Green Bay -7.5 vs Seattle: 0/u 43

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  • mofome
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-19-07
    • 13003

    #1
    Green Bay -7.5 vs Seattle: 0/u 43
    Time: 4:30pm
    TV: FOX



    Seattle:
    11-6
    3-5 away
    10-7 ats
    0/u 8-9

    Green Bay:
    13-3
    7-1 home
    12-3-1 ats
    0/u 12-4


    wagerline consensus has 62.65% on seattle


    weather: cold, almost no wind, limited chance of some precip


    Green Bay obviously starts with their offense, many people labled the cowboys the 2nd best offense in the league, but the packers actually finished the regular season 2nd in ypg. Whats made the difference for favre this year has been the addition of a running game, the pack are 11th in the league at 4.1 ypc, only a 10th of a yard behind the pretty good rushing teams like pitt and san diego. their ability to line up and run the ball has made favres work a lot easier which has, in turn, allowed him to play more under control and limit his ints. Last week seattle was able to give the skins a lot of trouble with their pressure, but this week they'll be facing a healthy line (the skins were missing 2 starters) and a team that was 3rd in the league in sacks allowed. not only are the packers healthier up front, but they do more from the gun than seattle saw last week, not to mention more quick hitting type passes like the slant. Another difference will be on the outside there the strong seattle dbs wont be able to out muscle the WRs this week. last week moss, el, and the skins wideouts were just overmatched physically, that wont be the case with driver and jones, two of the more physical wideouts in the NFC. Finally, while the seattle pass defense looked strong overall last week, they really didnt have all that great a year. they have some play makers in grant (questionable), and trufant, but they still allowed a decent number of passing yards to be put up on'em vs a very weak schedule.

    when you look over seattles last couple months, they didnt really dominate anyone other than the 9ers. they found ways to win more often than not, but they didnt really smash teams the way gb did for much of the 2nd half. On defense seattle is a nice team overall and they have at pro-bowl player on each level, but they arent a dominant until. They are decent against the rush and they are average against the pass, what sets them apart is their ability to get to the passer which could be negated this weekend. On offense the seahawks have been a little banged up, but they look to have hackett and branch both playing this weekend which should give their offense the weapons to keep up with the pack.

    2 weeks for an offense to prepare, imo, means a lot. this packer offense can strike quickly but they're also willing to move the ball down the field on 10+ play drives. i think gb will score and seattle will have trouble running, which means more passing for seattle. two teams passing a lot means the game should be a little slower and the chances for big plays are increased defensively and offensively.

    my play
    over 43
  • Cee
    SBR MVP
    • 12-24-07
    • 1899

    #2
    Mo , I loved ovas when it 1st came out. Now seeing everyone on ovas im scared
    Comment
    • mofome
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-19-07
      • 13003

      #3
      Originally posted by Cee
      Mo , I loved ovas when it 1st came out. Now seeing everyone on ovas im scared
      not awesome being on the popular side.
      Comment
      • moses millsap
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 08-25-05
        • 8289

        #4
        Originally posted by mofome
        not awesome being on the popular side.
        Why not? This year in NFL, it's been wonders. I see every chronic losing player with a solid NFL year.
        Comment
        • mofome
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-19-07
          • 13003

          #5
          Originally posted by OWNED
          Why not? This year in NFL, it's been wonders. I see every chronic losing player with a solid NFL year.

          56% season for me. maybe you're on to something.

          Comment
          • moses millsap
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 08-25-05
            • 8289

            #6
            You're not a chronic loser. Stop trying to join clubs you don't belong too.
            Comment
            • Cee
              SBR MVP
              • 12-24-07
              • 1899

              #7
              Originally posted by OWNED
              You're not a chronic loser. Stop trying to join clubs you don't belong too.
              Mo always wins
              Comment
              • mofome
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-19-07
                • 13003

                #8
                Originally posted by OWNED
                You're not a chronic loser. Stop trying to join clubs you don't belong too.


                sound advice, as ive come to expect.
                Comment
                • mofome
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-19-07
                  • 13003

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Cee
                  Mo always wins


                  i wish betjm felt the same way.
                  Comment
                  • moses millsap
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-25-05
                    • 8289

                    #10
                    Originally posted by mofome
                    sound advice, as ive come to expect.
                    Tell me you bet the GS 1st half over and not the game like I told you last night.
                    Comment
                    • Cee
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-24-07
                      • 1899

                      #11
                      Originally posted by mofome
                      i wish betjm felt the same way.
                      i wish i was special
                      Comment
                      • mofome
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 12-19-07
                        • 13003

                        #12
                        Originally posted by OWNED
                        Tell me you bet the GS 1st half over and not the game like I told you last night.


                        haha you did nail that one. i played gs -9.5 as big cee can attest to. 2-0 night with a small ml dog win. cant complain, but wish i had jumped on a few of those wins people were handing out in that thread.


