In general if you are handicapping which gives you a better long term winning percentage? Playing one or two games per day or 5 to 7. I know some beleive picking 5 to 10 games a day gives you a better shot. But I was wondering how the juice enters into it? .
Which is better more or less picks?
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eyeballSBR Wise Guy
- 08-14-07
- 988
#1Which is better more or less picks?Tags: None -
paul MordeebSBR High Roller
- 05-12-07
- 220
#2Over the long term, It shouldn't matter as long as you have a good winning percentage. More picks means Your swings will be smaller.Comment -
tacomaxSBR Hall of Famer
- 08-10-05
- 9619
#3It depends on the marginal advantage you're getting from betting 2 or 7 games. If you hit 60% on your first two of the day and hit 50% on the last five it's pretty obvious what your choice should be.Originally posted by pags11SBR would never get rid of me...ever...Originally posted by BuddyBearI'd probably most likely chose Pags to jack off too.Originally posted by curioustaco is not a troll, he is a bubonic plague bacteria.Comment -
GanchrowSBR Hall of Famer
- 08-28-05
- 5011
#4The more +EV bets you place the better.Comment -
eyeballSBR Wise Guy
- 08-14-07
- 988
#5Ganchrow
What do you mean EV bets?Comment -
GanchrowSBR Hall of Famer
- 08-28-05
- 5011
#6A +EV bet is one on which you have a positive expectation (i.e., a bet on which you expect to make money).
See these posts:
An introduction to betting lines and percentages
An introduction to expectations and theoretical holdComment -
lucianoSBR Sharp
- 11-02-07
- 417
#7ev=expected value.Comment -
lucianoSBR Sharp
- 11-02-07
- 417
#8Hey Ganch, you play poker?Comment -
Teddy_KGBSBR Sharp
- 04-07-06
- 270
#11It depends on what events are on that day. I mean if there is Grand Slam or ATP Masters Series (tennis), sometimes I pick 10+ bet a day.Comment -
d2betsBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 08-10-05
- 39995
#12Which is better? Here's a simple answer...if you're a winner, bet more....if you're a loser , bet less. If you're a "winner", you probably know it. If you're not sure, then you're probably not one.Comment -
LT ProfitsSBR Aristocracy
- 10-27-06
- 90963
#13d2bets said it best!
If you are a long term winner, you should bet any play you feel has a positive EV, be it 2 plays or 20 plays in a day.
If you are not a winner or do this for fun, then the fewer plays the better unless you have a lot of money set aside for entertainment purposes.Comment -
donjuanSBR MVP
- 08-29-07
- 3993
#14As Ganch said, make as many +ev bets as possible.
However, if you are purely going for winning percentage you would want far fewer plays.Comment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388179
#15Bookmakers do not want guys that only make a few plays a week
ENOUGH SAIDComment -
RageWizardSBR MVP
- 09-01-06
- 3008
#16Just bet the games that you feel that have value. If your just flipping coins and hitting the church, your gonna lose. Some days have several good plays, other days will be a fight to find one good wager. So don't go into a day saying I have to come up with 3 or 5 plays, let your handicapping dictate the number of plays you make.Comment
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