Since some of the reduced juice books according to some guys here are more risky. Also their pay outs appear to be slower. Does it make sense to stick to full juice books like Wsex, BookmaKER, Greek etc. Is it really worth it to get a -105 side when the book is more risky. I understand that there is a big diffrence in the juice from -105 to -110, but what cgoodis it if you don't get paid or the service sucks. Some posters here have said that a book like BETONLINE eventually will run into trouble because they can't make it on -105 plus bonuses etc.
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I think Reduced Juice Books like BOL and Matchbook can thrive if they can produce volume. A lot of your nervousness, I'm guessing, is due to the failure of Cascade. It wasn't solely the 105 lines that did them in; a poor business model and outright fraud played larger roles.Comment -
I don't think playing at Matchbook is anymore of a risk than WSEX, Greek, Cris, etc.
Betonline is not a book I have any interest in trying at this point.
Working on getting back into Pinnacle.Comment -
We list the highest rated Reduced Juice Sportsbooks.
We need to update it to show that 5 dimes went -105 for MLB RLs in the playoffs.Comment -
SBR Ratings Risk Statistics
Has anyone ever seen any type of analyses on SBR's ratings and how good the current ratings are in predicting a future rating?
It might be really nice to see something like:
If rated A+ on the 1st day of the quarter:
93% rated A+ on the first day of the following quarter
5% rated A on the first day of the following quarter
2% rated A- on the first day of the following quarter
If rated A on the 1st day of the quarter:
3% rated A+ on the first day of the following quarter
91% rated A on the first day of the following quarter
5% rated A- on the first day of the following quarter
1% rated B+ on the first day of the following quarter
etc. etc.
I am sure if this information was made available a "risk/reward" calculation could be made fairly easily and could be used not just for reduced juice books but for betting at books with soft lines, arbing, etc.
Perhaps this has already been done and I am missing it. When I first landed on SBR a year ago, I was surprised I didn't come across it because calculating the risk associated with a rating seemed such a natural thing to do given the nature of the forum.
Just a thought.Comment
