KVB Post Your Contrarian Fund Report

[vitterd]

That was my public pick...I also had 4 mental bets that I only PM to premium members. I went 4-0 but they're secret picks, and I don't sent them to Non pros....before you ask

Post those fades. For the 2021 year….you are 11-42 overall.

[jjgold]

KVB on a Bull run

[KVB]

KVB on a Bull run

41.44 units since June 26th, a pretty straight line up. The sharks are circling, and hopefully there will be confirmation for us to get even more aggressive.

That Vittard kid still in here crying for attention? Unreal. I guess a win streak like this can attract some "hangers ons" but it's both funny and sad that some posters do it just in hopes of getting some spillover attention. What a tool. I remember the lousivillekid character, the one that had to put a 1 after his handel lmao trying to chase after my handle for attention, that too was funny and sad.

41.44 units since losing that first playon June 26th. It's the market, it's been favorable since that great shakeout early on. I smell a top coming and a retraction to possibly 25 units but taking no further action there until we have more confirmation. I don't have to be right here, in 2017 we just rose nice and steady, clearing more than +30 units. This rise has been pretty steep though, and that usually means some volatility.



You can see in 2020, one final little shake before a sharp rise that continued into this season. Look how long it took to eventually "cover" that rise and notice how the market covered it almost exactly.



Gold how do you think that is possible? Can you pick up what I'm putting down?

[GT21Megatron]

Some good ones tonight

[KVB]

Some good ones tonight

Yeah a few games lit up for me and Zona made it...

...Zona is on the radar and I have both Pit and Balty in the broader Fund...

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

958

2-Aug

ARI +176

Backbone play.

[KVB]

Here's the most recent summary and this time we are reflecting my asset allocation change (at least for the Backbone, if I added the Totals I moved into, there would be some profit already)...

Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund through 256 plays after August 1st, with links to each play. The current ROI on the season is 11.56%.

I've added another colums to this chart and it represents the current allocation, with a 50% decrease oin the Unit size. As we walk through the next market cycle I will track these allocation calls...

1-Aug	PIT +148	-1	-0.5
	TEX +133	1.33	0.665
	Sun	0.33	0.165
	Week 1-4	5.03
	Week 5-8	-3.32
	Week 9-12	-7.34
	Week 13-16	18.07
	Week 17	12.37
	Mon	-
	Tue	-0.78
	Wed	-0.21
	Thu	0.63
	Fri	-0.77	23.68
	Sat	4.88	2.44
	Total	28.89	26.285

Here's the season chart. Could we be seeing a potential head and shoulders pattern develop? Earlier in the season I predicted a sideways to down market right before the early mountain, marked in yellow.

Now I've reduced out Unit size 50% at the purple circle, and said this when I did so...

The presence of this gap gives us some urgency to think about changing our outlook here and taking 50% of the unit size out of the Fund. Sure, we are predicting, or trying to predict, a drop through the SMAs. We could see a small rize before coming back down, but it is my feeling that we will be entering a more choppy, volatile market in the near term....

Here's the season chart with the yellow dot and purple circle references, we are at a season high...


...

As you can see my outlook remains a short term sideways to negative market with the possibility of this blip upwards and our allocatin here is 50%, reflecting that outlook.

I want to clarify a little just what I was saying in that last summary. I want to point out the two highlighted yellow parts of our two year chart...



Again some of the more conservative traders and in fact some big money will wait for some of this confirmation to play out. I am a little more aggressive by cutting the unit size in the Aggressive Fund all the way down to 50%. We may be at this unit level for some time in that Fund. Again, I expect som volatility and a more sideways to lower market just like I did at the yellow dot in the summary.

Last time I was right, let's see what market awaits us this week.

[pablo222]

Very impressive KVB.

[jjgold]

Is it luck????

[Jayvegas420]

60% luck 40% science

[KVB]

We are in action with Detroit and Minny so far...

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

920	3-Aug	DET +132
925		MIN +127

Backbone play.

Here's the recent summary...

Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund BackBone with links to each play and an added column reflecting the KVB MLB Contrarian Aggressive Trader Fund and it's decrease of 50% of the units size.

958	2-Aug	ARI +176	-1	-0.5
		Mon	-1	-0.5
		Week 1-4	5.03
		Week 5-8	-3.32
		Week 9-12	-7.34
		Week 13-16	18.07
		Week 17	12.37	24.81
		Week 18	4.08	1.475
		Total	27.89	25.785

So far the Agressive Trader Fund has left 2.105 units on the table. I mentioned that more conservative traders would wait for more confirmatory signals of a market direction change, and at this point they sit just one unit off the season high.


...

[jjgold]

This guy is basically using the Basic strategy slide and glide

[KVB]

Picked up Zona in the Backbone...

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

912

3-Aug

ARI +169

Backbone play. BOL offering the best line here.

[BeatTheJerk]

This is unfuckingprecedented what KVB is doing in his fund the last month.

[KVB]

This is unfuckingprecedented what KVB is doing in his fund the last month.

