Caracalla's Quattro Gatti Chat Thread

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  • Tommy_de1st
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-23-10
    • 8397

    #106
    He's too degen not to come back, don't worry Sorry Cara, no offence

    Tonight I think Hamburg ML (german futbol)
    Comment
    • caracalla
      Restricted User
      • 11-12-05
      • 2549

      #107
      No offence, but vaffanculo
      You are right. I digested the blow, studying a ML system
      January NCAABB 35-3 +22 units about
      Since Jan 11 NBA 13-1 +9 units about

      Wagering only cents, and not $$$$ today
      SA -460
      Valpa -450
      Comment
      • elgreco
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 12-16-09
        • 988

        #108
        I have an appointment with the beach Realtor tomorrow. When she asks to verify my income, I'm going to give her Cara's phone number.
        Comment
        • cricri86
          Restricted User
          • 09-05-10
          • 204

          #109
          Parlayed SA+Valparaiso 500 SBR points to win 231. ty
          Comment
          • caracalla
            Restricted User
            • 11-12-05
            • 2549

            #110
            ML College Basket stats so far
            12-01 to 12-25 7-1 (12-11 Valparaiso lost OT ML -1200, damn Valparaiso today too!!!)
            12-26 to 01-20 35-3

            total 42-4 +17 units.

            Tomorrow I'll study 2009-2010 season
            Comment
            • Tommy_de1st
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-23-10
              • 8397

              #111
              Cara, I told you Hamburg
              Comment
              • caracalla
                Restricted User
                • 11-12-05
                • 2549

                #112
                Sorry, I forgot it: 1-0, nice. Post here your BEST soccer bets. I know you have your own thread, but when you are so sure, I'll appreciate.

                I forgot because I just finished studying 2009-2010 season NCAABB Money Line

                With initial data and filters,
                114-12

                It seems wonderful but if you bet ML a -14.5 favourite and it loses, loss is about 1300-1350 (Pinnacle). So money result is
                114-12 + 20 units

                But I have noticed that probably, adding 1 or 2 other filters, result will improve dramatically.
                Tomorrow I'll check. Time to go to sleeping, better, go to the bed
                Comment
                • caracalla
                  Restricted User
                  • 11-12-05
                  • 2549

                  #113
                  I supposed odds. According to ATS/ML table converter at http://wizardofodds.com/sports/nba.html

                  result is
                  114-12 +31.3 units (first improvement)
                  Comment
                  • elgreco
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 12-16-09
                    • 988

                    #114
                    3-1 run on NCAA and NBA since the bad streak. Thank you. First steps on the road to recovery.
                    Comment
                    • elgreco
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 12-16-09
                      • 988

                      #115
                      That ML system looks promising. The simple answer for the -1300 problem is not to bet on it. With a current record of 42-4, I'm sure there is plenty of money to be made even if you skip the high chalk bets. I'm looking forward to this new addition.
                      Comment
                      • caracalla
                        Restricted User
                        • 11-12-05
                        • 2549

                        #116
                        Originally posted by elgreco
                        That ML system looks promising. The simple answer for the -1300 problem is not to bet on it. With a current record of 42-4, I'm sure there is plenty of money to be made even if you skip the high chalk bets. I'm looking forward to this new addition.
                        Too, simple. 2009-2010 season: some filters and odds, results are
                        <=-15 114-12
                        <=-14 102-12 (so it seems -14.5 and -15 sure!)
                        <=-13 84-11
                        <=-12 63-9
                        <=-11 46-9
                        <=-10 39-7
                        <10 29-5

                        so this filter is not very good.

                        I checked another filter (considering only games I bet ATS)
                        result better:
                        40-3.
                        More, 3 lost were
                        01-04-2010 Will-WMary . Mary -9, lost by 1
                        02-23-2010 NIOwa/Evan . NIow -10, lost by 1
                        03-06-2010 RhIsl/Massa . RhIsl -8, lost by 2

                        So today I'll bet some cents on Ball State
                        Comment
                        • caracalla
                          Restricted User
                          • 11-12-05
                          • 2549

                          #117
                          analysis complited and found

                          THE ULTIMATE NCAABB MONEY LINE SYSTEM

                          stats are

                          2009-2010 season
                          188-32 +62.96 units

                          2010-2011 season (so far)
                          93-11 +40.36 units (posted here 3-0 +3)

                          According to them today ML
                          But -1200
                          Wvi -1100
                          Valp -450
                          Comment
                          • caracalla
                            Restricted User
                            • 11-12-05
                            • 2549

                            #118
                            Do you want ML here or in NCAABB thread?
                            Comment
                            • cricri86
                              Restricted User
                              • 09-05-10
                              • 204

                              #119
                              SBR book: no ML today !! So no parlay (past parlay cashed, ty)
                              Comment
                              • elgreco
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 12-16-09
                                • 988

                                #120
                                Originally posted by caracalla
                                result 2-2 (why 10 points, elgrego?)
                                I wasn't able to get to a computer in time to make the first pick, so I went 2-1.
                                Comment
                                • Tommy_de1st
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 02-23-10
                                  • 8397

