NIT wagering, value there or is it crazy to guess who's motivated??

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  • hoopster42
    Restricted User
    • 02-12-08
    • 6099

    #1
    NIT wagering, value there or is it crazy to guess who's motivated??
    seems difficult to know who is really motivated to be there, then again some teams might want to prove the tournament committee wrong, who here bets on the NIT and if you do, do you play psychologist more than you play fundamental capper? what are your methods, if you dont mind sharing. if you do mind, i understand, and good luck either way
  • OLGC_Slayer
    SBR MVP
    • 02-28-08
    • 2186

    #2
    I am staying away from the NIT and CIB or whatever it is for precisely this reason, unless I see some really, really good value.
    I think you nailed it, its hard enough to cap figuring in which teams WILL be motivated, let alone which teams MIGHT NOT BE.
    Comment
    • Junkyard Dog
      SBR MVP
      • 03-12-07
      • 4552

      #3
      Look for teams that were hoping to get an invite to the big dance, but didnt make it. They usually will be flat and good fade material.
      Comment
      • OLGC_Slayer
        SBR MVP
        • 02-28-08
        • 2186

        #4
        OK Arizona State.
        UMass
        Akron? Ohio State?

        You think playing the ML against these teams is a smart move or a stupid one?
        Comment
        • hoopster42
          Restricted User
          • 02-12-08
          • 6099

          #5
          Originally posted by Junkyard Dog
          Look for teams that were hoping to get an invite to the big dance, but didnt make it. They usually will be flat and good fade material.
          thats the angle that jumped out at me first, but i looked at the NIT bracket from the past few years, and it was about 50/50 in those situations. some teams with ncaa tourney hopes dashed came out flat, others came out and took out their frustration on their opponents, its just too difficult to know, i think. but i'm listening
          Comment
          • Louisvillekid1
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-17-07
            • 52143

            #6
            Virginia is going to go deep in this tourney. CBI

            Sean Singletary is always motivated and he doesn't want his season to end.
            Comment
            • awhitejackson
              SBR MVP
              • 11-15-07
              • 2265

              #7
              Ill fade Arizona St. -17.5 anyday
              Comment
              • WestsidePete
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 07-19-07
                • 8049

                #8
                fade AZ ST and play Virginia...
                Comment
                • Louisvillekid1
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-17-07
                  • 52143

                  #9
                  WSP,

                  Im following that one as my only play,

                  Im ice cold, so hopefully we cash that one.
                  Comment
                  • WestsidePete
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 07-19-07
                    • 8049

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                    WSP,

                    Im following that one as my only play,

                    Im ice cold, so hopefully we cash that one.
                    which one...the fade on AZ ST?? 17.5 is too much here they could careless IMO..Ala St will come to play...
                    Comment
                    • WestsidePete
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 07-19-07
                      • 8049

                      #11
                      I just added ala st +17.5...already have them on a teaser +22.5
                      Comment
                      • TPowell
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 02-21-08
                        • 18842

                        #12
                        check out Stephen F. Austin too. They're playing UMass in an early game.
                        Comment
                        • Cee
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-24-07
                          • 1899

                          #13
                          Originally posted by hoopster42
                          seems difficult to know who is really motivated to be there, then again some teams might want to prove the tournament committee wrong, who here bets on the NIT and if you do, do you play psychologist more than you play fundamental capper? what are your methods, if you dont mind sharing. if you do mind, i understand, and good luck either way
                          I have the same problem. Especially when a team was on the bubble for the tourney. Some are mad they didn't make it and want to prove the tourney directors wrong. Others say ohwell on the NIT and pack it up
                          Comment
                          • JGray1
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 03-16-08
                            • 92

                            #14
                            Fade the cuse
                            Comment
                            • HedgeHog
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 09-11-07
                              • 10128

                              #15
                              OK St +5.5 looks good against a slumping S Illinois team.
                              Comment
                              • LT Profits
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-27-06
                                • 90963

                                #16
                                I leaned Okie State at first, but its hard to go against a team that is 90-5 at home.
                                Comment
                                • BuddyBear
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 08-10-05
                                  • 7233

                                  #17
                                  You guys are ready to jump on a SWAC (?) team on the road against a team from the best conference in the nation that has already beat Xavier, Arizona (twice), and Stanford and a team that is one of the best in the country defensively.

                                  The line is already shaded to begin with. And you guys know what I say about the public jumping on underdogs (especially big ones), it almost always spells disaster.
                                  Comment
                                  • LT Profits
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 10-27-06
                                    • 90963

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by BuddyBear
                                    You guys are ready to jump on a SWAC (?) team on the road against a team from the best conference in the nation
                                    I must have missed the memo. When did ASU move into the Big East?
                                    Comment
                                    • BuddyBear
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 08-10-05
                                      • 7233

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                                      I must have missed the memo. When did ASU move into the Big East?
                                      You must have missed the college basketball season

                                      Pac-10 has 7/11 in the tournament while the Big East has 8/16. Even wtih 5 extra teams, the Big East placed one additional team than did the Pac-10. And that was only b/c Temple and George Mason ended up winning their conference.
                                      Comment
                                      • marley33
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 09-11-07
                                        • 460

                                        #20
                                        love the under in SIU and Okie St.
                                        Comment
                                        • trojan87
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 03-11-08
                                          • 111

                                          #21
                                          took a decent play on NC Ash. 15 seems like a whole lot of points for a disappointed ohio st and a better than decent NC Ash
                                          Comment
                                          • LT Profits
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 10-27-06
                                            • 90963

                                            #22
                                            But the Big East will have three teams in the Elite Eight and the Pac-10 will have NONE!
                                            Comment
                                            • hoopster42
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 02-12-08
                                              • 6099

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by BuddyBear
                                              You must have missed the college basketball season

                                              Pac-10 has 7/11 in the tournament while the Big East has 8/16. Even wtih 5 extra teams, the Big East placed one additional team than did the Pac-10. And that was only b/c Temple and George Mason ended up winning their conference.
                                              lack-10 only has 6 of their 10 teams in
                                              Comment
                                              • stump
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 09-14-05
                                                • 1718

                                                #24
                                                there is definetly value in the NIT
                                                Comment
                                                • FingerStink
                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                  • 03-18-08
                                                  • 72

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by stump
                                                  there is definetly value in the NIT

                                                  Absolutely
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MoneySportsGuy
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-09-07
                                                    • 4891

                                                    #26
                                                    what are some value games for you stump in the NIT?
                                                    Comment
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