Which NBA Dog has the best chance to win SU tonight?

[SBR Lou]

Anybody pounding one of these dogs ML tonight? Any solid reasoning...

Not interested in hearing from the chasers...

[Shark79]

Twolves +9 1/2

[onlooker]

Supersonics.

They opened up the favorite, and shouldn't of been bet to a dog today. But I will take advantage.

Only play of the day for me.

[SBR Lou]

Portland is +280 against LAL.

[louisvillekid]

Jazz and Knicks

[donjuan]

It's one thing to ask which ML dog has the best value but there really is no debate about which one has the best chance to win as that one is the Sonics.

[Quebb Diesel]

the jazz are the ML dog that have the best chance of winning...

[hoopster42]

utah and portland maybe? utah seems to match up well with new orl but its on the road, and portland catches lakers on second nite of back to back. i dont know, maybe pts and not ml's is way to go here, good luck

[Quebb Diesel]

i took the lakers -8 as my madcapper's best bet in his thread...i hope those t'blazers dont have the best shot to win tonight!

[donjuan]

the jazz are the ML dog that have the best chance of winning...

I assume you are big on the Heat tonight?

[ryanXL977]

sonics. heat are the worst team in the league

or wizards, they could win tonite

[onlooker]

sonics. heat are the worst team in the league

Heat are on the end of a back to back on the Westcoast. Sonics last played on Wednesday.

[Quebb Diesel]

I assume you are big on the Heat tonight?

i am big on nothing today...

[ryanXL977]

hey onlooker
thats why i said sonics. i just punctuated poorly
sonics are the bet for me
heat suck

[hoopster42]

sonics. heat are the worst team in the league

or wizards, they could win tonite

sonics as small dog now, yeah, and i think wash is a good one because theyre playing da bulls who have all sorts of probs

[donjuan]

i am big on nothing today...

Then I don't really understand how you would think the Jazz have a better chance to win SU than the Sonics when the ML for one is +170/-200 and the other is around +110/-130.

[hoopster42]

Then I don't really understand how you would think the Jazz have a better chance to win SU than the Sonics when the ML for one is +170/-200 and the other is around +110/-130.

lower ml does not always equal better chance! its in the matchups dude!

[Shark79]

Time UnderDog Line Wagers Pct. Team Line Wagers Pct.
7:30 PM Charlotte +17.5 448 60.87% Boston -17.5 288 39.13%

[onlooker]

7:30 PM Charlotte +17.5 448 60.87% Boston -17.5 288 39.13%

What are the percentages on the money line of that game?

[donjuan]

lower ml does not always equal better chance! its in the matchups dude!

If it doesn't I'd expect you to betting a huge amount of your bankroll on either the Heat or the Jazz, and probably both. The fact of the matter is that NBA MLs an hour or two before tip off are not off true value by enough to make the Jazz more likely to win than the Sonics unless there is a major injury that has not yet been reported.

[NardVa]

Indiana at +625 because they played Toronto close a few days ago and Portland at +280 because they played the Lakers close a few days ago plus the Lakers or on a back to back.

[hoopster42]

i'm not looking at the numbers, i'm just trying to see how the matchups play out, i think utah matches up better with new orl better than any other dog, so i dont think it should be only abt the numbers, those can be deceiving, second best is actually washington as was mentioned earlier in thread

[donjuan]

Yes, ignore all numbers. They are created by the number fairy and the market has no clue, either.

[hoopster42]

i didnt say ignore them, i said they should not be the first or only factor, i think matchups matter more than the numbers. sometimes a 6 pt dog just matches up better wit the fave than a 3 pt dog does. every situation is different. the question at top was which dog has best chance to win, not which moneyline number is best, theres a difference

[donjuan]

There is a difference, but the difference is very small and has to do with the efficiency of lines. Since I'm up for a laugh, tell me what you think fair value on the Jazz/Hornets and Sonics/Heat games are.

[Shark79]

What are the percentages on the money line of that game?

Sorry bro! dont have those percentages


I only get the Sides and Totals

[chipski]

I see it being 9 - 3 or 10 - 2 favs on the ml tonight .
2 dogs that can win su are Sonics Blazers , have a hard time finding a 3rd team . If I had to give a 3rd team I would say ahh , nobody . Knicks game could be close even though I wagered Hawks -6.5 .
One major factor for the big fav night straight up is 10 of the favs are playing at home on a super charged big friday night .

I think the Hornets win one at home making the series 2 - 1 but have not had much luck with NewOrl , when I take them they are no good .

[The HG]

Watch out for Philly at +180, IMO. That might be the best ML dog. Philly's got a little newish spark in them, and GS can be vulnerable, they lost to Atlanta at home a few days ago.

[WestsidePete]

Utah and Seattle....

[The HG]

There is a difference, but the difference is very small and has to do with the efficiency of lines. Since I'm up for a laugh, tell me what you think fair value on the Jazz/Hornets and Sonics/Heat games are.

Ok, I think the Jazz should be maybe 4-point faves, so I'm considering putting a small amount on them on the ML.

Sonics/Heat? The Heat suck bro! Sonics should kill them, Sonics should be like -200.

[Cash]

Twolves +9 1/2

[mozomboking]

sixers

[BigOrangeTitans]

what about the wizards?
They been playing really well lately

[WestsidePete]

Utah ML
Sea ML

2 team ml parlay 100 to win 477

This is my dog parlay today

[Quebb Diesel]

Then I don't really understand how you would think the Jazz have a better chance to win SU than the Sonics when the ML for one is +170/-200 and the other is around +110/-130.

i think the sonics can win that game too...i just hate taking inferrior teams in the nba b/c like in this case wade could come out and put up 40/8/12...