Any Views Yankee Game Today?

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  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #1
    Any Views Yankee Game Today?
    Kind of forgotten everything else going on
  • KVB
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 05-29-14
    • 74817

    #2
    These games today are tight no matter what program I lay over them.

    I'd say there may be some value there on the +130, +135 or more dog...that's the Astros.

    Probably should be closer to a pick em like the other game.

    I've checked for errors on that one, even though I haven't found an error in a long, long time. I still get some disparity, from the market, like today's roughly 30 cents, so I always check.

    Maybe it just isn't as efficient as many think.
    Comment
    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388179

      #3
      good work KVB

      you always got an angle
      Comment
      • SlickFazzer
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 05-22-08
        • 20209

        #4
        Pounded Yankees for a unit.
        Comment
        • KVB
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 05-29-14
          • 74817

          #5
          Originally posted by SlickFazzer
          Pounded Yankees for a unit.
          Yeah, Houston gonna be a tough "value" play to get tonight.

          I've actually held off a bit on my Houston position, but I am in a buying mode there. I don't really like it...lol.

          Maybe we get Houston with a lead and a chance to sell some back in the LIVE markets.
          Comment
          • KVB
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 05-29-14
            • 74817

            #6
            Sure would like some more of you to hit Yankees across the market, I need a few more cents here in some big houses.

            Hopefully the last hour of trading brings in the public on the Yankees.

            And shit, they might get the Yankees tonight, I don't care, I just want my position and my numbers.

            And Houston to take an early lead.

            We are watching closely.

            Comment
            • KVB
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 05-29-14
              • 74817

              #7
              Bang. Houston takes the early lead.

              Yankees +185 and +215 down the hatch.

              I got some serious equity now and can't lose.

              But still have a small position on Houston.

              Comment
              • KVB
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 05-29-14
                • 74817

                #8
                Originally posted by jjgold
                good work KVB

                you always got an angle
                Indeed, the good work from earlier combined with the good work trading.

                Luck is predictable.

                The harder I work, the luckier I get.

                Think about it.

                Comment
                • mackave
                  SBR MVP
                  • 03-22-14
                  • 4971

                  #9
                  yankees stink bad
                  Comment
                  • KVB
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 05-29-14
                    • 74817

                    #10
                    It's so crazy to see the LIVE market just sell out the Yankees at just 2-0. It is swayed.

                    Yankees still show some LIVE value.

                    But I already made my trades and like I said, I'm have small position in Houston, can't lose, and am holding.

                    I guess I've sold out the Yankees too.

                    Comment
                    • lakerboy
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 04-02-09
                      • 94379

                      #11
                      Originally posted by KVB
                      It's so crazy to see the LIVE market just sell out the Yankees at just 2-0. It is swayed.

                      Yankees still show some LIVE value.

                      But I already made my trades and like I said, I'm have small position in Houston, can't lose, and am holding.

                      I guess I've sold out the Yankees too.

                      Its because they can't hit.
                      Comment
                      • jjgold
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 07-20-05
                        • 388179

                        #12
                        Yanks worst hitting team baseball, they cant win even with Judge having career year
                        Comment
                        • Nate rasta
                          SBR MVP
                          • 05-30-22
                          • 2953

                          #13
                          What a boring game
                          Comment
                          • KVB
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 05-29-14
                            • 74817

                            #14
                            Originally posted by KVB
                            These games today are tight no matter what program I lay over them.

                            I'd say there may be some value there on the +130, +135 or more dog...that's the Astros.

                            Probably should be closer to a pick em like the other game...
                            Here's what I feel is the best playoff no vig line I make, not showing the forecast but I did use a sabermetric pythagorean derivative to convert to percent. Add in some market juice and you can see why I was thinking pickem.

                            And yes, having HOU -109 means I don't have to wait unitl 130 or 135 to buy, in fact, the market never fell out of my range for the dog.

                            But to buy the position to sell back, the calcuation isn't as free, we need enough profit, not just any profit, on the profit only risks.

                            Forecast Converted No Vig Line
                            Percent
                            HOU XXX 52.23 -109.34
                            NYY XXX 47.77 109.34
                            XXX....sorry, just can't share that.

                            Yet.
                            Comment
                            • KVB
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 05-29-14
                              • 74817

                              #15
                              Here's some of that same methodology for the next game...

                              Forecast Converted No Vig Line
                              Percent
                              SD XXX 46.77 113.80
                              PHI XXX 53.23 -113.80
                              Comment
                              • jjgold
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 07-20-05
                                • 388179

                                #16
                                Kvb i want all your files
                                Comment
                                • KVB
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 05-29-14
                                  • 74817

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by jjgold
                                  Kvb i want all your files
                                  ...You have no idea...
                                  Last edited by KVB; 10-22-22, 06:55 PM.
                                  Comment
                                  • pologq
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 10-07-12
                                    • 19899

                                    #18
                                    i took astros today and will bet them tomorrow. yankees can't hit and judge looks like shit.
                                    Comment
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