Revealing the 11 Factors Formula to a Winning Sports Bet and beating Vegas.

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  • curious
    Restricted User
    • 07-20-07
    • 9093

    #36
    Originally posted by SportsExecutive
    sure no problem,take the Monday Night game for example


    New Orleans @ SanFran and why Sanfran covered and was the play


    they would of applied to #1,3,4,5,7,8,10,11



    1.Motivation Edge- San Fran
    2.Momentum - New Orleans
    3.Homefield - SanFran
    4.Bounceback - San Fran
    5.Letdown
    -New Orleans,edge San Fran
    6.Revenge
    7.Matchups -San Fran -Gore vs poor run d
    8.Who is the public doubting ? San Fran
    9.Who is Better team- New Orleans
    10.Fade the public -80% on New Orleans
    11.Line Value
    - +5 at home would of been more like +3.5 if not for week 1



    8 out of 11....was a very strong play.




    I will post my plays when I have some but they will be rare.
    I was more thinking that you could use an example of a few UPCOMING games.
    Comment
    • curious
      Restricted User
      • 07-20-07
      • 9093

      #37
      Originally posted by Skidcom
      Good guidelines but so much of it is subjective, hard to quantify. But certainly makes sense intuitively
      Especially after the game.
      Comment
      • SportsExecutive
        SBR Hustler
        • 08-08-10
        • 56

        #38
        U want a upcoming game? No Problem here you go.


        Week 3 Example Detroit @ Minnesota


        1.Motivation Edge- Minnesota...Huge( Do or Die game)
        2.Momentum
        3.Homefield-Minnesota
        4.Bounceback-Minnesota
        5.Letdown - Detroit,edge Minnesota(2 weeks in a row emotionally draining finishes for detroit resulting in close losses)
        6.Revenge
        7.Matchups- J Best vs Minnesota run d and Peterson vs Detroit run D ...Edge Minnesota
        8.Who is the public doubting ? Minnesota( media all over them)
        9.Who is Better team overall- Still Minnesota
        10.Fade the public- Public all over Detroit for this game
        11.Line Value ,if not for week 1 and 2 this line would be 13 or 13.5,


        9 out of 11....95% to win on ml id say.

        Minnesota ml is pretty much a lock u can include it in your ml parlays and 13 pt teaser.and -10 is a very strong play. This should be a 20 + win for Minnesota.
        Comment
        • curious
          Restricted User
          • 07-20-07
          • 9093

          #39
          Thanks. I'm usually quite shy.

          So, you define letdown as a previous game when the team was leading and had a heart breaking loss at the end? Or, won the game but got blown away in the fourth quarter or the second half?
          Comment
          • curious
            Restricted User
            • 07-20-07
            • 9093

            #40
            One more question, why would a week 3 game be a do or die game?
            Comment
            • sharpcat
              Restricted User
              • 12-19-09
              • 4516

              #41
              Squares entertain me with their silly systems

              So you are implying that whether the spread was +5 49ers or -20 49ers that the niners would have covered because you found reasons that they could fit into at least 7 out of 10 of your silly scenarios?

              Hard to see how you can not take the point spread into consideration when deciding on who will cover the point spread
              Comment
              • SportsExecutive
                SBR Hustler
                • 08-08-10
                • 56

                #42
                Originally posted by SportsExecutive
                U want a upcoming game? No Problem here you go.


                Week 3 Example Detroit @ Minnesota


                1.Motivation Edge- Minnesota...Huge( Do or Die game)
                2.Momentum
                3.Homefield-Minnesota
                4.Bounceback-Minnesota
                5.Letdown - Detroit,edge Minnesota(2 weeks in a row emotionally draining finishes for detroit resulting in close losses)
                6.Revenge
                7.Matchups- J Best vs Minnesota run d and Peterson vs Detroit run D ...Edge Minnesota
                8.Who is the public doubting ? Minnesota( media all over them)
                9.Who is Better team overall- Still Minnesota
                10.Fade the public- Public all over Detroit for this game
                11.Line Value ,if not for week 1 and 2 this line would be 13 or 13.5,


                9 out of 11....95% to win on ml id say.

                Minnesota ml is pretty much a lock u can include it in your ml parlays and 13 pt teaser.and -10 is a very strong play. This should be a 20 + win for Minnesota.





                and the 11 factors wot winning system comes through again
                Comment
                • jpete1966
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 09-14-09
                  • 347

                  #43
                  Detroit - 2 interceptions in the endzone from the 4 yard line in less than 3 minutes on two separate drives. Saying the Vikings was a great win is kind of like bragging after you win on the river when you were clearly in a bad losing spot.
                  Comment
                  • eidolon
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 01-02-08
                    • 9531

                    #44
                    Originally posted by SportsExecutive



                    It might seem like obvious stuff but I guarantee you if the team applies to 7 or more of these factors you will win 80% of the time.


                    60% of the time, it works every time!
                    Comment
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