He's too degen not to come back, don't worry Sorry Cara, no offence
Tonight I think Hamburg ML (german futbol)
Comment
caracalla
Restricted User
11-12-05
2549
#107
No offence, but vaffanculo
You are right. I digested the blow, studying a ML system
January NCAABB 35-3 +22 units about
Since Jan 11 NBA 13-1 +9 units about
Wagering only cents, and not $$$$ today
SA -460
Valpa -450
Comment
elgreco
SBR Wise Guy
12-16-09
988
#108
I have an appointment with the beach Realtor tomorrow. When she asks to verify my income, I'm going to give her Cara's phone number.
Comment
cricri86
Restricted User
09-05-10
204
#109
Parlayed SA+Valparaiso 500 SBR points to win 231. ty
Comment
caracalla
Restricted User
11-12-05
2549
#110
ML College Basket stats so far
12-01 to 12-25 7-1 (12-11 Valparaiso lost OT ML -1200, damn Valparaiso today too!!!)
12-26 to 01-20 35-3
total 42-4 +17 units.
Tomorrow I'll study 2009-2010 season
Comment
Tommy_de1st
SBR Hall of Famer
02-23-10
8397
#111
Cara, I told you Hamburg
Comment
caracalla
Restricted User
11-12-05
2549
#112
Sorry, I forgot it: 1-0, nice. Post here your BEST soccer bets. I know you have your own thread, but when you are so sure, I'll appreciate.
I forgot because I just finished studying 2009-2010 season NCAABB Money Line
With initial data and filters,
114-12
It seems wonderful but if you bet ML a -14.5 favourite and it loses, loss is about 1300-1350 (Pinnacle). So money result is
114-12 + 20 units
But I have noticed that probably, adding 1 or 2 other filters, result will improve dramatically.
Tomorrow I'll check. Time to go to sleeping, better, go to the bed
3-1 run on NCAA and NBA since the bad streak. Thank you. First steps on the road to recovery.
Comment
elgreco
SBR Wise Guy
12-16-09
988
#115
That ML system looks promising. The simple answer for the -1300 problem is not to bet on it. With a current record of 42-4, I'm sure there is plenty of money to be made even if you skip the high chalk bets. I'm looking forward to this new addition.
Comment
caracalla
Restricted User
11-12-05
2549
#116
Originally posted by elgreco
That ML system looks promising. The simple answer for the -1300 problem is not to bet on it. With a current record of 42-4, I'm sure there is plenty of money to be made even if you skip the high chalk bets. I'm looking forward to this new addition.
Too, simple. 2009-2010 season: some filters and odds, results are
<=-15 114-12
<=-14 102-12 (so it seems -14.5 and -15 sure!)
<=-13 84-11
<=-12 63-9
<=-11 46-9
<=-10 39-7
<10 29-5
so this filter is not very good.
I checked another filter (considering only games I bet ATS)
result better:
40-3.
More, 3 lost were
01-04-2010 Will-WMary . Mary -9, lost by 1
02-23-2010 NIOwa/Evan . NIow -10, lost by 1
03-06-2010 RhIsl/Massa . RhIsl -8, lost by 2
So today I'll bet some cents on Ball State
Comment
caracalla
Restricted User
11-12-05
2549
#117
analysis complited and found
THE ULTIMATE NCAABB MONEY LINE SYSTEM
stats are
2009-2010 season
188-32 +62.96 units
2010-2011 season (so far)
93-11 +40.36 units (posted here 3-0 +3)
According to them today ML
But -1200
Wvi -1100
Valp -450
Comment
caracalla
Restricted User
11-12-05
2549
#118
Do you want ML here or in NCAABB thread?
Comment
cricri86
Restricted User
09-05-10
204
#119
SBR book: no ML today !! So no parlay (past parlay cashed, ty)
Comment
elgreco
SBR Wise Guy
12-16-09
988
#120
Originally posted by caracalla
result 2-2 (why 10 points, elgrego?)
