Whats your rule of thumb when piggybacking winning cappers?

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  • bigboydan
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 08-10-05
    • 55420

    #1
    Whats your rule of thumb when piggybacking winning cappers?
    I keep reading that a lot of you guys tail hot cappers from time to time, and I was wondering what your "rule of thumb" on this subject. I mean at what point do you jump on and or off them before the ship before it sinks?
  • MadCapper
    SBR MVP
    • 01-27-08
    • 4179

    #2
    i will follow a guy who is good at soccer, golf, even college games.

    pro sports i will probably not blindly follow. but if a guy is on fire i will play until he loses. then probably fade his next 10 plays.
    My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
    Comment
    • pico
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 04-05-07
      • 27321

      #3
      whenever jj seems like he is invincible, i fade every single one of his plays. whenever he is down, i stay off the games.

      i stop following cappers after the mlb season.
      Comment
      • Arilou
        SBR Sharp
        • 07-16-06
        • 475

        #4
        The rule of thumb is, don't.
        Comment
        • SBR Lou
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 08-02-07
          • 37863

          #5
          I'm about 4-10 lifetime following one of the mods, other than that I try not to but occasionally get a feeling one way or another.
          Comment
          • VegasDave
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-03-07
            • 8056

            #6
            I think its always a bad idea, but...

            If you are going to do it, at least have an opinion on the game yourself. If you agree with his side, perfect.

            Wins and Losses have no memory ladies and gents...
            Comment
            • icemantbi
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 07-18-07
              • 944

              #7
              When I'm on a bad streak and can't pick my own nose, I will seek out a capper whose opinion I respect and tail a bit. Most of the time, I start winning a bit and get back into a groove.

              It's not bad to tail a good capper once in a while.
              Comment
              • 2Pac
                SBR MVP
                • 12-12-07
                • 1474

                #8
                I think it is stupid not to piggyback good cappers.

                Lets face it - most of us suck at this. We THINK we know our shit, but we don't. That's why these books are thriving.

                If we had access to plays that successful professional makes, it would be stupid not to tail.
                Comment
                • imgv94
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-16-05
                  • 17192

                  #9
                  Originally posted by crazyl
                  I'm about 4-10 lifetime following one of the mods, other than that I try not to but occasionally get a feeling one way or another.
                  Doesn't surprise me. Learned my lesson a long time ago
                  Comment
                  • tacomax
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-10-05
                    • 9619

                    #10
                    Originally posted by 2Pac
                    I think it is stupid not to piggyback good cappers.
                    Only consistently good ones with results that can be determined as being statistically significant.

                    Following someone with a record that could have been explained statistically soley by the variance of flipping a coin may not be the best ones to unload on.
                    Originally posted by pags11
                    SBR would never get rid of me...ever...
                    Originally posted by BuddyBear
                    I'd probably most likely chose Pags to jack off too.
                    Originally posted by curious
                    taco is not a troll, he is a bubonic plague bacteria.
                    Comment
                    • tacomax
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 08-10-05
                      • 9619

                      #11
                      Originally posted by MadCapper
                      pro sports i will probably not blindly follow. but if a guy is on fire i will play until he loses. then probably fade his next 10 plays.
                      Assuming a test with a perfectly fair coin but, due to some statistical quirk, you flip that coin and get 100 heads. What are the odds of getting a head on the 101st flip?
                      Originally posted by pags11
                      SBR would never get rid of me...ever...
                      Originally posted by BuddyBear
                      I'd probably most likely chose Pags to jack off too.
                      Originally posted by curious
                      taco is not a troll, he is a bubonic plague bacteria.
                      Comment
                      • imgv94
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-16-05
                        • 17192

                        #12
                        tacomax
                        This message is hidden because tacomax is on your ignore list.


                        LOL
                        Comment
                        • bigboydan
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 08-10-05
                          • 55420

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Arilou
                          The rule of thumb is, don't.
                          That is mine as well sir.
                          Comment
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