Ted Sevransky
Houston Texans +7.0
Sun Dec 23 '07 1:00p
Tony Dungy’s track record as the Colts head coach is remarkably consistent. This is Dungy’s sixth year on the job in Indianapolis. In his five previous seasons, the Colts have been just where they are now – a team with double digit wins, tuning up and getting healthy for a playoff run. And in those five previous seasons, the Colts ATS mark is remarkably similar in their final two regular season games: 0-2 ATS every single year. That puts Dungy and his Colts on an 0-10 ATS run in the final two games of the season heading into their game against Houston on Sunday, a trend that I fully expect to continue.
Dungy has stated that he won’t be resting his starters this week. That most assuredly doesn’t mean that Indy is going to have a full team of starters in the game on either side of the football when the pointspread outcome is likely to be determined in the fourth quarter. While Dungy has said that he won’t be resting healthy starters, he’s also said that with the Colts locked into the #2 seed in the AFC, the myriad of banged up and injured Colts are not likely to see much playing time here. That list of banged up players is remarkably long, including defensive end Robert Mathis, defensive tackle Raheem Brock, offensive tackle Ryan Diem, cornerback Antoine Bethea, and many, many others. They’ll join Marvin Harrison, Dwight Freeney and many others on the sidelines for this game. And, should the Colts take a solid early lead, don’t be surprised to see Peyton Manning sit in favor of Jim Sorgi in the second half. Indy will not be playing with full intensity this week.
That most assuredly is not the case for the Houston Texans. Gary Kubiak’s squad is sitting at .500 in the toughest division in football, with a chance to earn the first winning record in the six year existence of the franchise. Yes, Houston was eliminated from playoff contention last week, but all signs point towards a concerted effort in Indy on Sunday. With the Sage Rosenfels/Andre Johnson QB/WR duo making big plays every week and Ron Dayne continuing to grind out tough yards on the ground, look for the Texans to keep this one close throughout, with a chance at the outright upset. Take the Texans.
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robmpink
SBR Posting Legend
01-09-07
13205
#5
Philly +3
Small revenge game from last years regular season loss.
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Scorpion
SBR Hall of Famer
09-04-05
7797
#6
I have:
Wash +6.5
Cin +3
Buf +3
Hou +7.5
Thats all!!
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trytrytry
SBR Posting Legend
03-13-06
23652
#7
agree on Washington + 6 1/2.... if they allow that QB to throw the ball 35 times... not running it. gibbs can be stubborn and stupid..
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SBR Lou
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
08-02-07
37863
#8
Pats 1st half Webber -13.5
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idontlikerocks
SBR Wise Guy
10-09-07
571
#9
i like washington here also , have the team total over 17. on the indi game, i like this prop play; which half will more points be scored FIRST HALF. if indi rests starters it may be in the second half, so there may be a score letdown in 2h.
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HedgeHog
SBR Posting Legend
09-11-07
10128
#10
Another good prop is Hou qbs + 30.5 passing yards over Manning-who I don't think will play much more than a half today.