Most of you guys dont even know the most important factor before betting a game

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  • Dex17
    SBR High Roller
    • 09-06-10
    • 230

    #71
    Originally posted by milwaukee mike
    offensive/defensive line play is a good indicator, but it's so subjective

    i have no idea how someone could base a pick on who has the better offensive/defensive line - there's really no stats for line play that can't be manipulated
    what do you mean by "can't be manipulated"? If what you're trying to say is that those stats can be explained by other factors, well that's true for any statistic. I'm no expert on stats, but there is such a thing as statistical significance, covariation, etc. This is what professional handicappers use as opposed to "who wants it more" -- not that you're using that logic, but too many people on SBR do.

    Of course you can use objectivity and stats to evaluate the o-line and d-line. D-line: QB hurries, sacks, tackles for loss, tipped passes, etc. O-line: Sacks allowed, first downs, rushing yards, fewest penalties, etc.

    The problem is that Rod hasn't backed his system with any logic.
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    • RustedVegas
      SBR Hustler
      • 09-03-09
      • 81

      #72
      Using OL and DL stats from football outsiders, I have used a fairly simple regression formula to hit 60% ATS.
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