Superbowl Poll... What is the best play of these 4?

[5 star bomb]

Just curious what everyone thinks is the best play of these 4 choices....

NE -12

NYG +12

Over 54

Under 54

[Bill Dozer]

The Pats is the only bet on the board still offering the best odds since it opened so that's my choice.

[louisvillekid]

i'm riding the Pats.

[Poker_Beast]

Go Giants!

[brock]

i'm riding the Pats.

any chance it goes lower

[louisvillekid]

any chance it goes lower

i thought i saw an 11 at Bodog yesterday on SBRlines and some 11.5's, i already got 12 from my local and Justbet gave me a free $100 bet on it, but i had to take the Pats at -14.

[Cabo]

I'd say NE -12

[durito]

The best plays on the board are pats -14 +132, and pats -450. both at matchbook.

[5 star bomb]

The best plays on the board are pats -14 +132, and pats -450. both at matchbook.

-450? No thanks...

[durito]

-450? No thanks...

Why?

It either has value or it doesn't.

[louisvillekid]

-450 has value if your a big money bettor, but for someone like me who plays $50-100, its not worth it to me.

[durito]

-450 has value if your a big money bettor, but for someone like me who plays $50-100, its not worth it to me.

the value doesn't change if you are betting .10 or $10,000

[pavyracer]

For the Patriot backers I would like to remind that the three Superbowls they have won were only 3 point wins. The reason it's simple. The league will not allow any cheating via video stealing of opposing team's signals. Bear that in mind when you are betting on a team that's depended on home field advantage and will use any trick allowed and not allowed to get a competitive advantage.

[zootiehead]

If you like the Giants +12 then you have to put something on the ML.

[louisvillekid]

the value doesn't change if you are betting .10 or $10,000

well, i meant to make it worth it to me personally, cause i only bet small, me laying 50-100 at that price, i'm only picking up a 1/4 of that in a win, but if i bet the spread and win ,i almost double my money. you have to remember i'm small time. now someone who is a big time or has alot of money could easily lay out 10G to easily pick up a few G's, if they think a game is a sure thing.

[superquad07]

i like pats-11 and over

[rake922]

more input?

[5 star bomb]

I like Giants +12 and Over 54. I am just playing the Giants though. I am taking the points and the ML. The Giants are going to give NE one hell of a ride tomorrow. I think this is going to be a great game. Strahan, Osi, Tuck, will get pressure on Brady and the Giants secondary is playing great in the playoffs. Giants running game has been dynamite and Plax, Toomer, Smith have all been playing good. The Pats defense hasnt been very good besides as the Jags made a lot of plays on them and the Chargers did good also besides in the Red Zone.... I like the Giants straight up 31-27

[MadCapper]

Over 54!

[Illusion]

The Pats is the only bet on the board still offering the best odds since it opened so that's my choice.

Exactly, that's why I have a nice chunk of change on them this Sunday.

[babaoriley]

Chalky, but Pats.

[gambleballs]

Total is back to 55 at a lot of places. I'll take the under.

[Quebb Diesel]

under...55 is A LOT of points...unless you think the pats will put up more than 31 points...both sides of the ball are going to show up (not just the offenses)

2 out of the 10 playoff games broke 55 this year...with the way both teams have been running th ball in the playoffs scores will be limited IMO.

the only way i think itll go over is if eli lets it but i just dont see coughlin letting eli sling the ball all day long. buuuut to contradict myself eli has been playing too good lately and is due up for an off game...2 to 3 picks by eli and the game could easily go over 55

im just stuck on if the pats will put up 38 points or not...if i convince myself they will im going over but if not im going under

[Mr Nuts]

Pats -12

[Quebb Diesel]

if i was smart i would take the pats -12 because of all of the talking the giants have been doing dissing the patriots...

buuuuut i might take the giants plus the points because ever since that routing of the redskins by like 30+ theyve only had 3 12+ point game wins...1 was against the bills playing w/o edwards and lynch (by 16) another against the steelers & their guarantee of a win (by 21) and the last against the worst team in the league with all the talking of mercury morris and don shula (by 21). tough call IMO. i like both plays...with the giants secondary back and arguably the best dline in the league...i can see the giants putting up 18-27 and the pats putting up 24-35...

[Dark Horse]

Two weeks of line movement is a bit much. Had to get off the under, because line moved out of my sweet spot.

I'm slightly annoyed with this game and it hasn't even started. So much f*cking hype about one game. It seems ten times worse than just a few years ago.

[mofome]

i went with the over. gl today gents

[RageWizard]

N.E. and the over

[HedgeHog]

Under 54 (actually 54.5)

Final score: NE 27-17?

[20Four7]

HH you in the same zone as me. I called a ne 24 ny 20 game. GL.

[patsfan2727]

may be a stupid question, but if you think the Giants will cover 12 but not win, shouldn't you parlay Giants +12 with NE ML? That gives you 1.34:1 odds instead of 1:1.1 odds.
Only time this will screw you is if the Giants pull the upset or NE blows them out, so is there value in that parlay?