Hello everyone.. I'm new to SBR but I am already in love! Great spot for the sportswagering fanatic, of which i am undeniably one!
Thought i'd start with my first contribution with a little research since so many took a whippin last night do to the "Back Door" knife in the back cover by the Titans. Maybe we shouldn't be surprised.
It seemed everyone and his pet was on the Colts last night. In fact 81% of the general public was on them. This was the highest % i could find for this year. Should we smell a rat when the scales tip that far? As wagerers, it is important to learn lessons and not get bitter. How could so many be on the wrong side?
Well, i went back through the entire NFL Season so far. Here is what i found. It seems 77 could be our magic number for taking a step back and avoiding the fools gold!
Since the NFL Season started on Sept 9th there have been xxx games with a general concensus north of 77%.
Here are the results so far for 2010:
Sept 9th: San Francisco at Seattle: San Fran -3 / 80% - Result: Seattle 31 SF 6 - LOSS
Sept 9th: Green Bay at Philadelphia: GBay -3 / 77% - Result: GB 27 Philly 20 - Win
Sept 26th: Cincinnati at Carolina: Cincy -3 / 78% - Result: Cincy 20 Carolina 7 - Win
Oct 10th: New Orleans at Arizona: NO - 6 / 77% - Result: Arizona 30 NO 20 - LOSS
Dec 9th: Indianapolis at Tennessee: Indy -3 / 81% - Result: Indy 30 Tenn 28 - LOSS
"RULE 77" only came into play 5 times out of over 400 games or just over 1% of all NFL Games.
"RULE 80" came into play only twice but lost BOTH TIMES. Definitely avoid this trap.
It seems that when the hurd is all on one side, beware of the slaughter.
I may go back and check out 2009 games and see if the theory holds true, but for 2010.. buyer beware!
Oh.. and by the way.. This weekend... The betting public is 78% on Atlanta (-7.5) at Carolina on Sunday... and 78% on Baltimore (-3) at Houston on Monday. Just a heads up!
One last interesting note: ALL of the above games were ROAD teams and ALL FAVORITES, including the two games coming up. It seems the public underestimates the power of the HOME COURT ADVANTAGE and The DOG. No?
As always, your thoughts are welcomed!
Good luck to all!
The Shiz!
Thought i'd start with my first contribution with a little research since so many took a whippin last night do to the "Back Door" knife in the back cover by the Titans. Maybe we shouldn't be surprised.
It seemed everyone and his pet was on the Colts last night. In fact 81% of the general public was on them. This was the highest % i could find for this year. Should we smell a rat when the scales tip that far? As wagerers, it is important to learn lessons and not get bitter. How could so many be on the wrong side?
Well, i went back through the entire NFL Season so far. Here is what i found. It seems 77 could be our magic number for taking a step back and avoiding the fools gold!
Since the NFL Season started on Sept 9th there have been xxx games with a general concensus north of 77%.
Here are the results so far for 2010:
Sept 9th: San Francisco at Seattle: San Fran -3 / 80% - Result: Seattle 31 SF 6 - LOSS
Sept 9th: Green Bay at Philadelphia: GBay -3 / 77% - Result: GB 27 Philly 20 - Win
Sept 26th: Cincinnati at Carolina: Cincy -3 / 78% - Result: Cincy 20 Carolina 7 - Win
Oct 10th: New Orleans at Arizona: NO - 6 / 77% - Result: Arizona 30 NO 20 - LOSS
Dec 9th: Indianapolis at Tennessee: Indy -3 / 81% - Result: Indy 30 Tenn 28 - LOSS
"RULE 77" only came into play 5 times out of over 400 games or just over 1% of all NFL Games.
"RULE 80" came into play only twice but lost BOTH TIMES. Definitely avoid this trap.
It seems that when the hurd is all on one side, beware of the slaughter.
I may go back and check out 2009 games and see if the theory holds true, but for 2010.. buyer beware!
Oh.. and by the way.. This weekend... The betting public is 78% on Atlanta (-7.5) at Carolina on Sunday... and 78% on Baltimore (-3) at Houston on Monday. Just a heads up!
One last interesting note: ALL of the above games were ROAD teams and ALL FAVORITES, including the two games coming up. It seems the public underestimates the power of the HOME COURT ADVANTAGE and The DOG. No?
As always, your thoughts are welcomed!
Good luck to all!
The Shiz!
