Caracalla's Quattro Gatti Chat Thread

caracalla · 03-22-11, 10:01 AM

ML NBA LA Lakers -290

elgreco · 03-23-11, 07:02 AM

I got the rest of my Matchbook money!!!

caracalla · 03-23-11, 01:03 PM

Happy for you.
ML NBA Phoenix -340

just for fun Was +13.5

sitgo · 03-23-11, 03:16 PM

Newbie here, but I think (after checking) you are very very good capper. From now on I'll check your threads everyday!

caracalla · 03-24-11, 10:41 AM

No ML bet
I like (few cents) BYU +3 and SDieSt +1

caracalla · 03-25-11, 12:20 PM

NBA ML Lakers -550, Indiana -250

caracalla · 03-26-11, 01:24 PM

No ML bet today
Just for fun Indiana +2.5

caracalla · 03-27-11, 09:40 AM

[COLOR=#000000 !important]No ML bet today
Just for fun SA +3, Okl -4.5, Wash +11.5[/COLOR]

caracalla · 03-28-11, 12:58 PM

No ML NBA bet
Just for fun Wash +12

caracalla · 03-29-11, 10:15 AM

No ML NBA bet
Just for fun Clev +13 (ElGreco know why...)

caracalla · 03-30-11, 12:19 PM

No ML NBA bet
Just for fun Wash +12 and Sacr +12.5 (Elgreco knows why...)

caracalla · 03-31-11, 01:41 PM

No ML NBA bet.
NBA season ended for me
Opened MLB thread

elgreco · 04-01-11, 08:16 AM

Thanks for all your NBA effort amico. Let's hope MLB takes us to a greek island this year

caracalla · 04-01-11, 11:19 AM

Greek island or Florida Keys

elgreco · 04-02-11, 05:30 PM

Keys are nice. I went last June to see a friend start a motorcycle challenge where he rode from Key West to Alaska on a Harley davidson in 11 days. I prefer mountains with my islands, so to me, the Greek isles are better (even though I probably won't be able to go this year)

Back to business. I will start another spreadsheet like I did last year once your MLB picks become official. The NFL sheet is taking longer than I thought due to lazy slaves, but that will be coming soon. Did you ever find anything interesting in the final version if the MLB 2010 sheet?

elgreco · 04-02-11, 06:50 PM

Did you notice Arena Football is back!??!?! What do you think?

Tommy_de1st · 04-02-11, 08:28 PM

Originally posted by elgreco

I will start another spreadsheet like I did last year once your MLB picks become official. The NFL sheet is taking longer than I thought due to lazy slaves, but that will be coming soon. Did you ever find anything interesting in the final version if the MLB 2010 sheet?

You gonna start it or your kind sis?

caracalla · 04-03-11, 03:03 AM

Thank you, I need another 2011 spreadsheet.
I found a lot of things very interesting, the most important is: more profitable betting on first 5 innings
whole games 150W/116L +31.32 units
first 5 innings 146W/103L/18T) +43.34 units

Example: yesterday I went 3/3 -015, but 5 innings 4/2 +120
Another interesting thing: average odd is perfect +100

and other....

Arena? many years ago it was MY betting sport (incredible results and winning percentage). I'lltake a look to understand if it is valid. TY

elgreco · 04-03-11, 10:07 AM

It's my birthday gentlemen... I've reached middle age. If you asked me in high school, I never thought I'd make it to this ripe old age.

caracalla · 04-03-11, 10:35 AM

My best wishes. Happy birthday

caracalla · 04-05-11, 10:27 AM

Yesterday again!
MLB unoff 0-2
first 5 innings: 2-0

Probably I'll bet only first 5 innings this year

elgreco · 04-05-11, 01:01 PM

Don't forget the logic that we learned last year. For the first 5 innings, you are almost always only dealing with the starting (#1) pitcher. By the time the game ends, you may have had 2-5 pitchers involved. It only makes sense that the first 5 are easier to predict. Also, each team is guaranteed to play 5 innings, the home team is not guaranteed to play 9.

Ciao... looking forward to the day they become official!

caracalla · 04-05-11, 01:28 PM

I didn't forget, quiete! Probably i'll start April 15 or 16, after 2 weeks

Tommy_de1st · 04-05-11, 01:38 PM

HAPPY B'DAY E'greco

Sorry for late wishes

caracalla · 04-05-11, 02:47 PM

First 5 innings Cubs: some $$ gained!

spama · 04-05-11, 02:50 PM

Are you already wagering 5inn's? Odds from?

elgreco · 04-05-11, 04:15 PM

Thanks Tommy!

caracalla · 04-06-11, 10:27 AM

Originally posted by spama

Are you already wagering 5inn's? Odds from?

yes
2betdsi or betjamaica, even if I'm using Pinnacle with much better odds. But I post 2DSI or BJ to have an average odd available to everyone

kozza · 04-07-11, 02:29 PM

GREAT, only 35% on Cleveland but you was right

elgreco · 04-08-11, 09:52 AM

Caracalla's MLB 2011

elgreco · 04-08-11, 09:55 AM

I cleared out last years spreadsheet and am using it again this year. Hopefully all the formulas still work (maybe staf can fix them if they don't and he is still around). Maybe you can post the link on your official thread.

Cara, I still have the 2010 spreadsheet on the web. Want me to post a link? Delete it? Your call.

caracalla · 04-08-11, 12:05 PM

You can delete it, thank you very much. Good job

caracalla · 04-08-11, 12:06 PM

Perhaps better not deleting, but posting a link, thank you, Elgreco

elgreco · 04-08-11, 12:16 PM

Caracalla MLB 2010

I didn't know if you were afraid someone would reverse engineer your brain

.

**Disclaimer** The data on the table is solid. The calculations should be okay, but a lot of changes were made and I can't promise everything is being calculated correctly.

elgreco · 04-08-11, 12:28 PM

Haha... If you look on column O, you can see when we ran an analysis on the effect of people wishing you good luck. I forgot about that