Is good handicapping a talent???

[zerocage]

Or is it a skill ???

[mofome]

whats the difference b/w talent and skill.

[zerocage]

Some people have talent and little skill. I'm terrible at math . My talent for playing guitar trumps my skill level at it. I can't explain shit today.........dang.

[teazeman]

whats the difference b/w talent and skill.

talent is something you are born with, skill is refined with hard work and experience. i've seen guys that have the talent but lack the drive or time to develop their skill level, myself included.

[zerocage]

talent is something you are born with, skill is refined with hard work and experience. i've seen guys that have the talent but lack the drive or time to develop their skill level, myself included.

[jjgold]

good handicapping = good luck

great math skills=winners

[zerocage]

What if you don't believe in luck then what???

[mofome]

talent is something you are born with, skill is refined with hard work and experience. i've seen guys that have the talent but lack the drive or time to develop their skill level, myself included.

nice reply.

[zerocage]

You either have or you don't right?? Or you can't crunch numbers ....

[curious]

The talent is being able to predict future events. However you do that. I know women gamblers who use intuition, they don't know anything about stats and don't care. you can have all the math skills in the world but there is an intangible when it comes to using math to predict future events. You have to decide what variables are important. I don't think that is a skill which can be learned, I think a person is born with that ability.

Can someone just study the math and then build predictive models that work without having this inherent talent to pick the correct variables? I don't think so.

[teazeman]

You either have or you don't right?? Or you can't crunch numbers ....

i think everyone with an interest in sports gambling has "it" to further develop it takes years of experience and often thousands and thousands of dollars in losses to garner an understanding of what it takes to win. long before the message boards appeared only the truly gifted won enough to make it worth while, unless you were on the book side of the house. with the advent of the web and the vast array of information it presents most people now have resources at their fingertips to make some headway, the biggest problem i see is a lack of self-confidence and an inabilty to sift thru bull shit information. the truely important facts are often mixed in the rest of the heap and you've got to pick out fact from fiction.

[teazeman]

Heres an example of experience and not talent:

last night in the usf & s. deigo game the 1st half ended with 45 total points, second half total was 65.5 yet i "trust" the line on the total was set at a decent number, therefore i played the over and went to bed. linesmen are smart, it's there job to get numbers close! i think they scored 90 in the second half so i got an easy winner just because i trusted those that make the number, at this time of year games come in close to the number and you could use this to your advantage. i didn't cap the total i just relied on those that did to be close, it worked out. a shortcut i take as a lazy capper!!!

[zerocage]

I have a hard time trusting those making the number .

[teazeman]

I have a hard time trusting those making the number .

pray tell why?

[zerocage]

Some are made to lure and to fool you.

[teazeman]

agreed, but my personal feeling is they'll be close to the number and in effect you have a big middle if you can be patient enough to wait for some half-times.......just one of the things i do on occasion...

[zerocage]

More advantage on halftimes due to small amount of time making them.......