Betting question for all SBR posters......................

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  • Nicky Santoro
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 04-08-08
    • 16103

    #1
    Betting question for all SBR posters......................
    Boys,. I am curious to see what kinda bettors we have here at SBR..


    There is a game that you absolutely love... and i mean.... looooooooove.. the team is at home, they are 54-22 at home, pitcher is 8-0 with 1.34 era at home.. they are on an 9 game winning streak.. it's a day game and they are 23-5 in day games, and 200 other reasons why you love it..... So basically, you loooooooooooooooove this game sooooooooo much.. so much that you never loved a game this much in your life....

    The line is -110/-110 at every book offshore.. and -105/-105 everywhere else.. It's a pick em....


    You then find a book that has +105 on the team you don't like at all.. What do you do???


    Do you take -110 on the fav you like??? OR do you take +105 on the side you don't like at all..??..


    Who do you take????
  • SlickFazzer
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-22-08
    • 20209

    #2
    I would probably guess that a team who has been red hot with a pitcher that has been dominant would be bigger
    favorite than -110.

    But either way I am always looking for the underdog at a good price. If 99% of the books have the line at -105 and
    I can get the number at +105...I have just made a 10cent deal!

    Its like seeing a stock you like priced at 100, yet you are able to purchase it at 90.
    Comment
    • minet123
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 02-17-07
      • 10280

      #3
      9 game winning streak and pitcher on fire equals=team starting to think they can't lose
      but as per your post I LOOOOOOOOVVVVVVVEEEE this team

      I probably talk myself out of wagering at all
      but if you hold a gun to my head and I LOOOOOOOOOOVVVVVVEEEEEE this team as much as your post I would wager 0.5% of roll
      Comment
      • blackbeSSt
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 09-06-08
        • 9398

        #4
        with all those uber stats to have a game sitting at -110 both ways makes me wonder the stats for the other team . if they are equal to make it a PK, hell yeah i'd go +105
        Comment
        • will2survive
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 11-26-09
          • 8099

          #5
          take the -110 ---ez answer
          Comment
          • spartangreen
            SBR MVP
            • 11-25-09
            • 3807

            #6
            If you have a team thats 54-22 at home and on a 9 game winning streak and a pitcher with a 1.34 home era, and has not lost at home and they are only -105, that other team must be one hell of a team.

            NO BET
            Comment
            • Philavanh
              SBR MVP
              • 08-18-06
              • 2800

              #7
              TAke the team that you really like but for 1/4 of the unit you normally lay
              Comment
              • statnerds
                SBR MVP
                • 09-23-09
                • 4047

                #8
                which ever team has the better bullpen

                if i can't find an edge there, then i'm taking the dog.
                Comment
                • LT Profits
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-27-06
                  • 90963

                  #9
                  BUT, if you feel the team you love should be -120, then even the +105 has no value. You take your team at the -105 book.
                  Comment
                  • mathdotcom
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-24-08
                    • 11689

                    #10
                    Can't answer because I never "love" games.
                    Comment
                    • Nicky Santoro
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 04-08-08
                      • 16103

                      #11
                      so far, the answers are practically dead even.. and so far, i can't believe how many wrong answers there have been..
                      Comment
                      • LT Profits
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-27-06
                        • 90963

                        #12
                        Originally posted by mathdotcom
                        Can't answer because I never "love" games.
                        Don't look at it as "loving" a game and look at it as setting a fair line of -120 on the home team.
                        Comment
                        • statnerds
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-23-09
                          • 4047

                          #13
                          Originally posted by LT Profits
                          BUT, if you feel the team you love should be -120, then even the +105 has no value. You take your team at the -105 book.
                          and if you feel the team you love should be -120, then you are saying the market as a whole is incorrect and inefficient, at least on this game.
                          Comment
                          • jjgold
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 07-20-05
                            • 388179

                            #14
                            I bet team I fukkin like
                            I do not give a fuk if line is -130

                            If my numbers say team A is the play you bang it.

                            Do not line influence your homework.
                            Comment
                            • SlickFazzer
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 05-22-08
                              • 20209

                              #15
                              Originally posted by jjgold
                              I bet team I fukkin like
                              I do not give a fuk if line is -130

                              If my numbers say team A is the play you bang it.

                              Do not line influence your homework.
                              JJ is a feel bettor, has never been into the mathematics much.
                              Comment
                              • blackbeSSt
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 09-06-08
                                • 9398

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Nicky Santoro
                                so far, the answers are practically dead even.. and so far, i can't believe how many wrong answers there have been..
                                how is there a right or wrong answer for a game that does not exist and will never be played to find out said outcome?
                                Comment
                                • LT Profits
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 10-27-06
                                  • 90963

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by statnerds
                                  and if you feel the team you love should be -120, then you are saying the market as a whole is incorrect and inefficient, at least on this game.
                                  Not if it's early in the day. You take the -105 and if you are right, you watch the line rise after you bet and smile.
                                  Comment
                                  • Nicky Santoro
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 04-08-08
                                    • 16103

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by blackbeSSt
                                    how is there a right or wrong answer for a game that does not exist or will ever be played to find out said outcome?
                                    there is a RIGHT answer..trust me there is.. it's in black and white.. you can't get more right than this..

