Copa America 2019

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  • JayLA
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-11-12
    • 7806

    #36
    Ecuador not letting down. Totally underestimated México, thought they come flat.

    2-2
    Comment
    • funnyb25
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 07-09-09
      • 39659

      #37
      Another?
      Comment
      • JayLA
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 09-11-12
        • 7806

        #38
        3-2 mexico

        Game like this cant even be mad. Still stand by Ecuador as a dog that can bark. Back line needs to tighten up. Ugh.
        Comment
        • funnyb25
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 07-09-09
          • 39659

          #39
          Imagine live betting this one

          Over 2.5 was +190 live at half

          Then 3.5 was +165 live after 1-1

          Then 4.5 was +180 after 2-1
          Comment
          • funnyb25
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 07-09-09
            • 39659

            #40
            Of course this was one I did not have....LOL
            Comment
            • JayLA
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-11-12
              • 7806

              #41
              Originally posted by funnyb25
              Of course this was one I did not have....LOL
              Those are the breaks funny you know what time it is
              Comment
              • JayLA
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 09-11-12
                • 7806

                #42
                4 minute added. Refs on my side
                Comment
                • JayLA
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 09-11-12
                  • 7806

                  #43
                  Ok so I make other bets aside from the ones in this thread but for the sake of transparency moving forward... unless stated bets are always risking 1 unit or to win 1 unit and my units are $50.

                  So far to date;
                  Venezuela +.5 @ 1.77 (-129) 1.29 to win 1
                  Switz/England over 1.5 LIVE @ 2.20 (wasn't copa related but included in this thread)
                  Ecuador +.05 2.00
                  Colombia/Peru Over 2 @ 1.97 (-103) 1.03 to win 1

                  2-2-0


                  Venezuela Top 2 in Group A @2.20 risking 2x

                  Argentina to win Copa @ 4.75 risking .5x

                  Uruguay to win Copa @ 8.00 risking .5x

                  Colombia to win Group B @ 2.75 risking 1x

                  Colombia to score more than 4.5 goals in group stages @ 2.05 risking 3x

                  I'm a total Colombian homer but I think Colombia is going to come out strong. I'm liking the over 2.5 in the Arg/Col game. And if Colombia score 1 or even 2 in that game, my over 4.5 bet looks really good. I think this team can score in bunches. Cuadrado is getting more of a spine and isn't playing so light-footed anymore. That's dangerous. This team -for decades- needed to feel pride. Colombian teams have always had talent but lately, they have a swagger.

                  Duvan Zapata is clearly not used to the South American climate. But as he gets used to it in Brazil and he gets less gassed, he'll shine. Falcao wants to redeem himself for a pretty poor season at Monaco.

                  Think Venezuela gets the second spot in Group A. Peru looked...lost, frustrated...It was a "dress rehearsal" game and I didn't like what I saw, at all.

                  Again, this is just for fun. I'm not telling anyone to tail me. Good luck everyone.
                  Comment
                  • JayLA
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 09-11-12
                    • 7806

                    #44
                    Bolivia Brazil Under 3.5 @ 2.00 1.5 to win 1.5
                    Comment
                    • JayLA
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 09-11-12
                      • 7806

                      #45
                      Bolivia formation 4411, practically parking the bus looking for a counter
                      Comment
                      • pavyracer
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 04-12-07
                        • 82496

                        #46
                        I don't think Bolivia will score. Brazil will have to stop at 3 for this to have a chance.
                        Comment
                        • JayLA
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 09-11-12
                          • 7806

                          #47
                          Originally posted by pavyracer
                          I don't think Bolivia will score. Brazil will have to stop at 3 for this to have a chance.
                          I dont think theyll score either. But they dont want more thsn 3 hung on them for pride. It was also even money, just to start the Copa...
                          Comment
                          • pavyracer
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 04-12-07
                            • 82496

                            #48
                            Nice pick for first win!
                            Comment
                            • JayLA
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 09-11-12
                              • 7806

                              #49
                              Shouldve bet 3-0 exact. But ill take it.
                              Comment
                              • JayLA
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 09-11-12
                                • 7806

                                #50
                                Difference at my book between total over 2.5 @2.55 and asían handicap over 2.5 @2.48

                                .06 cent difference. Why? Book asleep at the wheel?
                                Comment
                                • franz555
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-13-14
                                  • 10494

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by JayLA
                                  3-2 mexico

                                  Game like this cant even be mad. Still stand by Ecuador as a dog that can bark. Back line needs to tighten up. Ugh.
                                  What are your thoughts on Uruguay vs Ecuador tomorrow ?

