Kings Corner (Why USC Covers this Week against Stanford)

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • iifold
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 04-25-10
    • 11111

    #1
    Kings Corner (Why USC Covers this Week against Stanford)
    As I type this, USC is an 8.5 point underdog for this weeks game at Stanford. I think the line will probably settle around 9 but don't think it will matter. I see a close, "low-scoring" game this week for a couple reasons.

    Both teams dropped to (4-1) after losing this week.

    Stanford got trounced by Oregon (52-31) after jumping out to an early 21-3 lead. They got beat 28-0 in the second half and seemed outclassed at times by the speedy Ducks and their spread offense.

    USC lost to Washington 32-31 at home on a last second field goal as Lane Kiffin saved all three of his time outs to "ice" the kicker instead of trying to get the ball back I watched a lot of this game and Washington dropped a lot of passes and even lost a TD thanks to Locker fumbling a ball through the end zone. USC is by no means a powerhouse, but I think they are getting a bad rap so far...

    When you think of USC right now the first thing that pops into your head is negative thoughts, am I right? The Reggie Bush bullshit, the Sanctions, Lane Kiffin...All these things have people for the most part just ignoring this team.. Nine out of Ten people cant stand Lane Kiffin, and I totally understand why but when you gamble you have to throw your emotions out the window. Kiffin is not as dumb as that blank stare makes him seem. (I know you know what I am talking about, that B1GER1C avatar "look" he has when things aren't going well) I remember last year Kiffin was a BIG underdog with Tenn, something like 20 points, and it seemed like he never once tried to "win" the game. He stuck to his conservative game plan no matter how much he got down, and they ended up easily covering but never once made you think they had a chance to win. Some people probably thought he was an idiot for this, but I gained a little respect for the guy, its almost as if he is thinking years down the road while everyone else is thinking about that day. He knew he was gonna lose that game, but he didnt ask his guys to be something they weren't, they ran the ball and checked it down the whole game until it was over. Say what you want about Lane Kiffin, he has a plan, and you can see it coming together with this USC team. They are going to run the ball, control the clock, and when you least expect it hit you deep down the field off play action. It may not be the sexiest offense, but its the kind of pro-style offense that wins games and keeps games CLOSE. And as a gambler, when a team is getting nine points, all I want them to do is keep it CLOSE!

    You're probably saying to yourself, How the hell is the USC defense going to keep it close against the Cardinal when they have been so bad up until now?

    I am banking on one thing, Monte Kiffin's defense against a "Pro-Style" offense..I heard a radio guy talking about how Monte Kiffin couldnt Coral the different offenses he has seen in college. Im pretty sure he will know what to do against Stanfords "vanilla" offense. I expect Andrew Luck to struggle this week at times. I think the old man has a few tricks up his sleeve that will confuse the Cardinals offense just enough to give the Trojans a chance to Win this game. Don't forget that one of Stanfords best receivers (Owusu) got his bell rung and you never know how he'll bounce back. Their offense sputtered after he left the game.

    So there you have it.. I like the Trojans to cover or maybe even win in a "low" scoring game. Something like 23-20...

    King
  • thezbar
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-29-06
    • 6422

    #2
    Usc's pass defense is not one I care to risk my hard earned money on. G.L. with your play regardless.
    Comment
    • iifold
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 04-25-10
      • 11111

      #3
      USC +9.5 already from 8.5...
      Comment
      • iifold
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 04-25-10
        • 11111

        #4
        USC now +10 at 5Dimes..
        Comment
        • iifold
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 04-25-10
          • 11111

          #5
          14-14 right before half..

          More offense then I thought..

          Each team with a TO in the redzone..
          Comment
          • iifold
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 04-25-10
            • 11111

            #6
            Did you see Luck hit that guy??

            Am I the only guy watching Stanford/USC??
            Comment
            • thechaoz
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-23-09
              • 12154

              #7
              Post plays more often King. I know you know you sh+t for sure. Looking good right now
              Comment
              • iifold
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 04-25-10
                • 11111

                #8
                Kiffin butchering timeouts again..
                Comment
                • FishFace5
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-15-09
                  • 1768

                  #9
                  2nd half thoughts?
                  Comment
                  • iifold
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 04-25-10
                    • 11111

                    #10
                    Originally posted by FishFace5
                    2nd half thoughts?
                    Tough call here..

                    Don't see Stanford shutting down USC,

                    maybe half unit each on USC +6 and Over 28.5...
                    Comment
                    • Morality
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 09-27-10
                      • 168

                      #11
                      I bet on the over at 60, just need one more td in 10 minutes
                      Comment
                      • iifold
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 04-25-10
                        • 11111

                        #12
                        28-28...

                        USC has been coming close to stopping Stanford..

                        USC can win this game..
                        Comment
                        • iifold
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 04-25-10
                          • 11111

                          #13
                          Nevermind..

                          90 yard runback by Stanford..

                          Fukk
                          Comment
                          • iifold
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 04-25-10
                            • 11111

                            #14
                            34-28 Stanford..

                            Missed extra point..

                            Could be a factor...
                            Comment
                            • Morality
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 09-27-10
                              • 168

                              #15
                              lol the idiot missed the extra point, fortunately for me i already won my over bet
                              Comment
                              • Morality
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 09-27-10
                                • 168

                                #16
                                Wow, that missed point could be HUGE for ATS
                                Comment
                                • iifold
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 04-25-10
                                  • 11111

                                  #17
                                  Stanfords defense obviously not very good but this Barkley kid is getting pretty good..
                                  Comment
                                  • iifold
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 04-25-10
                                    • 11111

                                    #18
                                    Amazing how many of these top football programs can't kick a 45 yard field goal..

                                    They don't even attempt them

                                    Alabama/Michigan/Usc and that's just from what Ive seen today...
                                    Comment
                                    • iifold
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 04-25-10
                                      • 11111

                                      #19
                                      USC ball

                                      4:17

                                      down 6
                                      Comment
                                      • iifold
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 04-25-10
                                        • 11111

                                        #20
                                        Great Game...
                                        Comment
                                        • iifold
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 04-25-10
                                          • 11111

                                          #21
                                          USC up 1 with 1:08 left..

                                          I like Stanfords chances..
                                          Comment
                                          • Morality
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 09-27-10
                                            • 168

                                            #22
                                            Nice analysis.
                                            Comment
                                            • iifold
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 04-25-10
                                              • 11111

                                              #23
                                              Stanford wins 37-35..
                                              Comment
                                              • ZetaPsi808
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 09-18-08
                                                • 12119

                                                #24
                                                foldy good call.

                                                i think USC should have ran some more clock before they scored at the end there. they had 1st and goal from the 3 with 1:30 left. they could have taken a knee on first down. no way stanford was gonna stop 3 straight times there.

                                                foldy that is why we take the 10 points pal
                                                Comment
                                                • Reno Paul
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-11-10
                                                  • 1647

                                                  #25
                                                  Hellva game!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • minet123
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 02-17-07
                                                    • 10280

                                                    #26
                                                    Great call now don't take your winnings and put half all in on a suspect team and the other half on a 5 team all chalk parlay
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Joe Sharp
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 06-01-09
                                                      • 3011

                                                      #27
                                                      Missed this thread somehow. Wish I hadn't. Nice call King!!!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • iifold
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 04-25-10
                                                        • 11111

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by minet123
                                                        Great call now don't take your winnings and put half all in on a suspect team and the other half on a 5 team all chalk parlay
                                                        this is the one guy...

                                                        Comment
                                                        Search
                                                        Collapse
                                                        SBR Contests
                                                        Collapse
                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                        Collapse
                                                        Working...