best sport to handicap

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  • creditcardclown
    SBR High Roller
    • 11-28-10
    • 242

    #1
    best sport to handicap
    I am new to sports betting so sorry if my question is silly. I am wondering if a big time popular game like the NFL is gonna be easier or harder to profit on then a small time game like NCAAB or european basketball. The reason I am confused is the following. In the NFL there are a few teams and so much attention payed to it, that maybe there is no unknown information, no easy weakness to find. HOWEVER, on the other hand, all Americans follow the NFL and you have a ton of SQUARES following it, unlike with NCAAB... now if the bookies like to balance their books, then you are betting against squares and maybe there is a lot of value there??

    On the other hand with NCAAB, not a widely followed and bet on sport, maybe you are just betting against other sharps? But on the other hand, there are so many teams and lines and information to follow, there has to be some mistakes int he line somewhere... or maybe not...

    Thoughts?
    thanks!
  • brooks85
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-05-09
    • 44709

    #2
    mma easily, its 1 v 1
    Comment
    • tenbas
      SBR Sharp
      • 05-19-10
      • 430

      #3
      There is no "the sport". The sooner you deal with that, the better.
      Well, maybe there is. It is the sport you know about the most.
      Any sport can be the best to handicap. Some find it in tennis, some in basket and some in football (soccer).
      And some bet on all sports.

      It is up to you, but I still think there is no the best sport. Good luck on your betting career.
      Comment
      • creditcardclown
        SBR High Roller
        • 11-28-10
        • 242

        #4
        brooks, could you elaborate on that please? sorry i am dense.

        tenbas, please don´t waste everyones time with boring statements. obviously there is no simple answer, but i am curious about learning the advantages and disadvantages of the diff. sports. i am surprised for instance that some sharps spend their time handicapping NBA, i figured there would be more money in NCAAB
        Comment
        • cankid
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 08-22-08
          • 7223

          #5
          try lesser bet sports, nhl, wnba, soccer, cfl, golf, arena football...etc...
          Comment
          • brooks85
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-05-09
            • 44709

            #6
            I think mma is a great to sport to bet on because you are dealing with one person vs another. There are a lot less things that could go wrong(variables) whereas betting on an nfl game, you can imagine the difference. I used to bet just about every sport regularly then I realized, for me, MMA is my sport so I focus on it the most and its paid off. The market for the sport is new so the lines offer ridiculous value.

            It is also the fastest growing sport in the world and will rival the major US sports within a few years so there will be lots of action in the future. Sooner you jump on the better, as Ive hinted to sbr.
            Comment
            • 36mafia
              Restricted User
              • 11-08-09
              • 2389

              #7
              Originally posted by brooks85
              I think mma is a great to sport to bet on because you are dealing with one person vs another. There are a lot less things that could go wrong(variables) whereas betting on an nfl game, you can imagine the difference. I used to bet just about every sport regularly then I realized, for me, MMA is my sport so I focus on it the most and its paid off. The market for the sport is new so the lines offer ridiculous value.

              It is also the fastest growing sport in the world and will rival the major US sports within a few years.
              + the mma market is relatively small compared to others and so the lines will not be as sharp
              Comment
              • rhinkoll
                SBR High Roller
                • 07-17-10
                • 211

                #8
                tennis, no doubt. Soccer the worst
                Comment
                • doublej95
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-26-10
                  • 14094

                  #9
                  I think baseball is one of the easiest to cap.
                  Comment
                  • stealthyburrito
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 05-12-09
                    • 21562

                    #10
                    everyone has sports they are good and bad at.

                    personally, i dabble with college hoops and bases.
                    Comment
                    • latinrus
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 08-01-10
                      • 11188

                      #11
                      Soccer is also good if u know which leagues to bet on and u find the right spots!
                      Comment
                      • ayuntalo
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-01-10
                        • 1692

                        #12
                        as much as i love basketball ill have to say, NFL because everygame is really important for a team..
                        unlike basketball and baseball that you have a lot of games during the season that even the great teams has a let up moment..