                                  No Suarez
                                  Comment
                                  • JayLA
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 09-11-12
                                    • 7806

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by franz555
                                    What are your thoughts on Uruguay vs Ecuador tomorrow ?

                                    No Suarez
                                    not sure yet Franz. I'm a very contrarian bettor, and I like to determine what the public thinks and go against the grain. As of now I think the public Sees goals in that match and I'll likely go under. Maybe a little bit on Uruguay moneyline
                                    Comment
                                    • franz555
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-13-14
                                      • 10494

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by JayLA
                                      not sure yet Franz. I'm a very contrarian bettor, and I like to determine what the public thinks and go against the grain. As of now I think the public Sees goals in that match and I'll likely go under. Maybe a little bit on Uruguay moneyline
                                      I was leaning to Uruguay @ 1.75 or going with Uru -1 @ 2.65
                                      Comment
                                      • JayLA
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 09-11-12
                                        • 7806

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by franz555
                                        I was leaning to Uruguay @ 1.75 or going with Uru -1 @ 2.65
                                        I think uruguays style doesn't play well to -1, high possibility of pushing. I think the common bettor sees the stars on uruguay and thinks goals... But uruguay has always believed in possession, its just in their nature. Possession football and look for spots for cavani to move forward. Stuani poaching.

                                        Really not sure yet. Maybe I change my mind tomorrow and go square with uruguay ML.
                                        Last edited by JayLA; 06-15-19, 11:06 AM.
                                        Comment
                                        • JayLA
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 09-11-12
                                          • 7806

                                          #55
                                          Again, I'm staying away from any strong opinion in the first round about sides. Anything can happen and I want to get a good look at what the teams look like....

                                          BUT I think Peru's going to struggle with Venezuela's attack. They've looked frustrated in recent games.

                                          Cards Handicap Peru +.05 @ 1.79 (-126) 2.54 to win 2
                                          Last edited by JayLA; 06-15-19, 12:57 PM. Reason: added units
                                          Comment
                                          • JayLA
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 09-11-12
                                            • 7806

                                            #56
                                            Venezuela to score in 1H @ 2.80 risking 1
                                            Comment
                                            • DiamondJack
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-13-14
                                              • 3935

                                              #57
                                              GL Today Jay
                                              Comment
                                              • pavyracer
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 04-12-07
                                                • 82496

                                                #58
                                                Venezuela with the Christmas tree formation 2-3-4-1
                                                Comment
                                                • asiagambler
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 07-23-17
                                                  • 6831

                                                  #59
                                                  I took a chance on Venezuela outright +301
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JayLA
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 09-11-12
                                                    • 7806

                                                    #60
                                                    Come on, Wuilker Farniez, you're better than that
                                                    Comment
                                                    • asiagambler
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 07-23-17
                                                      • 6831

                                                      #61
                                                      Terrible
                                                      Comment
                                                      • asiagambler
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 07-23-17
                                                        • 6831

                                                        #62
                                                        oh wow they called it offside?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JayLA
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 09-11-12
                                                          • 7806

                                                          #63
                                                          How was that not a card?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • asiagambler
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 07-23-17
                                                            • 6831

                                                            #64
                                                            Venezuela dominating

                                                            They should win this
                                                            Comment
                                                            • JayLA
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 09-11-12
                                                              • 7806

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by asiagambler
                                                              Venezuela dominating

                                                              They should win this
                                                              Yea they're dominating possession but I'd like better movement in the final third.

                                                              1H Ven score not looking good......

                                                              My read on peru being frustrated was off, Venezuela looks frustrated.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • asiagambler
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 07-23-17
                                                                • 6831

                                                                #66
                                                                They had some good chances. Sucks that they couldn't convert.

                                                                These odds are still off though. If similar for 2h, I'm doubling up on Venezuela
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JayLA
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 09-11-12
                                                                  • 7806

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Yea Gallese the peruvian goalie whiffed on two saves, Venezuela just couldn't capitalize. I'd bet it again... Down 1 unit, hope my cards comes through.

                                                                  Really don't want to bet every game but (who am I kidding?)

                                                                  Squaring it up with Colombia 🇨🇴 Argentina over 2.5 @ 2.35 risking 1
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • asiagambler
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 07-23-17
                                                                    • 6831

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Red card a killer for both of us
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JayLA
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 09-11-12
                                                                      • 7806

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Yea horrible game for me
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Thrilla
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 03-10-15
                                                                        • 13809

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Venezuela and the Asian hc is a winner.
                                                                        Comment
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