US Open qualies: Donskoy to win today -300

**jjgold** · 08-22-19, 06:06 AM

Too high for quali
Why the risk?

**Poisec** · 08-22-19, 06:11 AM

Well motivation should be the highest to qualify for main draw. They get good prize money too. Donskoy won a challenger on hard court few weeks ago, its his best surface.
Domingues played only 7 matches on hard court in 1 year and half!

**astrobloke** · 08-22-19, 07:24 AM

you been on a roll bro, thanks, and BOL.

keep up the great work.

**Poisec** · 08-22-19, 07:54 AM

Originally posted by astrobloke

you been on a roll bro, thanks, and BOL.

keep up the great work.

Thanks man, no big stake here though, never know with these lower ranked players. But yeah confident otherwise wouldnt post.

**jjgold** · 08-22-19, 08:24 AM

When is it?

**lonegambler23** · 08-22-19, 08:27 AM

Originally posted by astrobloke

you been on a roll bro, thanks, and BOL.

keep up the great work.

thanks for a -300 play

im just curious what do u actually bet on that kind of line?

**Poisec** · 08-22-19, 08:49 AM

Originally posted by lonegambler23

thanks for a -300 play

im just curious what do u actually bet on that kind of line?

to be honest, stakes are not necessarily correlated to the odds. It can be 100 or 2000 (rarely). Last time I bet 2000 at -300 was on Djokovic to beat Nadal, Australian Open final, after he won the first set. Nadal looked helpless. For this match, just a small-average stake of 150, you wouldn't put a grand on Donskoy right?

But I think he wins this 3 out of 4 times.

**Poisec** · 08-22-19, 08:50 AM

Originally posted by jjgold

When is it?

In 3 hours I believe, but sleeping time in my timezone anyway, will check the outcome tomorrow. BOL.

**Darkside Magick** · 08-22-19, 11:00 AM

Wow... - 300 on a 3 set match with a tiebreaker in the 3rd

**asiagambler** · 08-22-19, 11:21 AM

Originally posted by Poisec

to be honest, stakes are not necessarily correlated to the odds. It can be 100 or 2000 (rarely). Last time I bet 2000 at -300 was on Djokovic to beat Nadal, Australian Open final, after he won the first set. Nadal looked helpless. For this match, just a small-average stake of 150, you wouldn't put a grand on Donskoy right?

But I think he wins this 3 out of 4 times.

If you truly believe he wins this 3/4 then what is the logic in betting -300? Winning 3 out of 4 is the break even point.

**jtoler** · 08-22-19, 11:33 AM

may win but definitely not worth it

**jjgold** · 08-22-19, 12:06 PM

Qualies so erratic

How can there even be a favorite

**leetreaper** · 08-22-19, 01:36 PM

Originally posted by Poisec

to be honest, stakes are not necessarily correlated to the odds. It can be 100 or 2000 (rarely). Last time I bet 2000 at -300 was on Djokovic to beat Nadal, Australian Open final, after he won the first set. Nadal looked helpless. For this match, just a small-average stake of 150, you wouldn't put a grand on Donskoy right?

But I think he wins this 3 out of 4 times.

**Dogball** · 08-22-19, 02:26 PM

Won 2-0 but wasn’t easy
Pinnacle had -400 ore match
Live line at one point had other guy favored -145

**Brooklyn Dick** · 08-22-19, 02:27 PM

Winner. Not easy, but counts the same. 7-6 7-5

**jjgold** · 08-22-19, 02:45 PM

nice call

**Otters27** · 08-22-19, 03:22 PM

Damn nice call. My book didn't offer

**astrobloke** · 08-22-19, 03:52 PM

damn bro, you are on FIRE.....

Thanks tailed you, GOT IT, great stuff.

Keep up great work.

**stepaside777** · 08-22-19, 04:58 PM

easy one

**Poisec** · 08-22-19, 08:02 PM

Originally posted by asiagambler

If you truly believe he wins this 3/4 then what is the logic in betting -300? Winning 3 out of 4 is the break even point.

Sorry I meant at least 3 out of 4, to break even at worst.
Anyway a winning bet but a poor choice given how close it was, Domingues was a tough ************ out there it seems.