                        i also like MMA but i dont know much about upcoming fighters and if you bet straigh on most of them are highly juiced..
                        what i like about it is its 1v1 so less variables to consider as what others have said..and also you can pinpoint the win to have a better odds, like for example you want to take JON FITCH, he usually wins by decision so FITCH by decision @ +200ish is better than Fitch straightup.
                        .
                        http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basketball-handicapping/769535-streaking-towards-nba.html


                        NBA thread record:
                        17-22-1 (+14.85 units) on Straight wagers and Dogs
                        2-3 on parlays (+9.23 units)

                        TOTAL THREAD EARNINGS (+24.08 units)
                        Comment
                        • doublej95
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-26-10
                          • 14094

                          #13
                          a lot of people liking the MMA, I might have to check it out.
                          Comment
                          • Dutch
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-21-10
                            • 4339

                            #14
                            I do pretty good at College Football, pretty bad at NFL.
                            Comment
                            • Whippit
                              Restricted User
                              • 04-29-10
                              • 3065

                              #15
                              just stick with what works & you're guaranteed to make money

                              NFL, NBA, NCAA, MLB.....all highly beatable

                              avoid betting female semi-pro & amateur hopscotch

                              especially 11-14 age group when they're growing in their titties....stick with Cat's Cradle & other slow, wide tracks
                              Comment
                              • MBENZ
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 01-07-07
                                • 5238

                                #16
                                Originally posted by doublej95
                                I think baseball is one of the easiest to cap.
                                Comment
                                • Statman
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-04-10
                                  • 1212

                                  #17
                                  Basketball and baseball work best for me. NFL varies from year to year but underdogs seem to be covering more often in the NFL thuis year
                                  Comment
                                  • illfuuptn
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-17-10
                                    • 1860

                                    #18
                                    Top 3(for me) in terms of profitability:
                                    1.) NHL-long season and soft lines
                                    2.) MLB-long season and second-softest lines
                                    3.) NCAAB-soft lines

                                    Softest Lines:
                                    1.) NCAAB
                                    2.) NHL
                                    3.) MLB

                                    That doesn't mean I don't bet other sports. The NFL is extremely well analyzed, but it's nowhere near unbeatable. IMHO the books could make the NFL pretty much unbeatable but since they can make a better profit by shading lines they open the door for sharps to win. Honestly, if I had more money, the NFL would be my most profitable sport. Not because it's more beatable than the other sports, but because you can bet the most on it.
                                    Comment
                                    • stikymess
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 05-19-10
                                      • 3288

                                      #19
                                      Keep records and go over them, and in time you will find out what YOU are best at. I play all major sports the difference being the size of the wager. The NFL is miserable for me so a big bet would be 50 bucks to limit the damage but have action on the game.
                                      Comment
                                      • underthe total
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 05-29-10
                                        • 1487

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by illfuuptn
                                        Top 3(for me) in terms of profitability: 1.) NHL-long season and soft lines 2.) MLB-long season and second-softest lines 3.) NCAAB-soft lines Softest Lines: 1.) NCAAB 2.) NHL 3.) MLB That doesn't mean I don't bet other sports. The NFL is extremely well analyzed, but it's nowhere near unbeatable. IMHO the books could make the NFL pretty much unbeatable but since they can make a better profit by shading lines they open the door for sharps to win. Honestly, if I had more money, the NFL would be my most profitable sport. Not because it's more beatable than the other sports, but because you can bet the most on it.
                                        i keep reading that NHL is beatable, but i cannot find lines to bet and i bet alot of places. where are you playing NHL?. i totally agree with the other stuff you wrote here, i would flip ncaab and mlb, i think mlb is free money. i have made more off of NFL but with way more risk.
                                        Comment
                                        • Cuse0323
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 12-09-09
                                          • 30169

                                          #21
                                          for me personally, baseball is the worst and destroyed me this year. college basketball and football are the best for me. NFL and NBA are rough, but not as bad as baseball.
                                          Comment
                                          • illfuuptn
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-17-10
                                            • 1860

