1. #1
    The Giant
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    Hypothetical gambling question...

    Wofford is playing a college basketball game at Duke.

    The line inexplicably opens at pick.

    An hour later it's Wofford -2.

    Who are you betting on?

  2. #2
    Smoke
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    Duke ml

  3. #3
    RudyRuetigger
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    Unc +4

  4. #4
    Wrongside
    Only Backdoor'd; never backdoor
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    Duke, Lol. Only cause this team is so disciplined (and talented) and went on a bunch of trips together and stuff.

  5. #5
    jjgold
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    Duke although poorly coached

  6. #6
    Slipknot26
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    Nobody , going to find out starters before placing my wager .
    Maybe a suspension or STD

  7. #7
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Giant View Post
    Wofford is playing a college basketball game at Duke.

    The line inexplicably opens at pick.

    An hour later it's Wofford -2.

    Who are you betting on?
    I would call the hospitals in Raleigh-Durham area to find out where the Duke bus crashed.

  8. #8
    MinnesotaFats
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    Generally i fade the public based on line movements and increase my wagers along the way.

    Its profitable over a week. Generally the initial line is accurate sans injuries. Hit 50-55% but with increased wagers you can make $$

    I view it as coin toss bets w a slight edge based on linesmaker knowledge vs public

  9. #9
    TheMoneyShot
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    I think you have to use another example as "hypothetical".

    Because taking Duke is a no brainer against anyone.... regardless of line movement.... especially near pick em

  10. #10
    BuckyOne
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    If your hypothetical question was a post time scenario-I would hypothetically take Duke. At openers I am going to need to know the reason for the move.

  11. #11
    JayLA
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    If it were wofford +2, wofford. But in this case, Duke ml.

  12. #12
    Venom72
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    I would call the hospitals in Raleigh-Durham area to find out where the Duke bus crashed.
    Lmao

  13. #13
    Al Masters
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    None,bookmakers are throwing a bad line out.

    Bet it and lose.. then you will lose
    Bet it and win...they will tell you that
    it was a bad line you get a refund.

    Bookmaker is freeing rolling you.. you the sucker.

  14. #14
    DrunkHorseplayer
    Redskins forever
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    I would take Wofford because if Duke looks too good to be true...

  15. #15
    19th Hole
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    Who is Duke, Alex?

  16. #16
    danshan11
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    your question is a really good one, if a line opens at pick and moves 2 points what does that do to a couple things

    bettor psych, most people think its a sharp move and bet it with them and keep pushing it up against the real sharps pushing back to 2 if 2 is the magic number per se
    reality its probably too late to do anything so tailing it will put you back at a coin flip with juice
    I do not think it is any more indicative of the actual result in any way
    like if you could catch all the games that move a certain size jump and bet them we would win more or beat the line. I think at the end the line is still sharp.

  17. #17
    danshan11
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    i think one way you can really see this is pretty much most major market games, they breathe go up 1 or 2 and come back down 1 or 2 and settle somewhere, I think it is kinda like stocks, they test the walls both ways and if there is enough pressure they push through

    start at pick and if a few bets come in on A they move to -1 see if they got any support at -1 if they do it stays there if its heavy pressure they push to -2 and now if it stops getting action at -2 they fade it back toward -1 and back and forth

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