Follow this strategy for NFL when you are not sure who to bet on

**HotStreak** · 09-27-10, 05:29 PM

Or Favres.

**MJFtheGenius** · 09-27-10, 05:30 PM

Go with the losing team

you get a better line

**dinaro7** · 09-27-10, 05:36 PM

you r full of it

**dinaro7** · 09-27-10, 05:39 PM

pavy racer dont know anything

**pavyracer** · 09-27-10, 06:41 PM

Originally posted by MJFtheGenius

Go with the losing team

you get a better line

Originally posted by dinaro7

you r full of it

Originally posted by dinaro7

pavy racer dont know anything

Tell it to the books who write my checks.

**lakerboy** · 09-27-10, 06:45 PM

The teams leading at ht yesterday went 12-2 su in the second half.

**UntilTheNDofTimE** · 09-27-10, 06:48 PM

Most people here bet for action, do u realistically think some of these degenerates cud wait til halftime to place a bet?

**pavyracer** · 09-27-10, 06:57 PM

Originally posted by UntilTheNDofTimE

Most people here bet for action, do u realistically think some of these degenerates cud wait til halftime to place a bet?

No I don't expect them. Who do you think is going to pay for my winnings?

This strategy can be also used to get out of bad bets placed prior to the game. Like when I bet the Titans vs Steelers last week only to hedge out my bet for the 2nd half by betting the Steelers.

**TPowell** · 09-27-10, 07:40 PM

6-8 in Week 2
3-8 in Week 1

**jjgold** · 09-27-10, 07:54 PM

Originally posted by pavyracer

Wait until the first half is over. Bet the 2nd half the team that is winning at HT.

The majority of the teams who win at HT win the game. There are no Elways, Marinos or Montanas anymore to bring a team back when they are down at HT.

Thoughts?

Not a bad point, I tend to stay away from 2nd half NFL games though

Hard to gauge these games

**milwaukee mike** · 09-27-10, 07:56 PM

quite often there are lines that make no sense in the 2nd half for people actually watching the game

like philadelphia and pittsburgh both pick ems in the 2nd half yesterday when they were going to continue dominating those games

**warriorfan707** · 09-27-10, 08:01 PM

Long run will prolly bury you

**pavyracer** · 09-27-10, 10:02 PM

Originally posted by TPowell

6-8 in Week 2
3-8 in Week 1

What?

Do the math pal!

**jolmscheid** · 09-28-10, 06:09 PM

So you basically just bet the ML on the team that is winning at halftime? Or do you mean to take the spread on the team that is winning at halftime? Do you think this will work for other sports too? Or just the NFL...

**jolmscheid** · 09-28-10, 06:10 PM

Thanks by the way in advance...

**yahoonino** · 09-28-10, 06:13 PM

i will look in to that

**robmpink** · 09-28-10, 06:13 PM

Originally posted by milwaukee mike

quite often there are lines that make no sense in the 2nd half for people actually watching the game

like philadelphia and pittsburgh both pick ems in the 2nd half yesterday when they were going to continue dominating those games

I disagree with that. You look for the teams who have a big lead to keep it low on the throttle. Atleast that is how it is in theory.

**mdemps9190** · 09-28-10, 06:28 PM

Yeah if you bet the ML it works, but you're laying heavy juice to do so a lot of the time.

**pavyracer** · 09-28-10, 06:31 PM

Originally posted by jolmscheid

So you basically just bet the ML on the team that is winning at halftime? Or do you mean to take the spread on the team that is winning at halftime? Do you think this will work for other sports too? Or just the NFL...

Take the spread. Just look at the attached screenshot. On Sunday it was 12-2 if you took the team leading at halftime whether the line was -3 or +3 for the team leading at HT.

**Gee** · 09-28-10, 06:34 PM

nothing is easy.

blind betting is for suckers.

if you can't figure out a play the real way - don't make it.

edit: i haven't checked and it may well be a profitable trend for a while, but i really doubt it will last.

**Soxsfan9** · 09-28-10, 06:48 PM

Very interesting, will be nice to keep following this in future weeks.

**Ricki Roma** · 09-28-10, 06:57 PM

interesting theory sir, we will see how it faires ths following week.

btw how much do u make?

**hitman2010** · 09-28-10, 07:03 PM

i agree with it, but for long time how it does/

**TPowell** · 09-28-10, 08:14 PM

Originally posted by pavyracer

What?

Do the math pal!

[ATTACH]18251[/ATTACH]

yeah this week was good, the other 2 weeks were probably around 40% of worse!

**Goat Milk** · 09-28-10, 08:18 PM

Pretty sure Manning and Brady are just as good as Elway if not better.

**pavyracer** · 09-28-10, 08:21 PM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

Pretty sure Manning and Brady are just as good as Elway if not better.

But the difference is they don't need 4th quarter last minute drives to win. This is the basis of this strategy. Brady and Manning rarely don't lead at HT.

**MickChunky** · 09-28-10, 08:24 PM

Originally posted by pavyracer

But the difference is they don't need 4th quarter last minute drives to win. This is the basis of this strategy. Brady and Manning rarely don't lead at HT.

Word

**TPowell** · 09-28-10, 10:45 PM

this theory was garbage the first 2 weeks of the year, I highly advise not playing this.

**lakerboy** · 09-28-10, 10:46 PM

So what are the plays for the second half for the teams leading? SU or ATS? Because if it is SU the ML juice is usually gonna be high.

**TPowell** · 09-28-10, 10:48 PM

I posted the SU results from how you would do if you bet the 2nd half ML of the team winning (9-16 the first 2 weeks)

**Congruency** · 09-28-10, 11:00 PM

Originally posted by TPowell

I posted the SU results from how you would do if you bet the 2nd half ML of the team winning (9-16 the first 2 weeks)

good job sir

i always LOL at guys who see a successful angle for 1 week and then all of a sudden its a "system"

**Extra Innings** · 09-28-10, 11:01 PM

looks good to me

**TPowell** · 09-28-10, 11:05 PM

unless Pavy is talking about LIVE BETTING the FULL GAME ML after halftime, this system is bad

**xxxvince** · 09-28-10, 11:05 PM

dumbest tip i have ever heard.. u kidding me????? how long u have been betting on games dude? sorry to be rude but i dont want ppl to read this and start losing money betting on first half team! pls pls plssssss dont