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by underthe total
                                            i keep reading that NHL is beatable, but i cannot find lines to bet and i bet alot of places. where are you playing NHL?. i totally agree with the other stuff you wrote here, i would flip ncaab and mlb, i think mlb is free money. i have made more off of NFL but with way more risk.
                                            I bet NHL at Bookmaker. And I only bet totals. 20 cent juice, but it's the only place where a US player can win big consistently and not get limited. And hockey totals are so soft that 20 cent juice is easily beatable. Hell, it would be beatable at 60 point juice.
                                            Comment
                                            • illfuuptn
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-17-10
                                              • 1860

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Cuse0323
                                              for me personally, baseball is the worst and destroyed me this year. college basketball and football are the best for me. NFL and NBA are rough, but not as bad as baseball.
                                              No offense, but if you lose over the course of an entire baseball season then you are a losing baseball capper. NFL and college football have much higher variance though. I got wrecked this year in the NFL. But I am a winning handicapper in that sport because I was on the right side of RLM and public action, typically beat the closing lines, and got fuked by many unfortunate 4th quarters.
                                              Comment
                                              • Cuse0323
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 12-09-09
                                                • 30169

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by illfuuptn
                                                No offense, but if you lose over the course of an entire baseball season then you are a losing baseball capper. NFL and college football have much higher variance though. I got wrecked this year in the NFL. But I am a winning handicapper in that sport because I was on the right side of RLM and public action, typically beat the closing lines, and got fuked by many unfortunate 4th quarters.
                                                obviously i'm a losing baseball capper, i layed a lot of chalk and got destroyed like i said
                                                Comment
                                                • underthe total
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 05-29-10
                                                  • 1487

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by illfuuptn
                                                  I bet NHL at Bookmaker. And I only bet totals. 20 cent juice, but it's the only place where a US player can win big consistently and not get limited. And hockey totals are so soft that 20 cent juice is easily beatable. Hell, it would be beatable at 60 point juice.
                                                  i am gonna start looking at the nhl with foots slowing down. thanks for the info......

                                                  i screwed up my 2 bookmaker accts with double hits. but the limits are still high enough for me right now.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • underthe total
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 05-29-10
                                                    • 1487

                                                    #26
                                                    The last 4 or 5 weeks has been brutal for me......brutal..... the lines i beat have been losing.... i have not seen anything like it. i just looked i have won 1 in the last 6 weeks. its fckn gross
                                                    Comment
                                                    • tripleblack1705
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 09-06-10
                                                      • 362

                                                      #27
                                                      MLB by far is most profitable for me.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • onion
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 12-16-10
                                                        • 126

                                                        #28
                                                        I don't know the best, sure not NHL
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Mr. Jones
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 09-02-05
                                                          • 942

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by doublej95
                                                          I think baseball is one of the easiest to cap.

                                                          This.

                                                          But I would add that it may take a few years to really get a feel for bases. Also a good inside knowledge of the game will be very helpful
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Mr. Jones
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 09-02-05
                                                            • 942

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Cuse0323
                                                            for me personally, baseball is the worst and destroyed me this year. college basketball and football are the best for me. NFL and NBA are rough, but not as bad as baseball.

                                                            Could be because when you chase in pointspread sports you are chasing usually at -110. If you chase in bases, it is human nature to chase with a game that might be -200, -250 or worse.

                                                            You just say to yourself "OK just this once cause this one's got to come in" and then C.C. gets shelled. Now you are totally fukked. Ain't sayin necessarily, but more likely than not, this was at least part of your problem.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Joe Dogs
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 07-20-09
                                                              • 1931

                                                              #31
                                                              I'd say baseball....You can go a season hitting below 50% and still make money.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • blackbart
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-04-07
                                                                • 3833

                                                                #32
                                                                the nfl is ez, just bet the over in every nationally televised game
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Metanoia
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-20-10
                                                                  • 2102

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Specialize first in a sport you really like, the more you know about it the easier it will be to make profit. Another good advice that has already been given is to search for less popular sports, the lines are usually better, and the books don't know so much about those sports so it will be easy to beat them.
                                                                  Comment
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