Basketball Correlation Side & Total

[HedgeHog]

Won the 1st half easily, Loy & Under par collect.

[HedgeHog]

Lost the game par on LOY/Under. Despite going Under, 31 points wasn't enough (lost by 33). I think you guys are right about 1st half and halftime pars being more correlated than the game. The 1st half total is less than half the game total, while the favorite is favored by more than half of its game line.

Game was 21.5% correlated (31/144.5) Lost

Half was 25% correlated (17/68) Won with Under/Dog combo.

[calm]

I wouldn't play into halves blindly with it, but if I liked the larger dog and under, I 'd probably bet them individually and a smaller bet parlayed, even more likely at +280, same with Fav and over.

Where can you find +280 on 2 team parlays?

[Munson15]

Lost the game par on LOY/Under. Despite going Under, 31 points wasn't enough (lost by 33). I think you guys are right about 1st half and halftime pars being more correlated than the game. The 1st half total is less than half the game total, while the favorite is favored by more than half of its game line.

Game was 21.5% correlated (31/144.5) Lost

Half was 25% correlated (17/68) Won with Under/Dog combo.

What ratio would you consider a go for a first half parlay?

[HedgeHog]

Munson:

Probably need at least 20% correlation and even then your edge is marginal at best. Also, there are very few plays. Obviously correlated pars are better suited for FB.