I wasn't able to get to a computer in time to make the first pick, so I went 2-1.
Comment
Tommy_de1st
SBR Hall of Famer
02-23-10
8397
#121
What are you playing here? Teams at -1200 odds?
Comment
caracalla
Restricted User
11-12-05
2549
#122
Elgreco, you are a ROTTOINCULO
Tommy: yes (and Valp lost 61-63: VAFFANCULO)
Comment
caracalla
Restricted User
11-12-05
2549
#123
Tommy: only few cents, I have tu study all this season, because I have onli 2009-2010 data!
I can't find previous data in my old files!
Comment
caracalla
Restricted User
11-12-05
2549
#124
and lost Butler -1200, damn tommy PORTASFIGA
ytd 4-2 -12.5
Comment
caracalla
Restricted User
11-12-05
2549
#125
NBA ML (always only cents)
NY -320
Chi -360
Por -290
SA -200
I studied 2010-2011 NBA season: numbers say 100/23, but I have to insert in Excel to know exact gain (because is a gain)
Elgreco: even if in the log run is wrong, better filtering ML with ATS <=-10 (so max odd is -550)
Comment
elgreco
SBR Wise Guy
12-16-09
988
#126
Yea, it would take a hell of a bankroll to support a run of -1200 losses.
Thanks
Comment
cricri86
Restricted User
09-05-10
204
#127
Different odds at SBR Book; parlay 100 to win 214, thank you
Comment
caracalla
Restricted User
11-12-05
2549
#128
Where can I find NBA old data (handicap) sorted by data, not by team
ty
perfect, AOS.
Finished 2010-2011 NBA ML studies (12-01-2010 / 01-24-2011). Results
LOST units lost -79,96
N°losses 27
WON units gained 132,00
N° winnings132
units total gained 52,04
N° total bets 159
Now I have to control 2 last seasons (2008 and 2009 and I havn't data in computer because last year my PC crashed and all data erased!!!), and 2000/2001/2002/2003 seasons data (saved on external HardDisk)
It seems very very good: 132-27 +52,04 units!!
Comment
caracalla
Restricted User
11-12-05
2549
#132
if anyone has excel or access NBA data for seasons 2004/5/6/7/8/9, please pm me. Thank you
Data needed
date/home team/away team/result/line spread
Comment
elgreco
SBR Wise Guy
12-16-09
988
#133
I recommend asking that question in the "Handicapper Think Tank" thread. I think you'll have a better chance of getting a response.
Comment
caracalla
Restricted User
11-12-05
2549
#134
Finished 2008-2009 NBA ML studies (12-01-2008 / 04-12-2009). Results not so good
244W/80L -1,12 units
Betting on Cle/Dal/Den/utah home 34W/0L
This year home winner (with my filter): Den/GS/Ind/Minn/SA/Tor 32W/0L so far
Comment
caracalla
Restricted User
11-12-05
2549
#135
Tx Elgreco and Tommy : usefull advices
A question: I remember years ago thera was a NBA referree's scandal: which season?
Comment
elgreco
SBR Wise Guy
12-16-09
988
#136
It seems like every year there is some kind of scandal in the NBA. The specific thing you remember is probably Tim Donoughy, and he got caught July 2007, so that would have been the 2006-2007 season. Although if you read the book, it was going on a long time before that, and is still happening today.
Comment
caracalla
Restricted User
11-12-05
2549
#137
Today ML Dallas -265
Comment
cint2cint
SBR High Roller
09-17-10
190
#138
I hope that your new studies are compelling as the previous
Comment
caracalla
Restricted User
11-12-05
2549
#139
I made an investment and I bought for only $ 30 NBA DB from 1991 to 2010.
Now I have to import in Access and make SQL/VBA program to calculate some data and then export to Excel with PIVOT. Hoping to find interesting things
Comment
elgreco
SBR Wise Guy
12-16-09
988
#140
Wow, i didnt even know it was available to parchase like that.