Moneyline parlay - Saints & Falcons - 60% r.o.i.

**LostBankroll** · 12-09-10, 06:00 PM

Looks solid BOL to you and welcome to SBR!

**Money** · 12-09-10, 06:12 PM

nice play. i might have to jump on it too, especially if my indy -2.5 ticket cashes.

**boneheaded1** · 12-09-10, 06:35 PM

Yeah, i thought it wasn't a bad play. I hate losing. I pretty much stick to moneyline parlays. At a 60% return, why not. Last week the power parlay was Oregon and Packers. Was about a 40% return. I don't mind less than 100% return if I can keep my win rate high. Started with $100 and am approaching $1K. Would've been higher if Illinois wouldn't have choked on Minnesota a few weeks ago. (my only loss so far this year).

**boneheaded1** · 12-09-10, 06:37 PM

Oh, one more point on my $100 to $1K. I never bet more than 50% of my bank.

**nobodyukno** · 12-09-10, 06:50 PM

Looks like a pretty safe bet

**Waterstpub87** · 12-09-10, 06:53 PM

St. Louis may shock you. best of luck though

**aman86** · 12-09-10, 06:53 PM

saints are choke artists, beware, i'll be on rams ml and spread large

**ExposingLines247** · 12-09-10, 06:54 PM

not hardcore but 40% of your bankroll? sounds pretty hardcore to me good luck man

**bachngocduong** · 12-09-10, 06:57 PM

Originally posted by Waterstpub87

St. Louis may shock you. best of luck though

yup you right

**boneheaded1** · 12-10-10, 10:22 AM

You're right, Rams are having a good year, and they are strong at home but this game ain't in St. Louis. The Saints need to keep up with Atlanta, and the Rams are weak against the pass. There's a rule to follow. When in doubt, always pick the better defense at home. No need to use this rule because the Saints are motivated.

**boneheaded1** · 12-10-10, 10:28 AM

The only thing about this that I don't like is that I didn't add the Packers moneyline to the parlay. I omitted them because the Lions have played tough, the defense is much improved, CJ is an explosive receiver and the Packers have yet to prove they have a legit run threat. However, I forgot that the Lions are on their 3rd string QB.

Oh well, it will teach me to research better.

**xxxvince** · 12-10-10, 10:31 AM

saint might fk it up, but doubt it. hope u hit it and kill the books

**boneheaded1** · 12-10-10, 10:46 AM

Thanks Vince. Would love to kill the books but my roll ain't big enough yet. But I am betting more than I've ever bet in my life. I bet 30-50% of my bank every week as dictated by my system (if nothing fits the system, I don't bet, but if something does, the minimum required bet is 30% and the maximum is 50% of my roll) At first it was fun but the bet amounts are getting big (at least for me) and it's getting kind of stressful.

I have no idea how people can handle having multiple G's on the game (although I hope to find out someday).

**madrabbit** · 12-10-10, 10:47 AM

Originally posted by boneheaded1

Moneyline parlay - Saints and Falcons - a 60% return on your money.

Am I missing something? That seems a high return for such a low risk bet.

Can't say I'm on it hardcore but I've got 40% of my bank on it.

absolutely love your work this is how i made good money operating on these plays. Yeah i would have liked green bay in there too tbh in there instead of the saints its a danger game but lets be honest the saints should touch them up at the Superdome. I've punted massive amounts on 1.28 favorites etc and it does work.

**boneheaded1** · 12-10-10, 04:33 PM

Thanks madrabbit. Punted? must be a UK citizen (or Aussie).

Like the Beastie Boy's song, "Slow and Low, that is the tempo."

I try to approach it like an investor not a gambler.

**saints7011** · 12-10-10, 05:02 PM

add the steelers to it and you got something...

**agharah1** · 12-10-10, 05:46 PM

The problem I have with NFL games is it feels like every game is a tossup. If the Browns can beat the Pats and the Saints while the Bills can take the Ravens to overtime in a shootout and the Titans can put up 6 points combined on the Jags and Texans pass defenses then what can you trust?