                                    ONLY 1 answer is correct here..
                                    Comment
                                    • blackbeSSt
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 09-06-08
                                      • 9398

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Nicky Santoro
                                      ONLY 1 answer is correct here..
                                      pass on the game and go get drunk?
                                      Comment
                                      • BeeMore
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 05-29-10
                                        • 1004

                                        #20
                                        Bang the other team at +105
                                        Comment
                                        • ouman101
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-02-09
                                          • 2815

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Nicky Santoro
                                          there is a RIGHT answer..trust me there is.. it's in black and white.. you can't get more right than this.. ONLY 1 answer is correct here..
                                          Why don't you enlighten us?
                                          Comment
                                          • Fishhead
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 08-11-05
                                            • 40179

                                            #22
                                            I LOVE SBR, and forums in general.



                                            Gotta love this business!!!!!
                                            Comment
                                            • Deuce
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 01-12-08
                                              • 29843

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by spartangreen
                                              If you have a team thats 54-22 at home and on a 9 game winning streak and a pitcher with a 1.34 home era, and has not lost at home and they are only -105, that other team must be one hell of a team. NO BET
                                              Comment
                                              • djefferis
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-16-08
                                                • 1210

                                                #24
                                                Go to matchbook, get all you can on your side offering to lay -102

                                                bet the +105 for an equal amount

                                                at least you'll be +

                                                The +105 should be a sign, someone else see's what you see. Never over/underestimate your skill. If your a gambler play your typical wager, always follow money management and stick with your instinct.
                                                Comment
                                                • Brock Landers
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 06-30-08
                                                  • 45359

                                                  #25
                                                  Rubberband play on the -110
                                                  Comment
                                                  • csm506
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 07-10-10
                                                    • 1402

                                                    #26
                                                    First you must question why is the line so low? check for injuries or if some guys are getting the day off? if it smells bad and you question why the line is so low stay away, if you must wager on the game always take the under, as one team in these types of game do not show up usually from my experience you get a lot of 5-1 deals, Good Luck, I hope this helps.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Nicky Santoro
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 04-08-08
                                                      • 16103

                                                      #27
                                                      i can't believe some of these shocking answers. By the look of some answers here, some of you should NOT be gambling.. you should be working a real job.. gambling is not for you. you should quit now before you go broke..


                                                      Boys, i am heading out in 15 min for about 2-4 hrs.. when i come back, i will reveal the ONLY right answer.. Yes, the fav is playing also a great team, which is why it's only -110 or -105.. But remember, you loooooooove the favorite so much..
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Brock Landers
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 06-30-08
                                                        • 45359

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Nicky Santoro
                                                        i can't believe some of these shocking answers. By the look of some answers here, some of you should NOT be gambling.. you should be working a real job.. gambling is not for you. you should quit now before you go broke.. Boys, i am heading out in 15 min for about 2-4 hrs.. when i come back, i will reveal the ONLY right answer.. Yes, the fav is playing also a great team, which is why it's only -110 or -105.. But remember, you loooooooove the favorite so much..
                                                        RUBBERBAND PLAY Nicky!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • SportNut
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 05-16-07
                                                          • 1984

                                                          #29
                                                          Never line baseball...but I'd take -110...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • THE PROFIT
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 11-27-09
                                                            • 17701

                                                            #30
                                                            This question makes no sense to me, Nicky! If I love a team that much, and they are just -110 or -105, why would I take the other team at barely+++ money??? I'm not a sharp baseball bettor, but a win is a win & a loss is a loss. If the #'s & stats toward the team I love are that good I would be wary that there's something I don't know for them to only be a pick 'em
                                                            Comment
                                                            • THE PROFIT
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 11-27-09
                                                              • 17701

                                                              #31
                                                              Thats kinda like the Pats being -2.5 over Oakland, then finding Oakland +3 -105, why the fuk would I take Oakland, but then why the fuk are the Pats just -2' or 3 over Oakland? Sounds like Tom Brady has an injury that has not been let out or something
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jjgold
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 07-20-05
                                                                • 388179

                                                                #32
                                                                Most guys bet because they like a side, they are not going to scalp and all that other bull shit

                                                                Nicky its about action, the answer your looking for might happen in 2% of bettors
                                                                Comment
                                                                • EDDIE MONEY LINE
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 02-24-10
                                                                  • 6298

                                                                  #33
                                                                  you rob a bank and put all the money on the team you love...you win that, u go to veags, throw a party with hookers and blow all the winnings in one weekend...or double up again and build yourself a castle and open a casino so u never go broke
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Rich Boy
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 02-01-09
                                                                    • 9714

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Calculate Pinny's no juice number and if you can beat any side you bet it, all those stats and streaks dont mean shit and if they did, Pinny would have factored it into the line...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Iceman
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 08-29-08
                                                                      • 486

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Use Pinnacle as your answer sheet and compare the prices you found to it. If there is enough "value" based off what is the current Pinny line (usually around 10 cents off) you then follow the market information and bet the bad number or good number in this cae of +105. Unless that is you feel your opinion is stronger then the markets (which for 99% of the people here it isn't).
                                                                      Comment
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