                        nice hit

                        Comment
                        • LT Profits
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-27-06
                          • 90963

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Cee
                          Mo , I loved ovas when it 1st came out. Now seeing everyone on ovas im scared
                          Cee,

                          I'm on the Under, so that should make you feel a lot better!
                          Comment
                          • 20Four7
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 04-08-07
                            • 6703

                            #14
                            LOL LT you haven't been running good in pucks I know, I don't follow your picks in other sports. I know your record on the front page isn't as good as I think you are mind you.
                            Comment
                            • zerocage
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 08-29-06
                              • 769

                              #15
                              But what if both defenses show up ?? O well .
                              Email me somtime mo!!!!!!!!!!!!
                              Comment
                              • Cee
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-24-07
                                • 1899

                                #16
                                Originally posted by LT Profits
                                Cee,

                                I'm on the Under, so that should make you feel a lot better!
                                Def, especially when LT wins in ncaa hoops. Maybe he's nfl guru also
                                Comment
                                • frostno98
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 09-11-07
                                  • 9769

                                  #17
                                  I'm parlaying the Packs and the under here! I don't see the seabags passing attack being efficient with hasslebeck wrist injury. So there probably alot of 3 and out's for them. Packs should be able to get a decent lead, milks the clock, and games go low.
                                  Comment
                                  • Dark Horse
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 12-14-05
                                    • 13764

                                    #18
                                    It's a flip for me. It looks like an over, but because the overlay is between 1 and 2 TD's it turns into an under. Supported by strong numbers, and I suspect it's because this area is the most 'coachable'. Beyond 2 TD's the overlay is too strong. Under 1 TD the coaches focus less on the other team's capacity to run up the score. That said, I'm passing on this game.
                                    Comment
                                    • BigOrangeTitans
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-23-07
                                      • 4504

                                      #19
                                      hammered 43, like the over in all the games, lets cash mo!
                                      Comment
                                      • mofome
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 12-19-07
                                        • 13003

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by BigOrangeTitans
                                        hammered 43, like the over in all the games, lets cash mo!


                                        vandy blowing that game has me ready to break everything in my home. i'll need 2-4 minutes to calm myself before i can get in nfl mode.

                                        Comment
                                        • 2Pac
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-12-07
                                          • 1474

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by mofome
                                          vandy blowing that game has me ready to break everything in my home. i'll need 2-4 minutes to calm myself before i can get in nfl mode.

                                          Me too. Alex Gordon single handedly lost that game for Vandy - I want to kill him.

                                          Oh, and that ref that called a block on Foster.... lil' SEC hilljack home cookin'
                                          Comment
                                          • mofome
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 12-19-07
                                            • 13003

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by 2Pac
                                            Me too. Alex Gordon single handedly lost that game for Vandy - I want to kill him.

                                            Oh, and that ref that called a block on Foster.... lil' SEC hilljack home cookin'


                                            they gave kentucky 36 f-in fts....thats a joke, the game was offciated poorly, but that happens on the road in the sec. not quite as bad as most ole miss home games, but it wasnt good.
                                            Comment
                                            • mofome
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-19-07
                                              • 13003

                                              #23
                                              quick start.
                                              Comment
                                              • Wrigley
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 12-28-07
                                                • 7268

                                                #24
                                                Ryan Grant great season what a way to start his post season career 2 big fumbles
                                                Comment
                                                • mofome
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-19-07
                                                  • 13003

                                                  #25
                                                  uh oh, challenge.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • mofome
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 12-19-07
                                                    • 13003

                                                    #26
                                                    cant challenge it. nice.


                                                    14 points down.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jjgold
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 07-20-05
                                                      • 388179

                                                      #27
                                                      mofo your in the same boat as me

                                                      Your getting barreled in today

                                                      MoFO see you at the bank Monday waiting in line for a fukkin loan.

                                                      This sucks
                                                      Comment
                                                      • mofome
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 12-19-07
                                                        • 13003

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by jjgold
                                                        mofo your in the same boat as me

                                                        Your getting barreled in today

                                                        MoFO see you at the bank Monday waiting in line for a fukkin loan.

                                                        This sucks


                                                        not sure how so. 0-2 ncaa, lost a dog in double ot, lost a game by 3, im happy with the capping in each. winning seattle and winning the over. been winning most days, im fine. maybe you havent been following.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jjgold
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 07-20-05
                                                          • 388179

                                                          #29
                                                          I read your post wrong

                                                          over is a winner

                                                          Fuk your not in my boat
                                                          Comment
                                                          • NEP Dynasty
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 10-17-06
                                                            • 858

                                                            #30
                                                            21 points only halfway through the first quarter. Mark this as a winner.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • mofome
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 12-19-07
                                                              • 13003

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by jjgold
                                                              I read your post wrong

                                                              over is a winner

                                                              Fuk your not in my boat

                                                              21 points.


                                                              yeah, today started off poorly, but my month here has been great. up in the nfl, bowls, and ncaab. lucky start for this over with the turnover giving seattle the ball inside the 10. looks like a wild game.

                                                              who are you on tonight?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • mofome
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 12-19-07
                                                                • 13003

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by NEP Dynasty
                                                                21 points only halfway through the first quarter. Mark this as a winner.


                                                                dont jinx it brotha!


                                                                Comment
                                                                • Wrigley
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 12-28-07
                                                                  • 7268

                                                                  #33
                                                                  This is going to turn in to a snow bowl coming down good now, This is football!!!!!!!!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Wrigley
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 12-28-07
                                                                    • 7268

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by mofome
                                                                    dont jinx it brotha!




                                                                    More cowbell !!!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • mofome
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 12-19-07
                                                                      • 13003

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Wrigley
                                                                      This is going to turn in to a snow bowl coming down good now, This is football!!!!!!!!

                                                                      fukkin-a wrigs you said it. this is the way to start the weekend. listen to the noise, look at how hard the guys are playing, look at the snow...this is it.

                                                                      Comment
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