Which is better more or less picks?

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • eyeball
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 08-14-07
    • 988

    #1
    Which is better more or less picks?
    In general if you are handicapping which gives you a better long term winning percentage? Playing one or two games per day or 5 to 7. I know some beleive picking 5 to 10 games a day gives you a better shot. But I was wondering how the juice enters into it? .
  • paul Mordeeb
    SBR High Roller
    • 05-12-07
    • 220

    #2
    Over the long term, It shouldn't matter as long as you have a good winning percentage. More picks means Your swings will be smaller.
    Comment
    • tacomax
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 08-10-05
      • 9619

      #3
      It depends on the marginal advantage you're getting from betting 2 or 7 games. If you hit 60% on your first two of the day and hit 50% on the last five it's pretty obvious what your choice should be.
      Originally posted by pags11
      SBR would never get rid of me...ever...
      Originally posted by BuddyBear
      I'd probably most likely chose Pags to jack off too.
      Originally posted by curious
      taco is not a troll, he is a bubonic plague bacteria.
      Comment
      • Ganchrow
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 08-28-05
        • 5011

        #4
        Originally posted by eyeball
        In general if you are handicapping which gives you a better long term winning percentage? Playing one or two games per day or 5 to 7. I know some beleive picking 5 to 10 games a day gives you a better shot. But I was wondering how the juice enters into it? .
        The more +EV bets you place the better.
        Comment
        • eyeball
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 08-14-07
          • 988

          #5
          Ganchrow

          What do you mean EV bets?
          Comment
          • Ganchrow
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 08-28-05
            • 5011

            #6
            Originally posted by eyeball
            What do you mean EV bets?
            A +EV bet is one on which you have a positive expectation (i.e., a bet on which you expect to make money).

            See these posts:

            An introduction to betting lines and percentages
            An introduction to expectations and theoretical hold
            Comment
            • luciano
              SBR Sharp
              • 11-02-07
              • 417

              #7
              ev=expected value.
              Comment
              • luciano
                SBR Sharp
                • 11-02-07
                • 417

                #8
                Hey Ganch, you play poker?
                Comment
                • Ganchrow
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 08-28-05
                  • 5011

                  #9
                  Originally posted by luciano
                  Hey Ganch, you play poker?
                  I've been known to play a little poker here and there.
                  Comment
                  • luciano
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 11-02-07
                    • 417

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Ganchrow
                    I've been known to play a little poker here and there.
                    Well I bet you are quite the player if you stick to your math and not let emotions get to you. That implied odds article is good stuff man.
                    Comment
                    • Teddy_KGB
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 04-07-06
                      • 270

                      #11
                      It depends on what events are on that day. I mean if there is Grand Slam or ATP Masters Series (tennis), sometimes I pick 10+ bet a day.
                      Comment
                      • d2bets
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 08-10-05
                        • 39995

                        #12
                        Which is better? Here's a simple answer...if you're a winner, bet more....if you're a loser , bet less. If you're a "winner", you probably know it. If you're not sure, then you're probably not one.
                        Comment
                        • LT Profits
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-27-06
                          • 90963

                          #13
                          d2bets said it best!

                          If you are a long term winner, you should bet any play you feel has a positive EV, be it 2 plays or 20 plays in a day.

                          If you are not a winner or do this for fun, then the fewer plays the better unless you have a lot of money set aside for entertainment purposes.
                          Comment
                          • donjuan
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-29-07
                            • 3993

                            #14
                            As Ganch said, make as many +ev bets as possible.

                            However, if you are purely going for winning percentage you would want far fewer plays.
                            Comment
                            • jjgold
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 07-20-05
                              • 388179

                              #15
                              Bookmakers do not want guys that only make a few plays a week

                              ENOUGH SAID
                              Comment
                              • RageWizard
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-01-06
                                • 3008

                                #16
                                Just bet the games that you feel that have value. If your just flipping coins and hitting the church, your gonna lose. Some days have several good plays, other days will be a fight to find one good wager. So don't go into a day saying I have to come up with 3 or 5 plays, let your handicapping dictate the number of plays you make.
                                Comment
                                Search
                                Collapse
                                SBR Contests
                                Collapse
                                Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                Collapse
                                Working...