                                  #121
                                  What are you playing here? Teams at -1200 odds?
                                  Comment
                                  • caracalla
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 11-12-05
                                    • 2549

                                    #122
                                    Elgreco, you are a ROTTOINCULO
                                    Tommy: yes (and Valp lost 61-63: VAFFANCULO)
                                    Comment
                                    • caracalla
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 11-12-05
                                      • 2549

                                      #123
                                      Tommy: only few cents, I have tu study all this season, because I have onli 2009-2010 data!
                                      I can't find previous data in my old files!
                                      Comment
                                      • caracalla
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 11-12-05
                                        • 2549

                                        #124
                                        and lost Butler -1200, damn tommy PORTASFIGA
                                        ytd 4-2 -12.5
                                        Comment
                                        • caracalla
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 11-12-05
                                          • 2549

                                          #125
                                          NBA ML (always only cents)
                                          NY -320
                                          Chi -360
                                          Por -290
                                          SA -200

                                          I studied 2010-2011 NBA season: numbers say 100/23, but I have to insert in Excel to know exact gain (because is a gain)

                                          Elgreco: even if in the log run is wrong, better filtering ML with ATS <=-10 (so max odd is -550)
                                          Comment
                                          • elgreco
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 12-16-09
                                            • 988

                                            #126
                                            Yea, it would take a hell of a bankroll to support a run of -1200 losses.

                                            Thanks
                                            Comment
                                            • cricri86
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 09-05-10
                                              • 204

                                              #127
                                              Different odds at SBR Book; parlay 100 to win 214, thank you
                                              Comment
                                              • caracalla
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 11-12-05
                                                • 2549

                                                #128
                                                Where can I find NBA old data (handicap) sorted by data, not by team
                                                ty
                                                Comment
                                                • caracalla
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 11-12-05
                                                  • 2549

                                                  #129
                                                  just founf at )ex) http://www.sbrforum.com/nba-basketba...ores/20101225/
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Ace_of_Spades
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 10-14-09
                                                    • 13518

                                                    #130
                                                    How you doing Cara, hope all is well.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • caracalla
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 11-12-05
                                                      • 2549

                                                      #131
                                                      perfect, AOS.
                                                      Finished 2010-2011 NBA ML studies (12-01-2010 / 01-24-2011). Results

                                                      LOST
                                                      units lost -79,96

                                                      N°losses 27

                                                      WON
                                                      units gained 132,00

                                                      N° winnings132


                                                      units total gained 52,04

                                                      N° total bets 159



                                                      Now I have to control 2 last seasons (2008 and 2009 and I havn't data in computer because last year my PC crashed and all data erased!!!), and 2000/2001/2002/2003 seasons data (saved on external HardDisk)

                                                      It seems very very good: 132-27 +52,04 units!!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • caracalla
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 11-12-05
                                                        • 2549

                                                        #132
                                                        if anyone has excel or access NBA data for seasons 2004/5/6/7/8/9, please pm me. Thank you
                                                        Data needed

                                                        date/home team/away team/result/line spread
                                                        Comment
                                                        • elgreco
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 12-16-09
                                                          • 988

                                                          #133
                                                          I recommend asking that question in the "Handicapper Think Tank" thread. I think you'll have a better chance of getting a response.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • caracalla
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 11-12-05
                                                            • 2549

                                                            #134
                                                            Finished 2008-2009 NBA ML studies (12-01-2008 / 04-12-2009). Results not so good

                                                            244W/80L -1,12 units

                                                            Betting on Cle/Dal/Den/utah home 34W/0L

                                                            This year home winner (with my filter): Den/GS/Ind/Minn/SA/Tor 32W/0L so far
                                                            Comment
                                                            • caracalla
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 11-12-05
                                                              • 2549

                                                              #135
                                                              Tx Elgreco and Tommy : usefull advices
                                                              A question: I remember years ago thera was a NBA referree's scandal: which season?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • elgreco
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 12-16-09
                                                                • 988

                                                                #136
                                                                It seems like every year there is some kind of scandal in the NBA. The specific thing you remember is probably Tim Donoughy, and he got caught July 2007, so that would have been the 2006-2007 season. Although if you read the book, it was going on a long time before that, and is still happening today.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • caracalla
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 11-12-05
                                                                  • 2549

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Today ML Dallas -265
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • cint2cint
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 09-17-10
                                                                    • 190

                                                                    #138
                                                                    I hope that your new studies are compelling as the previous
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • caracalla
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 11-12-05
                                                                      • 2549

                                                                      #139
                                                                      I made an investment and I bought for only $ 30 NBA DB from 1991 to 2010.
                                                                      Now I have to import in Access and make SQL/VBA program to calculate some data and then export to Excel with PIVOT. Hoping to find interesting things
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • elgreco
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 12-16-09
                                                                        • 988

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Wow, i didnt even know it was available to parchase like that.
                                                                        Comment
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