What do you mean Jerky? I'm doing terrible.

Just look at what this guy said a few minutes ago...

...Probably just pissy ur contrarian system sucks balls

[BeatTheJerk]

What do you mean Jerky? I'm doing terrible.

Just look at what this guy said a few minutes ago...

Wow I’m speechless what exactly are they seeing ...

[KVB]

Wow I’m speechless what exactly are they seeing ...

Frustrated posters with nothing but baseless attacks as a response.

It's easier for him just assume I'm "pissy" than to realize he's actually an idiot. It's an ego thing so he makes something up.

[manny24]

This guy is basically using the Basic strategy slide and glide

i don't think so Coach

KV taking off like a rocket in here

[KVB]

i don't think so Coach

KV taking off like a rocket in here

Like a Russian Rocket!!!

[BeatTheJerk]

This guy is basically using the Basic strategy slide and glide

Wtf does “slide & glide” mean Gold ? Sounds like some 1st date homosexual type shit ya heard.

[KVB]

Here's the recent summary...

Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund after Tuesday with links to each play and a 2nd column of the Agressive Trader Fund...

912	3-Aug	ARI +169	1.69	0.845
920		DET +132	1.32	0.66
925		MIN +127	1.27	0.635
		Tue	4.28	2.14
		Week 1-4	5.03
		Week 5-8	-3.32
		Week 9-12	-7.34
		Week 13-16	18.07
		Week 17	12.37	24.81
		Week 18	4.08	1.475
		Mon	-1	-0.5
		Total	32.17	27.925

Here's the recent 2 year chart, our revised unit axis is starting to make the shakeouts earlier in the season look less and less significant...


...

[jjgold]

What a chart
Gliding up

[KVB]

In action with Texas...

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

972

4-Aug

TEX +164

Backbone play...

[KVB]

The Fund is in action with Detroit today.

Here's the play and the recent summary...

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

914

5-Aug

DET +116

Backbone play.

Here's the recent summary...

972	4-Aug	TEX +164	-1	-0.5
		Wed	-1	-0.5
		Week 1-4	5.03
		Week 5-8	-3.32
		Week 9-12	-7.34
		Week 13-16	18.07
		Week 17	12.37	24.81
		Week 18	4.08	1.475
		Mon	-1	-0.5
		Tue	4.28	2.14
		Total	31.17	27.425

...

[KVB]

Added the Cubs to the Fund...

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

903

5-Aug

CHI +135

Backbone play...

[manny24]

nobody in their right mind on CHI

KV against the world

[jjgold]

[KVB]

Added KC to the Fund, putting the proftiable day on the line...

The KVB MLB Contrarain Fund has added...

921

5-Aug

KC +181

Backbone plays. Heritage with a good line...

[Jayvegas420]

1-1 for +u
with one more to go

[KVB]

1-1 for +u
with one more to go

Can't believe it hit, these plays just keep winning.

Here's the recent summary...

Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund after Thrusday, with links to each play, and a second column reflecting the additional Aggressive Trader units...

903	5-Aug	CHI +135	-1	-0.5
914		DET +116	1.16	0.58
921		KC +181	1.81	0.905
		Thu	1.97	0.985
		Week 1-4	5.03
		Week 5-8	-3.32
		Week 9-12	-7.34
		Week 13-16	18.07
		Week 17	12.37	24.81
		Week 18	4.08	1.475
		Mon	-1	-0.5
		Tue	4.28	2.14
		Wed	-1	-0.5
		Total	33.14	28.41

Here's the two year chart, but it's starting to look like we may just deal with the season chart on a regular basis at this point. We've gone on such a run here that those -11 and -10 unit shakeouts seem so small. But at the time, they weren't small at all...


...

Outlook is the same and the KVB MLB Contrian Aggressive Trader Fund remains at 50% allocation. Both Funds continue to bring in profits. While the Aggressive Trader Fund is off the main index by about 4.7 units, remember it was full force (and multiple units) on this market rise until recently. A lot of profit was taken off the table here and that money that was moved out of the Aggressive Trader Fund went into Totals plays, some of which I posted early on, that were winning.

Markets are kind to my office right now, and we are sitting on some reserves.

As we pivot towards the football markets there may be less Contrarian Fund posting, there are other market tracking Funds that may be ready to pop.

The KVB NCAAF UPSET Basket is one, that was down -9.64 units on the short year last year year but beat the closing line handily. In fact, many of those UPSETS were favorites by the close.

[KVB]

We are in action with Pit today...

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

953

6-Aug

PIT +170

Backbone play.

[KVB]

Added KC to the Fund, seeing a lot of the same characters repeated here wtih teams like KC and Pit.

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

977

6-Aug

KC +155

Backbone play...

[jjgold]

KVB your a prick share the wealth man

[KVB]

KVB your a prick share the wealth man

I thought posting plays was sharing.

And sharing is caring.

[unde0087]

Leggo

[jjgold]

This is one of the greatest bull runs I’ve ever seen