Caracalla's Quattro Gatti Chat Thread

caracalla · 01-29-11, 06:22 PM

Nothing, just for fun, only few cents (and stats)

elgreco · 01-29-11, 10:25 PM

Brutal day

caracalla · 01-30-11, 03:31 AM

very very bad!

caracalla · 01-30-11, 01:07 PM

Originally posted by caracalla

OK. I’m studying general data:
1) Considering seasons from 1991 to 2008 (so cross-validation OK)
2) No filter
3) if I find anything interesting, I text it automatically on 2009-2010 season, and manually on season in progress

Found 1
A) 728W / 605 L
B) 2009-2010 season 55/29
C) 2010-11 so far 10/5

It seems very good

From 12-01 to 03/31, this system's (ATS, Spread opening line) result year by year

anno WON LOST TIED TOTAL
1991 38 35 73
1992 32 16 2 50
1993 33 22 1 56
1994 26 23 1 50
1995 30 23 2 55
1996 37 18 55
1997 39 37 2 78
1999 28 19 47
2000 16 17 1 34
2001 24 23 1 48
2002 20 24 44
2003 23 20 43
2004 22 22 44
2005 19 17 36
2006 22 18 1 41
2007 37 26 63
2008 38 32 3 73
2009 35 20 55
TOTAL 519 412 14 945

Negative (few) only 2002-2002-2004

cancan · 01-30-11, 01:37 PM

1998?

Tommy_de1st · 01-30-11, 03:03 PM

Originally posted by cancan

1998?

What an eye?

caracalla · 01-30-11, 03:27 PM

strange season, 1998, started in February. So out of my DB.
Anyway 24-19

caracalla · 01-30-11, 05:50 PM

I also bought all DB of all American sports. In the future, first I'll study NHL: never found NHL system!

elgreco · 01-30-11, 11:09 PM

Thats awesome that you were able to get all that data. I know you will be able to work some magic. NHL should be interesting.

I am a little confused about this NBA ATS system you are talking about. Is this a totally new system? If I am not mistaken, your normal systems are systems #1, #2, & #3. Since there was no convergence this year, you have been posting picks on an experimental system #4 that you told us not to trust. Is the system you have been referring to in your last posts system #5?

This current basketball run has been breaking my heart. I had to go back to 1 unit bets after Saturday's slaughter. I can handle about 8 more units of loss before I have to quit basketball and save my bankroll for MLB. I'll be

for a recovery.

Ciao

Tommy_de1st · 01-31-11, 03:27 AM

Cara can become the first SBR poster who they'll make an exception for and change his nickname to Cara-the bookie killer

elgreco · 01-31-11, 09:12 AM

Tommy, do you have any +1200 futbol picks to help me get to the beach?

Tommy_de1st · 01-31-11, 09:31 AM

Originally posted by elgreco

Tommy, do you have any +1200 futbol picks to help me get to the beach?

Sure I have

Next World Cup 2014

Armenia* to win against Brazil

*when Armenia advance

elgreco · 01-31-11, 09:40 AM

You're not invited to the beach house.

Tommy_de1st · 01-31-11, 09:47 AM

I like Valencia -0.25 tonight, gonna play it for 2x

elgreco · 01-31-11, 12:16 PM

I put $7.53 on Valencia. Go Valencia

caracalla · 01-31-11, 01:54 PM

Luckily today no bet for me, even if Milw +3.5 Dall -10 and Denv -3 very close (I bet these for fun, not for record)

Tommy: Euro 20 on Valencia pk -0.5 +102
ElGreco: $7.53 enough for beach house?
Guantanamo beach? Cernobyl beach? Krakatoa beach?

elgreco · 01-31-11, 01:57 PM

Originally posted by caracalla

Guantanamo beach? Cernobyl beach? Krakatoa beach?

caracalla · 01-31-11, 04:53 PM

After Valencia 1-1, you can try also Anchorage beach, Crocodile beach, WhiteShark beach, Anaconda beach, a and, last minute, Egyptian beach. And your girlfriend?

elgreco · 01-31-11, 06:22 PM

elgreco gave Tommy_de1st -7.53 SBR Point(s) for this post.

.

Tommy_de1st · 01-31-11, 06:44 PM

Originally posted by elgreco

.

Damn, you too kind

and spoiling me
that 1-1 was a half loss cuz of -0 & 0.5 factor that means you lost around $3.75

caracalla · 02-01-11, 12:41 PM

ML: New Orleans -450

Tommy_de1st · 02-01-11, 05:58 PM

Sorry guys, wasn't here to paste my futbol play. Hope you checked my thread to get back yesterday's loss (pretty unfair IMO, Valencia got 2 red cards)

caracalla · 02-02-11, 12:32 PM

ML Indi -235, SDieSt -235

caracalla · 02-02-11, 12:32 PM

Originally posted by Tommy_de1st

Sorry guys, wasn't here to paste my futbol play. Hope you checked my thread to get back yesterday's loss (pretty unfair IMO, Valencia got 2 red cards)

NO, i didn't!!
What's your soccer record?

elgreco · 02-02-11, 02:49 PM

Tommy_de1st · 02-02-11, 04:58 PM

Originally posted by caracalla

NO, i didn't!! What's your soccer record?

Im on plus 35units but no time to post lately

caracalla · 02-03-11, 03:31 AM

ML posted here so far
20W - 5L -3.40

Without -1200 wagered first days (now filtered > -10) 20/4 +8.60

caracalla · 02-03-11, 01:29 PM

ML Tenn -340

elgreco · 02-04-11, 09:55 AM

Hooray Profit!!! I missed you.

caracalla · 02-04-11, 12:37 PM

Congrats!
No ML today

caracalla · 02-05-11, 12:07 PM

ML
Kan -240, Duq -380, Valp -340

elgreco · 02-05-11, 12:23 PM

Whole lot of money out there on NCAA today!

I'd like your recommendation. As a rule, if I cannot get the spread you are posting, should I stay away from the game altogether, buy the extra 0.5, or just bet the spread I can get?

caracalla · 02-05-11, 01:10 PM

Originally posted by elgreco

Whole lot of money out there on NCAA today!

I'd like your recommendation. As a rule, if I cannot get the spread you are posting, should I stay away from the game altogether, buy the extra 0.5, or just bet the spread I can get?

Usually +/- 0.5 is not a problem

caracalla · 02-06-11, 10:16 AM

The problem are black saturdays!!
ML OhSt -230

elgreco · 02-07-11, 09:41 AM

Did you stay up for the game, Cara?