Fresno St is getting +30.5, BSU can't cover that number. Can they?

**DrunkHorseplayer** · 11-14-10, 07:59 PM

Yes they can; get down on BSU -30.5 and get down now.

**Ch3fDan** · 11-14-10, 10:19 PM

Fresno is a good team and nearly knocked off Nevada last night, I wouldn't sleep on them.

**rofacapper** · 11-14-10, 10:41 PM

Boise will win by as many as they want. Since you don't want to have to worry about a backdoor cover, I'd just wait and take Boise on the 1st half spread.

**pavyracer** · 11-14-10, 10:43 PM

take the over..game will be a track meeting

**Brock Landers** · 11-14-10, 10:44 PM

Fresno can score with Boise, 30 1/2 is crazy

**yisman** · 11-14-10, 10:47 PM

wtf? You don't think Boise State can win by more than 30? Where have you been all season?

I don't know whether they will or won't, but if they want to, they certainly can.

**Rio DiNero** · 11-14-10, 11:13 PM

Originally posted by yisman

wtf? You don't think Boise State can win by more than 30? Where have you been all season?

I don't know whether they will or won't, but if they want to, they certainly can.

Exactly(if they want to), but if Boise gets up big early they will pull their starters, and Fresno's offense is capable of a back door cover.

**yisman** · 11-14-10, 11:16 PM

Rio, agreed. That's been the problem handicapping Boise every week. It's hard to know when they'll took their foot off the accelerator.

But the thread title is ridiculous.

**Frogger** · 11-15-10, 12:00 AM

I think Fresno can WIN the game, and I thought the line was going to be +17.5. Now that it is +30 (down from 30.5) I'm almost too scared to pull the trigger.

30 points !!!!! This is insane, I just can't believe it would be this high. I really think Fresno has a shot to win, and when CRIS comes out with that moneyline, I will be happy to grab some 25 to 1 action

**2Bdown** · 11-15-10, 12:05 AM

any ideas on where the o/u opens?

**sportfan** · 11-15-10, 01:06 AM

Ya saw what happens to hawaii? Boise defense completed shut them down , fresno probably not gonna see the end zone here

**KingJIM** · 11-15-10, 01:17 AM

I like Fresno here. Only thing that would give me a second thought is Boise might throw up some style points to help themselves in the polls and BCS standing versus TCU.

**Heighbidder** · 11-15-10, 01:44 AM

Originally posted by sportfan

Ya see what happened to hawaii? Boise defense completed shut them down , fresno probably not gonna see the end zone here

This is not an appropriate comparsion. Hawaii is a much more one-dimensional offense that can be shut down at times. Boise's 4-2-5 defense offsets Hawaii's speed at receiver. However don't forget that Hawaii was also without a major weapon on offense against Boise State that greatly reduced their effectiveness (Pilares).

Fresno State is a much more flexible offense. There is no doubt that Pat Hill wants to just line up and run it down an opponents throat but he will adjust if it isn't working and that balance allows him to compete even when a team controls one aspect. Sure there games where they get beat pretty good but there is always a common denominator, turnovers.

LY Boise State was a -7.5 favorite @FS. The game was a 7 point game until late in the game when FS forced the issue with 4th down attempts which resulted in 10 late points in a 51-34 Boise State win. Both teams are very similar from last year in terms of players. Yes, FS is missing Ryan Mathews but their new lead back has back to back 200 yard rushing games for the first time in school history. So now a year later Boise State is 23 points higher? That's one heck of a homefield advantage (they do have a great one). Another line that doesn't jive with this one when I look at it is Boise's home line against La. Tech a few weeks back. It was 35.5 or 5 points more but Fresno State just got done going and beating La. Tech on the road pretty soundly. The score ended up 40-34 but FS dominated the game statistically and only a KR TD and late TD made the score look deceptive. So is Fresno State only worth 5 more points than La Tech? I would say no.

Fresno State +30 here and for a good chunk.

**Pickma$ter** · 11-15-10, 02:44 AM

If your thinking if picking Boise to cover I would wait as this line should move down. The public should force this line down. As soon as it gets to the Mid 20's(25-27) i will grab it. As mentioned earlier Fresno is a decent team with the best O-line Boise has seen all year, but no where in the same class as Boise..........Boise has done great for me all year only missing 1 cover so far.

**unde0087** · 11-15-10, 03:37 AM

I don't think Boise covers this number but you have to stop and think about it. When lines are this inflated there is usually a good reason for it. If anything taught us today is that anything can happen. I don't think many people woke up this morning thinking the Cowboys were going to destroy the Giants in every part of the game after watching them last week in primetime.

