Monday ESPN Game

[pilebuck13]

He won’t pitch mistake free, and neither will price over at plus money is no brainer here.

[KVB]

He won’t pitch mistake free, and neither will price over at plus money is no brainer here.

Good Luck Piler.

[pilebuck13]

Good Luck Piler.

You passing on this or what?

[RudyRuetigger]

did he even post a play yet

[firedawg]

did he even post a play yet

Of course not
He’s waiting on the wind direction report

[pilebuck13]

I thought this was just a general discussion thread on the game? My bad fukin bookmaker beat me before I could get my bet down...got the over at -101 meh whatever

[RudyRuetigger]

Of course not
He’s waiting on the wind direction report

he is very lucky we checked in


hey dawgy should i make a thread on this dealing with psychology?


i really might

it is a good strategy to relate to these simpletons

[firedawg]

he is very lucky we checked in


hey dawgy should i make a thread on this dealing with psychology?


i really might

it is a good strategy to relate to these simpletons

I think you should
Relating to 90% of these peasants is highly unlikely though

[RudyRuetigger]

I thought this was just a general discussion thread on the game? My bad fukin bookmaker beat me before I could get my bet down...got the over at -101 meh whatever

no ROOK

this is a thread wanting you to acknowledge pimike created it so he wouldnt be embarrassed at the bash for creating a few threads per year

[44 Mag]

Also the difference between Boston and the Phillies is the same as Cards and Cubs last night. Cubs jumped on the Cards mistake. Good teams do.

Great teams don’t make many mistakes and those great teams capitalize on this mistakes. Again giving some out loud thinking.

Don't forget the unforgiving little "band box" the game is played in. It has ruined a lot of great pitchers. Pops to left wind up homers at 310'. By the way, when I was a kid it was 315' with a 37' net. Then it was 305' same net, now it is 310' with $200.00 per seat "Monster Seats". Might as well stay home and watch the game. Oh yeah, center field bleachers were 50 cents.

[44 Mag]

do you want me to bump threads proving this YEARLY?

well sbr didnt have a bash for 1-2 years because of betislands

but hey greaser maybe trust someone that does not give 1 fukk instead of guys that live on the sbrbash freeroll

CLOWN

Off point here, but, how did you get that "Casino is Rigged" badge???? The donations I know, but they take mine away at the end of each month for some reason. Some other guys they stay up all year....

[KVB]

You passing on this or what?

Not a play yet, the contrarian operates in a way that seeks more information as the market trades and can sometimes, but not always, pay the price in the final number made.

Still holding and watching.

I don't like that it looks like they are selling on over and I'm looking, not for the bettors to make a move, but the books to make the move.

Remember last night's game and my thoughts on what the market "sold"?

Like I said, it's early and these things are known to be very deceptive.

As the stock market closed, money start flying into the books, less so on Monday. As that money's flown in at the time there was plus money on that Over.

Also at the time it was heating up as a contrarian play. Maybe I'm repeating myself but I am literally watching the market as I type. This is less and less a contrarian play for me.

[Snowball]

red sox lineup looks good.
git r dun
all business monday
Mookie Betts, RF
Andrew Benintendi, LF
J.D. Martinez, DH
Mitch Moreland, 1B
Xander Bogaerts, SS
Jackie Bradley Jr., CF
Eduardo Nunez, 3B
Brock Holt, 2B
Sandy Leon, C David Price, LHP (11-6, 4.17 ERA)

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

Taking the redsox

[KVB]

Taking the redsox

Good Luck Harry. I just can't get a good read or see any convincing action on this game.

I see conflicting action on the Total.

I have reason to believe that this, currently is and probably will be one of the more heavily bet games today.

It's your time Harry, you got this one.

[pilebuck13]

Not a play yet, the contrarian operates in a way that seeks more information as the market trades and can sometimes, but not always, pay the price in the final number made.

Still holding and watching.

I don't like that it looks like they are selling on over and I'm looking, not for the bettors to make a move, but the books to make the move.

Remember last night's game and my thoughts on what the market "sold"?

Like I said, it's early and these things are known to be very deceptive.

As the stock market closed, money start flying into the books, less so on Monday. As that money's flown in at the time there was plus money on that Over.

Also at the time it was heating up as a contrarian play. Maybe I'm repeating myself but I am literally watching the market as I type. This is less and less a contrarian play for me.

Not hard to sell a over on Monday night baseball with popular teams in hitters park yet books sitting pretty firm I tend to believe bookmaker moves earlier then most....you might lose your chance at plus money just to watch market...books just laying firm on 9? Might see a 8.5 juiced but don’t think they want that exposure...think they will settle on total seems they have sold philly to the market more than anything

[pilebuck13]

And her comes the 8.5 yikes

[KVB]

Good post Piler.

You know I can't get a read on the game, right?

Well I noticed that moneyline is pretty much where it opened. A little toward philly but that price is holding.

Well split for books purposes.

Pinny just pulled from +111 to +105 on the 9.

[Martinr]

Leaning this way but the 9 is giving me pause. Philly's are smacking the ball lately, Price giving up +av HR's, Sox #1 slugging against RH etc. It's Over or nothing but it feels like Nola still has a bit to prove and he could just do it here and shut Boston down.
Might buy down to 8'.

[KVB]

Understand here, that my sources show tickets and money on the Under here.

That Over move is technically an RLM move.

My worry here is that they created the sharper RLM move while at the same time made an effort to attract other types money.

That little stack hurt my Over play.

[bmoreoforlife]

He won’t pitch mistake free, and neither will price over at plus money is no brainer here.

Over is the play. Nothing else!

[KVB]

That late RLM, and the markets well timed move have now added another chip to the pile

They have created steam.

I am looking at one other place, and should I see something convincing, maybe.

But as we approach an hour until game time, this looks like a pass for me.

Good Luck guys.

I not only hope you get to reach in and pull from the stack, I hope you get to make a bed an lay there.

[Demonata]

How can you ever bet against the red sox right now?im on red sox.

[arrgy]

Phillies win less than half (45%) of the time...

Away
When they are dogs

Boston wins 2/3 of their games...

at home
against Right Handers (they are only 59% against Lefties) this is the largest disparity in the league between pitchers.
as a Favorite

[Bostongambler]

How can you ever bet against the red sox right now?im on red sox.

That about sums it up, dementia.

[pilebuck13]

Bovada holding at -130 under 9 lol

[Bostongambler]

Bovada holding at -130 under 9 lol

-130? That’s way over exposed just for scalping reasons alone.

[pimike]

Late money bringing Boston from -150 to now -140

[Jowframs]

Gl fellas.....went with OV 9ev

[pilebuck13]

Late money bringing Boston from -150 to now -140

Yikes

[pilebuck13]

8.5 got hammered quick lol...

[pimike]

8.5 got hammered quick lol...

Good luck!!

I’m waiting for 15 more minutes boys. I’ll advise if I play anything. Giving 10 min to spare.

[Snowball]

sbr odds -145 to -150 area

[grease lightnin]

Mike what are you looking for?

[pilebuck13]

Yes gl all I hope I beat some steam