Fortunately, it seems like the cream is rising to the top now. The Rams play solid defense at home but this is in New Orleans, and the Saints do in fact have to keep up with the Falcons who have 2 of their last 4 vs. the Panthers. The Saints have an "opportunistic" defense, which basically means "if we can't force turnovers we're boned." Hopefully Sam Bradford the rookie QB is good for an INT or 2.

I wouldn't take Pittsburgh with Big Ben playing on a broken foot.

**brahmabull117** · 12-10-10, 05:58 PM

Originally posted by agharah1

The Saints have an "opportunistic" defense, which basically means "if we can't force turnovers we're boned.

saints defense has played REALLY poorly last few weeks but they are still top 10 in the league in total yards and top 5 in the league in total points allowed per game

they have just imploded though the last 2 weeks, I really can't tell you why

**kfranz31** · 12-10-10, 06:59 PM

good luck may do it with you

**agronox** · 12-11-10, 02:00 AM

I think I'd prefer packers and falcons here. saints were burning people left and right earlier in the season and i still don't feel that they are a consistent football team

**Fleeben** · 12-11-10, 02:03 AM

Packers Falcons and either Pitt or Jets

**Ochocinco85mvp** · 12-11-10, 02:04 AM

BOL but you never know who can win in the nfl these days

**brahmabull117** · 12-11-10, 11:12 AM

Originally posted by agronox

I think I'd prefer packers and falcons here. saints were burning people left and right earlier in the season and i still don't feel that they are a consistent football team

rams are missing both their top cornerback and their nickelback, Saints will throw for 400+ yards in this one

**vboyt** · 12-11-10, 11:15 AM

I do like that play...

**madrabbit** · 12-11-10, 11:21 AM

Originally posted by boneheaded1

Thanks madrabbit. Punted? must be a UK citizen (or Aussie).

Like the Beastie Boy's song, "Slow and Low, that is the tempo."

I try to approach it like an investor not a gambler.

hey there. yeah aussie.

**boneheaded1** · 12-11-10, 01:17 PM

I agree Pakers pick is better bet than Saints. Had i taken the time to research the matchup I would have added them and made it a more powerful parlay (probably 80% r.o.i.). I have other parlays I play for like 10 or 20 bucks. Usually 5-7 teams. but the power parlay I keep to the games feel most sure of. The Saints could choke, but they are Superbowl champs and I know they want to go back. Their is incentive to win is WAY higher than the Rams. This game will show the Rams' mettle. If they win, they are team with pride and that should be remembered next season. Good luck all you punters out there! :-)

**pavyracer** · 12-11-10, 01:20 PM

Originally posted by boneheaded1

Moneyline parlay - Saints and Falcons - a 60% return on your money.

Am I missing something? That seems a high return for such a low risk bet.

Can't say I'm on it hardcore but I've got 40% of my bank on it.

Add the Steelers and you have 100% ROR

**Money** · 12-11-10, 03:07 PM

why not just do a 6.5 teaser with all three teams? Itd look like this:
GB Packers -.5
ATL Falcons -1
NO Saints-2.5
The payout is +130. Practically same as taking ML's

**Erock87** · 12-11-10, 03:08 PM

My parlay for tomorrow is Steelers, Packers, and Falcons MLs.

Over a 100% RoR

**Otters27** · 12-11-10, 03:11 PM

Never a low risk bet in the NFL. Especially with one team on the road.

**DrStale** · 12-11-10, 03:20 PM

0% returns when the Rams win. BOL.

**Dirty Sanchez** · 12-11-10, 03:26 PM

Originally posted by boneheaded1

Thanks madrabbit. Punted? must be a UK citizen (or Aussie).

Like the Beastie Boy's song, "Slow and Low, that is the tempo."

I try to approach it like an investor not a gambler.

Anyone who bets 40% of their bankroll on huge ML bets isn't an investor...sorry

**brahmabull117** · 12-11-10, 03:29 PM

Originally posted by DrStale

0% returns when the Rams win. BOL.

have you been following up on the Rams?? they are gonna be playing their practice squad guys because 2 of their top 3 cornerbacks (king, bartell) are expected to miss the game

you really think a bunch of 3rd string scrub cornerbacks will be any match to the offensive machine of the Saints playing at home?

**Cicima6709** · 12-11-10, 03:39 PM

Personally i like the packers and the falcons more...Did a teaser on them...

BOL though