**dfberger23** · 11-15-10, 03:37 AM

It is hard for me to bet against Boise at home. I'll take the over.

**Killer_Demo** · 11-15-10, 03:58 AM

fresno will not get blown-out...they cover

**The General** · 11-15-10, 04:09 AM

Never underestimate odds makers here. Boise can if they wish. Is it a senior day/night?

**SBR_John** · 11-15-10, 04:20 AM

Loved Idaho plus 35 at home but it didnt work out so good. Probably take Fresno here.

**The General** · 11-15-10, 04:24 AM

I was really wishing Idaho got the back door in that one. Wish they had practiced the kicking game to try for 35 at the end instead of trying the 4th and 17 or so. I was shocked at 100% of my friends laid the 35.

**Pasadena69ers** · 11-15-10, 05:32 AM

Boise State, boys! Don't jump on that Fresno vanwagon because of what happened with Nevada. Nevada although a good team have looked like a bunch of frauds against the likes of San Jose St., UNLV(those two games should have never been so close) loss to Hawaii and this past Saturday's result. Like someone mentioned before wait til line drops a little and them jump on Boise. Boise could've won by 60 plus last week if they wanted to.

**Intuitive_Edge** · 11-15-10, 05:37 AM

if you want to go against BSU, i think this is the week to do it.

**frostno98** · 11-15-10, 05:38 AM

For Boise to cover, Fresno can't score no less than 3 TD's. Just don't see that happening with all the weapons the dogs has.

**ManBearPig** · 11-15-10, 06:23 AM

It's funny how you can tell the people who only know about Boise and nothing else about the WAC and those that do...just because a team doesn't blow their opponents out every game doesn't make them shit. This is sports and it's conference play and these teams know each other very well and it's not easy to just blow the "lesser" team away because you are supposed to be a national power.

The competitive balance is more prevalent in the top of the conference than the lower tier. Boise has had some close games with Fresno/Nev/Hawaii in the last few year but always seem to win out. With that being said don't jump on Boise train they will destroy Fresno train so fast. Fresno is a good team and they can give Boise fits. Sure they'll be playing on the smurf turf but Fresno has played Boise well up there and I don't expect that to change.

Although they won't win this game and will give up some points they can score here. That little back they have is like 5-7 and you don't see his ass until he flies by you hiding behind the line. 30 points is way too many and a little inflated IMO. The books know people are a public play and expect plenty of people to jump on that number because they are not educated about the WAC. The smart money will be on Fresno just like it was against my Pack this week.

Also I heard reports that Boise has lost their starting LB who is a great run stopper. Although this won't kill them it's not a small loss and will have an affect on the game. I expect a little look ahead to their game against Nevada next week because that game has a lot more meaning to them than this one against Fresno. Expect a close...ish game people

**Cris_from_Europe** · 11-15-10, 07:29 AM

Boise could be on look ahead to next week games, thus they will pull the starters in the 2nd half and Fresno covers ...

**hhsilver** · 11-15-10, 07:31 AM

Originally posted by KingJIM

I like Fresno here. Only thing that would give me a second thought is Boise might throw up some style points to help themselves in the polls and BCS standing versus TCU.

just like they try to do every game.

The question is : can they simply name their score against a pretty good team that nearly beat Nevada? I think not.

**xyzky** · 11-15-10, 12:13 PM

Fresno St and the points...Should be a good game with Boise winning by 10-13 points.

**Lion4Life** · 11-15-10, 01:27 PM

Like Fresno St here and the over.

**Ch3fDan** · 11-15-10, 03:15 PM

Originally posted by xyzky

Fresno St and the points...Should be a good game with Boise winning by 10-13 points.

This guy gets it... Fresno will keep it within striking distance and give themselves a chance to steal it.

**FeelinJuiced** · 11-15-10, 03:16 PM

Wow 30 points to a decent Fresno team... I was expecting more around 20. No way Fresno wins this but I don't see them getting trounced either. Boise is too unpredictable, I'd stay with the over. BOL to everyone!

**ZBOIZ** · 11-15-10, 05:31 PM

Originally posted by pavyracer

take the over..game will be a track meeting

bingo

**Cubs4591** · 11-15-10, 05:47 PM

Put your money on fresno on the spread!

**james4512** · 11-15-10, 05:50 PM

boise will win by 28 or 24 not 30+, they have not played the starters in the 4th qtr in any blowout win and there not going to start here so fresno will easily cover and at the very worst get a backdoor there team is good enough.

**Pickma$ter** · 11-15-10, 06:15 PM

The way this line is moving im going toward Fresno to cover and looks to be consensus her also. The early money is on Boise to cover.