Finally catching up to CFB this week.
This game was tough to cap. I leaned Wash then Oreg St +10 and back again.
The key to this game is how bad will Oreg Defense be vs the stout Wash Offense. Washington Offense does a little better on road than at home while Oregon state Def does worse at home than on the road (some of that is due to Oreg St having played Utah at home but the trend still holds).
- Washington has a few guys banged up (2 of 3 leading WRs). But they throw a lot to TEs so they may be OK on passing game. They are 2 to 1 rush to pass anyway.
The only historical game that keeps me from committing to Wash is the Stanford game where Wash came out flat.
Wash has get their rushing game going to be effective. When they are near or below 100 yds/gm rushing they don't do as well. Oregon allows 228 rush yds/gm at home. That gives a big edge to Wash.
We have two pretty good offenses and one pretty good defense (Wash) and one not so good, Oreg St Def. Oregon St allows a lot of points (excluding the Cal gm).
I think this will be close to the 10 pt spread but Wash should sqeeze this one out with a cover.