tobys corner will be one of the two.
                                                                good luck everyone.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • no1here
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 03-23-09
                                                                  • 5914

                                                                  #33
                                                                  good thread with alot of good info. Roxy put alot of effort into the post and very good responses came from the top here. Have alot of info now and gonna look into the race more.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Thunder Gulch
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 08-30-10
                                                                    • 996

                                                                    #34
                                                                    This thread is so full of wrong ideas on how to bet that I don't know where to begin. Suffice it to say that anyone betting Uncle Mo to win is a pure square. Sure, he is 90% to win, but he'll pay 5 cents on the dollar to win, same as he will to SHOW. Keying him in Pick 3's and Pick 4's is not much better. 90% of the money in those pools will single him in this race. While I disagree with the thought about NEVER betting favorites, you can't do what 90% of the money does and make money.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • cigar
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 03-28-10
                                                                      • 222

                                                                      #35
                                                                      favorites and 1 to 9 favorites for 3 year olds are two different things..........

                                                                      though the triple crown races and preps are some of the most exciting to watch, not the best when the sole purpose is to make money.....
                                                                      Comment
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